Prediction 964

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Amapá

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 11.14 1.04 1.55 2.42 5.01 24.61 50.11 76.64 110.77
2023-10-15 7.52 0.65 0.99 1.58 3.34 16.81 34.56 53.14 77.15
2023-10-22 6.21 0.51 0.78 1.26 2.72 14.04 29.11 45.00 65.62
2023-10-29 7.22 0.58 0.90 1.45 3.14 16.43 34.34 53.33 78.09
2023-11-05 3.54 0.23 0.39 0.66 1.50 8.19 17.31 27.05 39.80
2023-11-12 10.45 0.84 1.28 2.07 4.49 24.17 51.27 80.37 118.66
2023-11-19 8.72 0.66 1.03 1.68 3.70 20.37 43.57 68.64 101.77
2023-11-26 4.54 0.29 0.48 0.82 1.88 10.75 23.24 36.80 54.81
2023-12-03 8.54 0.61 0.96 1.59 3.56 20.30 44.11 70.14 104.83
2023-12-10 2.02 0.07 0.16 0.31 0.79 4.95 10.94 17.52 26.32
2023-12-17 3.19 0.16 0.29 0.52 1.27 7.80 17.29 27.78 41.89
2023-12-24 3.52 0.18 0.32 0.57 1.39 8.66 19.32 31.17 47.18
2023-12-31 18.47 1.29 2.00 3.30 7.50 45.27 101.24 163.84 248.72
2024-01-07 19.44 1.32 2.07 3.42 7.83 48.01 108.17 175.82 267.92
2024-01-14 11.91 0.75 1.21 2.03 4.74 29.71 67.47 110.18 168.55
2024-01-21 26.99 1.78 2.79 4.64 10.73 67.71 154.76 253.73 389.57
2024-01-28 13.73 0.84 1.35 2.28 5.38 34.79 80.16 132.02 203.48
2024-02-04 19.42 1.20 1.90 3.21 7.58 49.55 114.92 190.06 294.01
2024-02-11 15.75 0.93 1.50 2.55 6.08 40.52 94.66 157.22 244.12
2024-02-18 23.99 1.43 2.28 3.87 9.22 62.13 146.10 243.66 379.67
2024-02-25 18.39 1.05 1.69 2.90 7.00 48.03 113.76 190.54 297.99
2024-03-03 32.62 1.88 3.01 5.14 12.37 85.73 204.38 343.68 539.37
2024-03-10 24.10 1.34 2.16 3.72 9.05 63.87 153.33 258.91 407.80
2024-03-17 20.79 1.11 1.82 3.15 7.74 55.54 134.28 227.67 359.87
2024-03-24 22.47 1.18 1.93 3.36 8.31 60.48 147.19 250.57 397.45
2024-03-31 25.87 1.34 2.20 3.82 9.50 70.11 171.75 293.53 467.21
2024-04-07 21.22 1.06 1.75 3.08 7.73 57.98 143.01 245.41 391.98
2024-04-14 22.59 1.11 1.84 3.23 8.17 62.15 154.32 265.85 426.08
2024-04-21 18.38 0.86 1.45 2.58 6.59 50.98 127.43 220.41 354.46
2024-04-28 12.85 0.56 0.97 1.75 4.55 35.94 90.47 157.12 253.55
2024-05-05 18.83 0.85 1.43 2.57 6.65 52.98 134.16 233.86 378.63
2024-05-12 14.31 0.61 1.05 1.90 5.00 40.58 103.46 181.06 294.14
2024-05-19 13.59 0.56 0.97 1.78 4.71 38.82 99.62 175.00 285.24
2024-05-26 11.32 0.44 0.78 1.45 3.89 32.61 84.22 148.53 242.90
2024-06-02 9.69 0.35 0.64 1.21 3.29 28.12 73.12 129.45 212.39
2024-06-09 9.23 0.32 0.59 1.13 3.11 26.98 70.61 125.47 206.53
2024-06-16 11.92 0.43 0.78 1.46 4.01 35.05 92.25 164.50 271.65
2024-06-23 6.68 0.19 0.38 0.76 2.18 20.03 53.50 96.21 160.02
2024-06-30 9.00 0.28 0.53 1.03 2.94 27.17 73.11 132.11 220.64
2024-07-07 9.71 0.29 0.56 1.10 3.15 29.54 80.08 145.36 243.73
2024-07-14 10.36 0.31 0.59 1.16 3.33 31.75 86.67 157.99 265.89
2024-07-21 12.14 0.37 0.69 1.35 3.89 37.47 103.01 188.57 318.54
2024-07-28 4.98 0.09 0.22 0.49 1.54 15.63 43.37 79.79 135.31
2024-08-04 13.52 0.40 0.75 1.47 4.27 42.38 118.15 218.11 371.15
2024-08-11 6.45 0.13 0.30 0.64 1.98 20.48 57.60 106.82 182.47
2024-08-18 12.81 0.35 0.68 1.34 3.98 40.81 115.37 214.78 368.14
2024-08-25 8.21 0.19 0.39 0.82 2.50 26.43 75.32 140.82 242.27
2024-09-01 10.63 0.26 0.52 1.07 3.24 34.41 98.68 185.23 319.78
2024-09-08 16.58 0.45 0.85 1.69 5.05 53.96 155.68 293.38 508.24
2024-09-15 8.76 0.18 0.39 0.84 2.61 28.84 83.87 158.74 275.99
2024-09-22 10.25 0.23 0.47 0.98 3.05 33.97 99.39 188.85 329.49
2024-09-29 15.19 0.37 0.72 1.47 4.51 50.56 148.86 283.94 497.07
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