Prediction 959

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 856.68 71.06 106.06 168.28 363.80 2017.10 4359.58 6914.42 10315.59
2022-10-16 879.30 65.71 99.74 161.34 360.26 2145.97 4790.24 7745.63 11750.90
2022-10-23 920.51 62.21 95.98 158.17 364.33 2325.50 5354.92 8821.32 13600.58
2022-10-30 1078.57 66.17 103.68 173.95 412.89 2817.19 6684.78 11211.64 17557.38
2022-11-06 1248.72 69.76 110.96 189.43 462.86 3368.55 8228.57 14042.78 22324.90
2022-11-13 1424.08 72.65 117.25 203.57 511.62 3963.59 9958.43 17283.59 27881.38
2022-11-20 1719.99 80.34 131.52 232.11 599.46 4934.70 12741.67 22478.61 36779.70
2022-11-27 2122.80 91.02 151.07 270.86 718.35 6272.74 16632.50 29812.88 49457.30
2022-12-04 2474.92 97.63 164.21 299.01 813.79 7526.39 20479.45 37280.91 62682.07
2022-12-11 2565.45 93.28 158.97 293.88 820.25 8023.35 22389.17 41377.07 70485.64
2022-12-18 2484.93 83.44 144.04 270.24 773.07 7986.99 22843.06 42842.31 73920.03
2022-12-25 2376.62 73.83 129.06 245.66 719.87 7845.76 22985.36 43734.15 76406.74
2023-01-01 5001.62 144.10 254.93 492.03 1475.96 16948.47 50834.85 98094.52 173483.72
2023-01-08 6052.87 161.91 289.86 567.19 1741.07 21042.34 64584.36 126356.25 226153.24
2023-01-15 7180.11 178.57 323.46 641.53 2014.18 25594.90 80350.41 159339.41 288547.28
2023-01-22 8130.02 188.26 344.94 693.25 2225.25 29702.52 95332.24 191569.91 350921.85
2023-01-29 10387.34 224.26 415.54 846.06 2775.33 38876.40 127516.20 259596.06 480925.30
2023-02-05 11816.61 238.14 446.18 920.10 3083.27 45286.29 151743.33 312886.07 586103.44
2023-02-12 12399.30 233.53 442.33 923.68 3160.83 48639.05 166429.77 347500.54 658064.86
2023-02-19 13397.05 236.08 451.97 955.52 3337.87 53770.20 187818.40 397026.18 759938.39
2023-02-26 17072.57 281.81 545.20 1166.67 4158.89 70083.29 249813.74 534523.78 1033943.88
2023-03-05 18419.16 285.06 557.24 1206.77 4388.53 77306.35 281115.13 608726.07 1189736.46
2023-03-12 18043.04 262.07 517.55 1134.08 4206.05 77399.53 287040.14 628909.77 1241788.54
2023-03-19 19927.24 271.90 542.39 1202.35 4546.42 87341.13 330241.96 731999.00 1459939.22
2023-03-26 21852.00 280.34 564.80 1266.42 4880.96 97829.96 377028.14 845302.82 1702703.18
2023-04-02 22500.07 271.64 552.64 1253.19 4921.72 102859.70 403942.90 915903.38 1863024.71
2023-04-09 22926.66 260.68 535.49 1227.87 4912.66 106994.01 428051.61 981410.18 2015599.58
2023-04-16 21209.77 227.30 471.39 1092.82 4453.20 101016.85 411609.99 954116.35 1978265.13
2023-04-23 20674.31 208.99 437.51 1025.33 4254.43 100464.89 416830.43 976730.07 2044250.03
2023-04-30 19886.90 189.76 400.97 949.79 4012.00 98574.86 416356.87 986101.48 2083081.22
2023-05-07 15787.17 142.28 303.43 726.41 3123.10 79802.08 343062.59 821132.36 1750546.41
2023-05-14 10697.96 91.10 196.10 474.43 2075.72 55134.09 241183.50 583333.03 1254889.25
2023-05-21 7638.79 61.50 133.61 326.64 1454.03 40128.77 178592.45 436423.76 947282.98
2023-05-28 6298.10 47.97 105.17 259.78 1176.35 33717.66 152636.79 376816.39 825162.27
2023-06-04 5561.36 40.10 88.71 221.37 1019.48 30335.67 139658.52 348268.25 769341.03
2023-06-11 4472.52 30.54 68.17 171.86 804.83 24852.02 116334.34 293010.09 652892.43
2023-06-18 3452.31 22.33 50.30 128.10 609.96 19537.64 92976.63 236499.63 531500.29
2023-06-25 2448.19 14.68 33.52 86.58 421.81 14207.12 69153.55 178295.31 405418.16
2023-07-02 2099.12 11.71 27.06 70.85 352.92 12482.85 62111.72 162261.29 373195.09
2023-07-09 1759.60 9.10 21.32 56.61 288.51 10728.86 54599.61 144570.99 336415.75
2023-07-16 1461.92 6.99 16.61 44.76 233.56 9147.78 47651.31 127945.35 301351.97
2023-07-23 1283.05 5.66 13.64 37.32 199.57 8245.98 43999.13 119851.45 285833.63
2023-07-30 1103.56 4.48 10.95 30.46 167.01 7289.00 39861.38 110190.52 266169.91
2023-08-06 993.34 3.70 9.20 26.00 146.21 6745.41 37820.34 106120.62 259679.16
2023-08-13 905.17 3.09 7.82 22.45 129.56 6320.62 36339.59 103509.40 256611.95
2023-08-20 842.18 2.64 6.78 19.80 117.21 6047.33 35653.15 103092.89 258934.88
2023-08-27 816.75 2.35 6.14 18.20 110.55 6030.25 36454.15 107000.89 272267.16
2023-09-03 910.65 2.42 6.40 19.26 119.90 6911.92 42836.97 127622.69 328962.63
2023-09-10 930.46 2.28 6.11 18.68 119.20 7258.70 46110.39 139419.47 364004.35
2023-09-17 956.86 2.16 5.88 18.24 119.29 7670.18 49930.11 153193.82 405075.14
2023-09-24 937.80 1.95 5.39 16.98 113.81 7722.15 51499.37 160312.93 429256.36
2023-10-01 952.79 1.83 5.12 16.40 112.60 8057.02 55033.92 173786.67 471149.86
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