Prediction 966

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 330.80 50.34 68.15 96.63 173.11 632.04 1131.87 1604.10 2170.57
2023-10-15 333.00 47.78 65.30 93.60 170.77 649.26 1184.05 1696.42 2317.28
2023-10-22 297.43 40.30 55.59 80.54 149.57 591.39 1097.71 1589.41 2191.07
2023-10-29 237.22 30.40 42.32 61.94 117.03 480.71 907.63 1327.67 1846.54
2023-11-05 236.77 28.76 40.38 59.70 114.68 488.72 938.18 1386.03 1944.34
2023-11-12 230.65 26.58 37.64 56.20 109.73 484.73 945.68 1410.69 1995.62
2023-11-19 241.78 26.47 37.80 56.97 113.01 517.12 1024.96 1543.52 2201.54
2023-11-26 229.96 23.94 34.47 52.44 105.65 500.40 1007.32 1531.09 2201.45
2023-12-03 226.82 22.48 32.62 50.09 102.47 501.94 1025.86 1573.48 2280.26
2023-12-10 204.87 19.34 28.30 43.84 91.04 460.91 956.07 1479.50 2160.62
2023-12-17 178.27 16.05 23.66 36.98 77.94 407.59 857.84 1339.07 1970.33
2023-12-24 205.91 17.71 26.30 41.46 88.62 478.28 1021.03 1607.43 2382.73
2023-12-31 598.99 49.41 73.82 117.25 253.92 1412.84 3058.36 4855.19 7249.30
2024-01-07 747.52 59.00 88.78 142.16 312.09 1790.27 3928.98 6288.79 9457.03
2024-01-14 885.26 66.91 101.37 163.63 364.10 2152.18 4787.43 7725.00 11698.49
2024-01-21 1158.63 83.92 128.01 208.26 469.58 2858.58 6443.71 10480.47 15980.99
2024-01-28 1394.36 96.83 148.71 243.84 556.99 3490.41 7971.32 13066.77 20060.14
2024-02-04 1698.04 113.15 174.92 289.01 668.69 4311.71 9974.35 16476.43 25463.98
2024-02-11 1798.66 115.05 179.04 298.06 698.42 4631.92 10851.64 18061.97 28098.50
2024-02-18 1895.32 116.45 182.38 305.91 725.82 4948.97 11740.02 19687.11 30825.71
2024-02-25 1973.44 116.52 183.68 310.36 745.48 5223.86 12545.49 21193.26 33396.58
2024-03-03 2151.73 122.18 193.80 329.85 801.95 5773.06 14033.61 23879.87 37867.82
2024-03-10 2157.24 117.84 188.10 322.44 793.38 5865.30 14429.47 24729.91 39460.09
2024-03-17 1960.43 103.08 165.54 285.80 711.60 5400.62 13444.11 23204.57 37253.85
2024-03-24 2219.59 112.40 181.61 315.72 795.31 6194.25 15600.55 27115.10 43796.24
2024-03-31 2312.35 112.82 183.39 321.02 818.01 6536.19 16652.35 29143.33 47354.39
2024-04-07 2426.28 114.11 186.58 328.85 847.54 6945.43 17897.35 31536.13 51545.79
2024-04-14 2237.99 101.50 166.93 296.21 772.06 6486.94 16904.82 29988.24 49302.53
2024-04-21 2375.95 103.96 171.97 307.18 809.61 6972.33 18372.65 32809.45 54252.65
2024-04-28 2603.37 109.95 182.91 328.88 876.35 7733.48 20603.34 37035.54 61590.84
2024-05-05 2528.97 103.12 172.53 312.23 841.09 7603.67 20478.72 37051.55 61965.79
2024-05-12 2257.13 88.89 149.55 272.41 741.76 6867.84 18696.71 34045.59 57256.94
2024-05-19 1889.74 71.89 121.64 222.99 613.73 5818.30 16008.77 29337.02 49611.15
2024-05-26 1868.77 68.71 116.91 215.67 599.86 5821.37 16186.56 29850.14 50755.21
2024-06-02 1686.10 59.94 102.53 190.35 535.00 5313.47 14928.95 27703.00 47359.59
2024-06-09 1388.45 47.72 82.09 153.36 435.52 4425.93 12564.12 23458.96 40319.33
2024-06-16 1107.49 36.81 63.67 119.70 343.46 3570.61 10240.09 19236.82 33238.31
2024-06-23 1124.97 35.36 61.72 117.24 342.26 3697.18 10787.62 20475.75 35697.29
2024-06-30 942.43 28.06 49.42 94.83 281.49 3154.72 9358.34 17939.54 31545.30
2024-07-07 782.75 22.08 39.24 76.06 229.56 2668.43 8046.68 15577.27 27625.57
2024-07-14 631.06 16.86 30.23 59.20 181.69 2191.26 6717.98 13134.44 23494.11
2024-07-21 585.05 14.80 26.79 52.99 165.37 2069.16 6449.39 12734.65 22975.26
2024-07-28 501.90 12.03 21.97 43.91 139.32 1807.42 5725.77 11416.18 20770.79
2024-08-04 419.80 9.54 17.59 35.51 114.49 1538.60 4951.82 9966.89 18283.29
2024-08-11 393.84 8.51 15.82 32.23 105.57 1468.50 4799.90 9750.97 18031.43
2024-08-18 367.64 7.55 14.15 29.12 96.88 1394.31 4627.72 9487.70 17684.54
2024-08-25 302.54 5.89 11.16 23.19 78.37 1167.03 3932.81 8136.78 15286.80
2024-09-01 301.17 5.58 10.66 22.36 76.72 1181.40 4041.81 8438.18 15977.74
2024-09-08 288.93 5.09 9.81 20.78 72.39 1152.30 4001.38 8428.58 16083.41
2024-09-15 291.60 4.90 9.51 20.33 71.88 1182.07 4165.37 8851.31 17019.07
2024-09-22 302.70 4.85 9.50 20.47 73.43 1246.91 4457.82 9555.06 18510.60
2024-09-29 236.83 3.60 7.12 15.51 56.52 991.26 3594.95 7771.83 15168.26
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