Prediction 956
Model | 2025 sprint test - Sarima |
---|---|
Author | Richard Elias Soares Viana |
ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 120.93 | 14.57 | 20.49 | 30.35 | 58.44 | 250.13 | 481.01 | 711.35 | 998.76 |
2022-10-16 | 126.70 | 14.40 | 20.45 | 30.62 | 60.03 | 267.32 | 523.32 | 782.25 | 1108.56 |
2022-10-23 | 128.91 | 13.84 | 19.84 | 30.01 | 59.89 | 277.33 | 552.55 | 834.68 | 1193.69 |
2022-10-30 | 205.78 | 20.96 | 30.28 | 46.26 | 93.84 | 451.10 | 914.12 | 1394.95 | 2012.61 |
2022-11-06 | 234.25 | 22.61 | 32.95 | 50.85 | 104.87 | 523.12 | 1077.92 | 1661.43 | 2417.96 |
2022-11-13 | 343.70 | 31.52 | 46.30 | 72.12 | 151.14 | 781.46 | 1636.56 | 2547.11 | 3738.30 |
2022-11-20 | 368.08 | 32.06 | 47.49 | 74.68 | 159.01 | 851.86 | 1812.72 | 2848.37 | 4215.25 |
2022-11-27 | 459.60 | 38.08 | 56.86 | 90.24 | 195.15 | 1082.21 | 2339.02 | 3709.76 | 5534.58 |
2022-12-04 | 501.19 | 39.53 | 59.49 | 95.28 | 209.22 | 1200.39 | 2634.49 | 4216.88 | 6341.37 |
2022-12-11 | 401.54 | 30.15 | 45.74 | 73.94 | 164.84 | 977.90 | 2178.63 | 3518.62 | 5332.65 |
2022-12-18 | 211.30 | 15.08 | 23.08 | 37.68 | 85.30 | 523.16 | 1182.90 | 1927.43 | 2943.59 |
2022-12-25 | 143.41 | 9.74 | 15.03 | 24.77 | 56.95 | 360.87 | 827.87 | 1360.67 | 2093.70 |
2023-01-01 | 750.45 | 49.03 | 76.06 | 126.14 | 293.61 | 1917.85 | 4462.25 | 7396.55 | 11465.42 |
2023-01-08 | 852.73 | 53.26 | 83.22 | 139.17 | 328.49 | 2213.32 | 5222.17 | 8728.85 | 13629.12 |
2023-01-15 | 901.61 | 53.87 | 84.77 | 142.93 | 342.05 | 2376.26 | 5684.35 | 9580.01 | 15065.40 |
2023-01-22 | 904.92 | 51.75 | 82.01 | 139.41 | 338.18 | 2421.13 | 5870.64 | 9974.46 | 15796.33 |
2023-01-29 | 1063.26 | 58.25 | 92.95 | 159.27 | 391.51 | 2887.27 | 7094.95 | 12151.30 | 19377.54 |
2023-02-05 | 1086.02 | 57.03 | 91.62 | 158.23 | 394.10 | 2992.46 | 7450.71 | 12861.35 | 20650.24 |
2023-02-12 | 1115.48 | 56.17 | 90.86 | 158.13 | 399.00 | 3118.23 | 7865.19 | 13682.58 | 22117.17 |
2023-02-19 | 1045.27 | 50.50 | 82.23 | 144.23 | 368.61 | 2963.74 | 7571.66 | 13273.06 | 21597.97 |
2023-02-26 | 1069.92 | 49.62 | 81.34 | 143.75 | 372.05 | 3076.45 | 7959.35 | 14058.39 | 23026.14 |
2023-03-05 | 1163.26 | 51.83 | 85.51 | 152.24 | 398.96 | 3391.38 | 8883.99 | 15808.83 | 26060.93 |
2023-03-12 | 1166.14 | 49.94 | 82.91 | 148.71 | 394.52 | 3446.51 | 9140.03 | 16384.51 | 27182.77 |
2023-03-19 | 1051.42 | 43.28 | 72.33 | 130.68 | 350.94 | 3149.66 | 8454.76 | 15266.52 | 25487.96 |
2023-03-26 | 1155.99 | 45.78 | 76.98 | 140.09 | 380.75 | 3509.33 | 9533.83 | 17338.91 | 29128.57 |
2023-04-02 | 1044.23 | 39.79 | 67.33 | 123.41 | 339.43 | 3212.04 | 8830.14 | 16173.35 | 27338.02 |
2023-04-09 | 944.78 | 34.66 | 59.01 | 108.92 | 303.13 | 2944.22 | 8189.21 | 15104.90 | 25687.65 |
2023-04-16 | 864.10 | 30.52 | 52.29 | 97.20 | 273.69 | 2727.66 | 7675.20 | 14255.20 | 24388.73 |
2023-04-23 | 929.02 | 31.63 | 54.51 | 102.02 | 290.54 | 2970.10 | 8453.59 | 15808.85 | 27207.98 |
2023-04-30 | 844.39 | 27.70 | 48.03 | 90.52 | 260.76 | 2733.73 | 7869.44 | 14816.49 | 25650.39 |
2023-05-07 | 809.42 | 25.60 | 44.66 | 84.74 | 246.87 | 2653.36 | 7724.13 | 14640.73 | 25493.93 |
2023-05-14 | 680.52 | 20.75 | 36.42 | 69.58 | 205.00 | 2258.50 | 6647.98 | 12684.84 | 22215.62 |
2023-05-21 | 596.42 | 17.54 | 30.97 | 59.57 | 177.48 | 2003.69 | 5963.05 | 11452.92 | 20172.68 |
2023-05-28 | 601.26 | 17.07 | 30.31 | 58.69 | 176.77 | 2044.48 | 6150.89 | 11890.76 | 21062.30 |
2023-06-04 | 486.91 | 13.33 | 23.82 | 46.44 | 141.44 | 1675.62 | 5095.73 | 9914.59 | 17660.24 |
2023-06-11 | 491.65 | 13.00 | 23.37 | 45.85 | 141.13 | 1712.07 | 5262.36 | 10304.29 | 18456.17 |
2023-06-18 | 454.30 | 11.60 | 20.97 | 41.43 | 128.89 | 1600.70 | 4972.24 | 9797.91 | 17645.61 |
2023-06-25 | 477.18 | 11.18 | 20.50 | 41.13 | 131.43 | 1731.74 | 5524.32 | 11060.49 | 20196.46 |
2023-07-02 | 366.06 | 8.07 | 14.95 | 30.36 | 98.83 | 1355.21 | 4401.26 | 8906.81 | 16415.54 |
2023-07-09 | 386.22 | 8.03 | 15.02 | 30.84 | 102.20 | 1458.76 | 4823.67 | 9867.49 | 18357.04 |
2023-07-16 | 372.77 | 7.30 | 13.80 | 28.65 | 96.69 | 1436.35 | 4835.75 | 9999.21 | 18776.50 |
2023-07-23 | 291.45 | 5.37 | 10.27 | 21.57 | 74.12 | 1145.11 | 3923.24 | 8197.63 | 15533.75 |
2023-07-30 | 272.09 | 4.73 | 9.13 | 19.40 | 67.86 | 1089.96 | 3800.00 | 8023.44 | 15341.96 |
2023-08-06 | 190.50 | 3.10 | 6.07 | 13.07 | 46.60 | 777.80 | 2758.30 | 5883.61 | 11350.14 |
2023-08-13 | 198.77 | 3.06 | 6.05 | 13.16 | 47.72 | 826.97 | 2982.81 | 6427.37 | 12508.66 |
2023-08-20 | 162.18 | 2.35 | 4.70 | 10.35 | 38.21 | 687.35 | 2520.73 | 5485.89 | 10768.78 |
2023-08-27 | 136.15 | 1.85 | 3.75 | 8.37 | 31.48 | 587.76 | 2191.40 | 4816.52 | 9536.13 |
2023-09-03 | 125.03 | 1.60 | 3.29 | 7.42 | 28.38 | 549.59 | 2082.55 | 4621.86 | 9228.00 |
2023-09-10 | 114.29 | 1.37 | 2.86 | 6.54 | 25.48 | 511.47 | 1969.58 | 4413.44 | 8885.75 |
2023-09-17 | 194.45 | 2.28 | 4.73 | 10.83 | 42.64 | 885.39 | 3463.63 | 7835.06 | 15904.66 |
2023-09-24 | 146.59 | 1.61 | 3.39 | 7.87 | 31.57 | 679.30 | 2699.54 | 6164.30 | 12615.55 |
2023-10-01 | 143.94 | 1.49 | 3.19 | 7.48 | 30.47 | 678.62 | 2738.89 | 6312.33 | 13022.69 |