Prediction 960

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 127.63 6.49 10.52 18.29 45.96 354.12 886.95 1536.43 2474.39
2022-10-16 127.90 6.00 9.85 17.39 44.80 364.76 936.54 1646.58 2686.12
2022-10-23 132.21 5.73 9.53 17.08 45.09 387.32 1018.79 1817.29 3002.05
2022-10-30 178.59 7.20 12.10 21.98 59.35 537.02 1446.20 2616.32 4375.18
2022-11-06 174.19 6.51 11.08 20.41 56.42 537.38 1480.88 2716.24 4596.92
2022-11-13 139.87 4.83 8.35 15.61 44.17 442.46 1247.12 2318.53 3969.99
2022-11-20 103.78 3.31 5.81 11.03 31.96 336.50 969.66 1826.66 3163.76
2022-11-27 129.08 3.86 6.83 13.12 38.82 428.66 1262.12 2408.49 4218.49
2022-12-04 114.92 3.19 5.73 11.16 33.75 390.74 1175.09 2271.02 4021.66
2022-12-11 89.59 2.30 4.19 8.30 25.69 311.78 957.37 1873.39 3353.49
2022-12-18 70.17 1.66 3.08 6.21 19.66 249.85 783.04 1551.10 2806.12
2022-12-25 7.85 0.09 0.24 0.58 2.09 28.83 92.38 185.28 338.77
2023-01-01 24.99 0.45 0.92 1.97 6.65 93.16 303.94 616.61 1138.82
2023-01-08 50.00 0.94 1.83 3.87 13.09 190.20 632.46 1297.95 2421.31
2023-01-15 35.75 0.60 1.21 2.63 9.14 139.00 471.17 978.07 1842.75
2023-01-22 33.53 0.52 1.07 2.36 8.39 133.14 459.85 965.36 1836.61
2023-01-29 38.33 0.56 1.17 2.60 9.40 155.28 546.29 1159.57 2227.35
2023-02-05 48.95 0.70 1.45 3.22 11.79 202.32 724.79 1555.27 3015.80
2023-02-12 52.76 0.71 1.49 3.34 12.46 222.43 811.27 1759.65 3444.06
2023-02-19 54.74 0.69 1.47 3.34 12.67 235.34 873.68 1915.22 3783.18
2023-02-26 70.35 0.87 1.82 4.16 15.99 308.30 1164.64 2579.85 5142.45
2023-03-05 74.01 0.86 1.83 4.22 16.51 330.58 1270.53 2843.62 5719.22
2023-03-12 79.32 0.87 1.88 4.37 17.37 361.07 1411.52 3191.54 6475.98
2023-03-19 65.33 0.66 1.46 3.45 14.02 303.04 1204.82 2751.76 5632.62
2023-03-26 98.42 0.98 2.14 5.07 20.77 464.88 1879.11 4334.66 8949.51
2023-04-02 128.49 1.24 2.70 6.41 26.65 617.96 2539.13 5915.00 12316.89
2023-04-09 132.16 1.21 2.65 6.37 26.92 647.19 2702.80 6357.75 13350.91
2023-04-16 161.96 1.42 3.13 7.57 32.43 807.34 3426.09 8136.91 17230.04
2023-04-23 191.09 1.61 3.55 8.65 37.60 969.43 4179.74 10021.60 21396.52
2023-04-30 219.44 1.76 3.91 9.61 42.45 1132.77 4961.29 12007.83 25847.11
2023-05-07 264.36 2.04 4.54 11.22 50.27 1388.36 6175.86 15087.13 32738.44
2023-05-14 293.02 2.15 4.83 12.05 54.78 1565.31 7070.92 17433.46 38133.18
2023-05-21 323.19 2.27 5.12 12.88 59.42 1755.91 8053.58 20037.98 44178.04
2023-05-28 374.56 2.51 5.70 14.47 67.73 2069.36 9635.39 24190.96 53753.21
2023-06-04 386.95 2.47 5.66 14.48 68.82 2173.52 10272.61 26022.27 58272.37
2023-06-11 371.01 2.25 5.20 13.45 64.90 2118.53 10161.94 25970.79 58605.28
2023-06-18 406.81 2.36 5.49 14.31 70.02 2361.04 11492.29 29629.41 67371.69
2023-06-25 481.74 2.51 5.94 15.79 79.89 2902.26 14609.55 38431.75 88924.81
2023-07-02 514.03 2.47 5.92 15.97 82.89 3185.02 16443.58 43916.08 102957.54
2023-07-09 497.13 2.21 5.38 14.74 78.21 3157.11 16664.78 45101.17 106959.48
2023-07-16 431.57 1.76 4.36 12.14 66.08 2815.43 15224.70 41803.86 100390.86
2023-07-23 468.09 1.77 4.45 12.56 69.92 3130.24 17308.89 48165.40 117015.20
2023-07-30 486.16 1.71 4.34 12.43 70.79 3335.16 18870.72 53238.72 130892.72
2023-08-06 455.50 1.48 3.82 11.11 64.71 3202.43 18524.07 52955.50 131696.32
2023-08-13 393.59 1.17 3.09 9.14 54.54 2836.32 16774.39 48594.52 122250.55
2023-08-20 258.80 0.68 1.88 5.70 34.98 1910.60 11547.18 33888.09 86217.21
2023-08-27 390.43 0.99 2.71 8.27 51.56 2951.99 18229.64 54194.16 139431.16
2023-09-03 312.17 0.72 2.02 6.30 40.25 2416.68 15243.92 45896.92 119391.09
2023-09-10 319.00 0.68 1.95 6.15 40.18 2527.89 16284.29 49650.29 130572.39
2023-09-17 248.07 0.47 1.41 4.55 30.51 2011.83 13231.78 40847.57 108586.26
2023-09-24 273.24 0.48 1.47 4.81 32.85 2267.11 15220.34 47567.94 127807.56
2023-10-01 220.10 0.34 1.10 3.69 25.86 1868.04 12798.69 40488.98 109940.96
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