Prediction 958

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Santa Catarina

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 54.35 0.89 1.78 3.85 13.59 216.43 749.91 1577.41 3006.29
2022-10-16 142.43 2.24 4.43 9.61 34.56 586.00 2092.27 4481.03 8674.79
2022-10-23 145.28 2.07 4.17 9.21 34.12 617.47 2270.11 4947.82 9725.03
2022-10-30 181.78 2.38 4.84 10.86 41.37 797.61 3017.91 6691.91 13351.04
2022-11-06 205.00 2.45 5.07 11.55 45.23 927.92 3610.84 8142.22 16482.80
2022-11-13 214.51 2.34 4.92 11.40 45.90 1001.17 4004.78 9180.78 18853.15
2022-11-20 163.93 1.61 3.46 8.20 34.02 788.48 3240.28 7549.10 15721.00
2022-11-27 294.01 2.72 5.85 13.98 59.30 1456.11 6144.43 14543.92 30707.34
2022-12-04 441.11 3.79 8.22 19.89 86.47 2248.46 9737.68 23410.54 50099.40
2022-12-11 560.38 4.44 9.76 23.96 106.79 2938.61 13056.14 31872.52 69119.74
2022-12-18 349.61 2.51 5.64 14.14 64.76 1885.41 8590.07 21287.70 46771.14
2022-12-25 499.69 3.35 7.58 19.21 90.09 2769.65 12934.44 32531.59 72398.29
2023-01-01 466.73 2.88 6.61 17.04 81.89 2657.85 12718.01 32456.31 73148.55
2023-01-08 467.07 2.66 6.20 16.20 79.80 2731.58 13387.78 34659.00 79090.48
2023-01-15 610.85 3.24 7.62 20.18 101.68 3667.17 18402.24 48318.26 111619.29
2023-01-22 634.22 3.12 7.43 19.95 102.88 3907.15 20067.93 53430.51 124928.48
2023-01-29 998.93 4.61 11.05 29.99 158.00 6312.50 33174.21 89546.28 211879.79
2023-02-05 1549.66 6.69 16.16 44.39 239.08 10041.72 53979.70 147692.06 353589.28
2023-02-12 2007.08 8.09 19.73 54.87 302.08 13332.19 73285.30 203209.94 492174.16
2023-02-19 3067.07 11.55 28.44 80.09 450.50 20877.94 117319.85 329629.69 807546.13
2023-02-26 4422.73 15.56 38.70 110.34 634.14 30842.38 177124.84 504183.50 1249205.79
2023-03-05 7089.48 23.32 58.57 169.08 992.56 50633.50 297099.21 856634.76 2146274.53
2023-03-12 4665.99 14.29 36.36 106.37 638.00 34120.40 204502.32 597187.10 1512815.60
2023-03-19 9018.40 25.89 66.47 196.76 1204.79 67502.58 413158.19 1221748.61 3128869.17
2023-03-26 11919.60 32.03 83.08 248.94 1556.12 91297.80 570511.05 1708127.92 4421826.57
2023-04-02 13666.87 34.38 90.12 273.34 1744.04 107093.62 683084.56 2070433.94 5417091.55
2023-04-09 15516.15 36.56 96.85 297.33 1935.91 124355.90 809443.99 2483395.46 6566342.07
2023-04-16 17624.57 38.93 104.19 323.73 2150.49 144438.77 959222.62 2978476.72 7957849.01
2023-04-23 13970.69 28.92 78.24 246.06 1667.44 117048.35 792911.57 2491498.05 6725714.54
2023-04-30 13229.29 25.69 70.24 223.52 1544.84 113283.69 782640.15 2488318.19 6786005.62
2023-05-07 11961.81 21.80 60.23 193.96 1366.95 104668.52 737326.99 2371703.99 6533630.91
2023-05-14 9362.53 16.01 44.72 145.74 1047.24 83696.70 601060.76 1955804.38 5442044.30
2023-05-21 6655.86 10.67 30.16 99.49 728.84 60775.21 444858.25 1464154.55 4114566.59
2023-05-28 5056.84 7.60 21.74 72.60 542.22 47154.25 351740.66 1170843.94 3322736.38
2023-06-04 3358.22 4.71 13.69 46.31 352.64 31973.33 243007.59 818015.83 2344113.28
2023-06-11 2774.21 3.64 10.73 36.77 285.36 26963.18 208765.55 710594.18 2055985.06
2023-06-18 2632.80 3.25 9.68 33.56 265.33 26116.79 205963.68 708811.98 2070490.35
2023-06-25 1092.05 1.11 3.50 12.62 104.75 11375.80 93745.29 331220.68 989854.22
2023-07-02 1090.82 1.01 3.27 11.97 101.85 11673.36 98559.58 353322.98 1069287.25
2023-07-09 631.70 0.49 1.71 6.49 57.13 6974.85 60567.29 220806.42 678056.90
2023-07-16 820.12 0.60 2.09 8.01 72.11 9316.08 82993.62 307232.16 956065.67
2023-07-23 400.86 0.22 0.90 3.64 34.17 4691.47 42928.98 161484.27 509548.81
2023-07-30 309.86 0.12 0.62 2.64 25.65 3730.34 35010.72 133711.84 427504.25
2023-08-06 178.48 0.02 0.29 1.40 14.32 2211.86 21303.88 82633.28 267769.05
2023-08-13 358.62 0.12 0.62 2.75 28.07 4568.16 45111.00 177611.40 583052.35
2023-08-20 365.89 0.11 0.59 2.66 27.85 4792.87 48536.18 193996.80 645214.70
2023-08-27 146.75 0.00 0.16 0.95 10.81 1976.30 20511.53 83197.48 280256.49
2023-09-03 306.09 0.05 0.41 1.98 22.04 4234.59 45041.26 185397.29 632533.89
2023-09-10 323.83 0.05 0.40 1.99 22.70 4601.64 50139.67 209382.75 723363.70
2023-09-17 261.62 0.01 0.28 1.51 17.84 3818.39 42616.76 180543.22 631553.85
2023-09-24 335.62 0.03 0.36 1.86 22.31 5028.57 57467.11 246928.16 874449.05
2023-10-01 284.25 0.00 0.26 1.48 18.39 4371.85 51150.93 222903.39 799064.15
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