Prediction 963

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Alagoas

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 32.43 4.30 5.97 8.69 16.24 64.67 120.28 174.33 240.52
2023-10-15 32.13 3.95 5.55 8.20 15.68 65.73 125.07 183.78 256.59
2023-10-22 24.21 2.74 3.91 5.87 11.51 50.78 98.81 147.14 207.81
2023-10-29 25.89 2.74 3.95 6.01 12.03 55.62 110.57 166.77 238.17
2023-11-05 24.08 2.37 3.46 5.33 10.92 52.94 107.46 164.11 236.93
2023-11-12 23.12 2.12 3.14 4.90 10.25 52.00 107.72 166.52 242.94
2023-11-19 15.99 1.34 2.03 3.22 6.92 36.79 77.76 121.65 179.31
2023-11-26 18.70 1.48 2.26 3.63 7.93 43.94 94.66 149.78 222.98
2023-12-03 17.34 1.28 1.98 3.23 7.19 41.62 91.36 146.20 219.78
2023-12-10 14.76 1.01 1.59 2.63 5.99 36.17 80.87 130.84 198.56
2023-12-17 11.52 0.72 1.16 1.95 4.57 28.82 65.64 107.36 164.46
2023-12-24 5.70 0.29 0.50 0.89 2.18 14.62 33.96 56.15 86.83
2023-12-31 18.67 1.09 1.75 2.98 7.15 48.47 114.19 190.63 297.28
2024-01-07 22.19 1.23 2.00 3.43 8.36 58.67 140.54 236.96 372.76
2024-01-14 20.34 1.06 1.74 3.03 7.51 54.79 133.42 227.20 360.49
2024-01-21 15.49 0.74 1.24 2.21 5.60 42.52 105.27 181.02 289.64
2024-01-28 22.77 1.07 1.79 3.17 8.12 63.55 159.77 277.34 447.41
2024-02-04 20.91 0.92 1.56 2.81 7.32 59.37 151.65 265.71 432.15
2024-02-11 23.29 0.98 1.67 3.03 8.02 67.26 174.44 308.46 505.68
2024-02-18 22.78 0.91 1.56 2.87 7.71 66.92 176.21 314.43 519.54
2024-02-25 28.01 1.08 1.86 3.44 9.34 83.60 223.40 402.17 669.66
2024-03-03 29.60 1.09 1.89 3.52 9.71 89.80 243.49 442.21 741.95
2024-03-10 27.61 0.96 1.69 3.18 8.91 85.12 234.17 428.99 725.18
2024-03-17 24.16 0.78 1.41 2.68 7.66 75.70 211.27 390.36 664.79
2024-03-24 26.46 0.83 1.49 2.86 8.27 84.21 238.31 444.04 761.75
2024-03-31 50.05 1.57 2.79 5.33 15.46 161.55 463.43 870.60 1504.24
2024-04-07 54.90 1.65 2.95 5.68 16.71 179.92 523.23 991.02 1724.51
2024-04-14 58.06 1.68 3.01 5.84 17.41 193.14 569.30 1087.05 1904.93
2024-04-21 64.62 1.79 3.24 6.33 19.09 218.13 651.59 1254.15 2213.04
2024-04-28 80.55 2.16 3.92 7.69 23.47 275.88 834.98 1619.84 2877.94
2024-05-05 82.66 2.12 3.88 7.68 23.74 287.23 880.72 1721.95 3080.14
2024-05-12 96.13 2.38 4.37 8.70 27.22 338.82 1052.37 2073.48 3733.80
2024-05-19 98.49 2.34 4.32 8.68 27.50 352.08 1107.57 2198.94 3985.99
2024-05-26 111.17 2.54 4.72 9.54 30.62 402.98 1283.73 2567.95 4685.44
2024-06-02 126.93 2.80 5.22 10.62 34.49 466.49 1504.68 3032.46 5568.89
2024-06-09 131.39 2.78 5.23 10.71 35.21 489.51 1598.50 3245.41 5998.24
2024-06-16 130.71 2.66 5.03 10.39 34.56 493.63 1631.77 3337.26 6207.21
2024-06-23 128.09 2.44 4.67 9.78 33.16 494.00 1664.02 3441.77 6464.48
2024-06-30 136.77 2.48 4.78 10.10 34.79 536.73 1836.65 3834.78 7261.72
2024-07-07 133.61 2.30 4.48 9.55 33.42 533.33 1853.03 3904.46 7452.44
2024-07-14 117.78 1.91 3.77 8.13 28.95 478.28 1687.63 3588.94 6905.29
2024-07-21 103.27 1.58 3.15 6.88 24.93 426.79 1529.79 3283.99 6370.24
2024-07-28 110.83 1.61 3.24 7.15 26.29 466.17 1697.68 3679.20 7195.94
2024-08-04 96.59 1.32 2.69 6.01 22.50 413.60 1530.53 3348.85 6604.40
2024-08-11 93.19 1.20 2.48 5.60 21.32 406.19 1527.36 3374.05 6709.60
2024-08-18 71.56 0.85 1.80 4.13 16.06 317.58 1213.44 2706.31 5426.51
2024-08-25 69.84 0.78 1.67 3.89 15.40 315.49 1224.72 2757.53 5574.91
2024-09-01 69.14 0.73 1.58 3.72 14.98 317.83 1253.38 2848.77 5806.64
2024-09-08 62.88 0.61 1.37 3.27 13.38 294.12 1178.17 2702.99 5554.34
2024-09-15 60.98 0.56 1.26 3.06 12.75 290.20 1180.60 2733.76 5662.85
2024-09-22 52.24 0.44 1.02 2.52 10.73 252.96 1045.01 2442.10 5099.09
2024-09-29 41.15 0.30 0.75 1.90 8.29 202.70 850.26 2005.12 4219.80
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