Prediction 962

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 60.09 4.28 6.57 10.74 24.32 148.25 334.00 543.01 827.67
2023-10-15 77.15 5.05 7.87 13.06 30.33 195.99 453.43 748.99 1157.49
2023-10-22 85.42 5.15 8.12 13.69 32.63 223.31 530.12 889.29 1392.84
2023-10-29 98.23 5.47 8.73 14.94 36.51 264.04 642.72 1094.47 1736.63
2023-11-05 114.20 5.88 9.51 16.51 41.31 315.38 786.62 1359.20 2184.17
2023-11-12 124.82 5.95 9.75 17.16 43.98 353.92 903.97 1584.34 2577.57
2023-11-19 125.63 5.55 9.21 16.44 43.14 365.51 955.45 1697.97 2795.88
2023-11-26 161.79 6.67 11.17 20.21 54.19 482.66 1290.55 2324.76 3873.21
2023-12-03 129.57 4.95 8.40 15.42 42.33 396.21 1083.13 1977.16 3332.16
2023-12-10 131.75 4.68 8.05 14.98 42.01 412.68 1152.87 2131.92 3633.62
2023-12-17 113.73 3.76 6.55 12.35 35.41 364.77 1040.89 1949.46 3359.42
2023-12-24 95.85 2.94 5.20 9.94 29.15 314.67 916.83 1738.61 3028.61
2023-12-31 313.40 9.20 16.27 31.32 93.33 1051.87 3127.48 6003.39 10568.88
2024-01-07 318.24 8.75 15.65 30.49 92.68 1092.15 3312.93 6436.05 11448.96
2024-01-14 336.41 8.68 15.68 30.92 95.86 1180.00 3650.51 7175.83 12895.96
2024-01-21 304.70 7.37 13.46 26.87 84.97 1092.00 3444.23 6849.14 12433.00
2024-01-28 310.58 7.06 13.03 26.31 84.80 1136.84 3654.49 7350.44 13475.34
2024-02-04 304.32 6.51 12.13 24.78 81.37 1137.36 3725.21 7577.03 14026.30
2024-02-11 265.63 5.33 10.06 20.79 69.58 1013.31 3380.65 6952.44 12993.74
2024-02-18 236.83 4.47 8.52 17.82 60.79 921.86 3131.86 6511.11 12284.06
2024-02-25 255.36 4.55 8.76 18.51 64.26 1013.90 3506.69 7368.78 14031.76
2024-03-03 228.62 3.83 7.46 15.95 56.40 925.75 3258.74 6920.37 13298.99
2024-03-10 197.24 3.11 6.12 13.25 47.72 814.27 2916.61 6258.59 12136.24
2024-03-17 161.62 2.39 4.77 10.45 38.35 680.13 2478.31 5372.94 10512.00
2024-03-24 133.75 1.85 3.75 8.33 31.13 573.60 2125.86 4655.74 9189.21
2024-03-31 119.79 1.55 3.19 7.19 27.36 523.38 1972.41 4363.11 8686.63
2024-04-07 117.93 1.44 3.00 6.83 26.44 524.79 2010.65 4491.83 9019.82
2024-04-14 102.22 1.17 2.47 5.70 22.49 463.22 1803.93 4069.53 8241.25
2024-04-21 101.89 1.10 2.35 5.49 22.02 470.09 1860.43 4237.62 8653.71
2024-04-28 90.71 0.92 1.99 4.71 19.25 426.02 1713.08 3939.36 8111.36
2024-05-05 83.19 0.79 1.74 4.17 17.34 397.60 1624.21 3770.34 7827.03
2024-05-12 75.64 0.67 1.50 3.66 15.49 367.90 1526.46 3576.59 7485.06
2024-05-19 65.91 0.54 1.24 3.07 13.26 326.12 1374.16 3249.58 6855.27
2024-05-26 50.61 0.36 0.89 2.26 9.99 254.79 1090.14 2601.57 5531.82
2024-06-02 52.05 0.36 0.88 2.25 10.10 266.48 1157.48 2787.30 5973.31
2024-06-09 36.03 0.20 0.55 1.48 6.85 187.68 827.56 2010.73 4342.62
2024-06-16 33.09 0.16 0.47 1.30 6.18 175.22 784.11 1922.11 4183.18
2024-06-23 36.58 0.17 0.50 1.38 6.67 198.52 908.31 2256.32 4967.43
2024-06-30 35.32 0.15 0.45 1.27 6.30 195.84 913.33 2294.90 5102.77
2024-07-07 31.52 0.11 0.36 1.08 5.50 178.57 848.85 2157.38 4844.71
2024-07-14 31.26 0.09 0.34 1.02 5.33 180.91 876.61 2253.58 5111.29
2024-07-21 32.10 0.09 0.33 1.01 5.36 189.71 936.99 2436.55 5581.46
2024-07-28 29.58 0.06 0.27 0.88 4.83 178.64 899.34 2365.51 5472.65
2024-08-04 27.18 0.04 0.23 0.76 4.34 167.63 860.13 2288.23 5346.26
2024-08-11 27.20 0.03 0.21 0.73 4.25 171.35 895.89 2410.37 5686.93
2024-08-18 24.65 0.01 0.17 0.62 3.76 158.58 844.78 2298.42 5475.63
2024-08-25 26.48 0.01 0.17 0.65 3.96 173.88 943.58 2595.79 6243.77
2024-09-01 35.43 0.04 0.25 0.86 5.22 237.21 1310.87 3645.91 8853.47
2024-09-08 30.67 0.02 0.19 0.70 4.41 209.59 1179.53 3316.50 8129.84
2024-09-15 34.64 0.02 0.21 0.77 4.90 241.44 1383.35 3931.65 9728.15
2024-09-22 44.70 0.05 0.28 0.98 6.22 317.64 1852.49 5321.31 13288.76
2024-09-29 53.52 0.07 0.33 1.15 7.31 387.68 2301.06 6679.89 16834.79
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