Prediction 967

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Ceará

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 57.65 12.69 16.20 21.45 34.28 96.91 154.63 204.50 260.60
2023-10-15 53.32 11.22 14.42 19.27 31.22 91.04 147.29 196.41 252.11
2023-10-22 43.71 8.79 11.39 15.34 25.20 75.76 124.25 167.03 215.90
2023-10-29 47.32 9.12 11.90 16.15 26.89 83.21 138.26 187.33 243.78
2023-11-05 50.24 9.29 12.20 16.69 28.15 89.60 150.77 205.84 269.65
2023-11-12 53.47 9.50 12.56 17.31 29.55 96.68 164.72 226.57 298.73
2023-11-19 44.13 7.52 10.01 13.91 24.05 80.89 139.52 193.32 256.50
2023-11-26 47.54 7.80 10.45 14.62 25.57 88.31 154.13 215.08 287.15
2023-12-03 41.41 6.53 8.81 12.41 21.98 77.94 137.63 193.41 259.78
2023-12-10 33.27 5.04 6.84 9.72 17.43 63.43 113.31 160.33 216.63
2023-12-17 21.12 3.05 4.18 6.00 10.91 40.80 73.73 105.04 142.77
2023-12-24 16.90 2.34 3.23 4.67 8.61 33.07 60.45 86.70 118.52
2023-12-31 52.25 7.15 9.86 14.27 26.41 103.28 190.64 275.09 378.09
2024-01-07 51.23 6.77 9.39 13.67 25.59 102.47 191.17 277.61 383.66
2024-01-14 65.31 8.36 11.65 17.07 32.25 132.13 249.05 363.91 505.64
2024-01-21 83.63 10.38 14.53 21.41 40.85 171.12 325.84 479.04 669.15
2024-01-28 103.69 12.47 17.55 26.00 50.09 214.51 412.60 610.26 856.91
2024-02-04 114.01 13.28 18.79 28.00 54.48 238.48 463.27 689.28 972.88
2024-02-11 122.73 13.86 19.70 29.53 58.01 259.52 509.10 761.92 1080.89
2024-02-18 144.04 15.78 22.53 33.97 67.36 307.84 609.73 917.80 1308.56
2024-02-25 188.45 20.04 28.75 43.58 87.23 407.02 813.85 1232.03 1765.26
2024-03-03 217.27 22.42 32.33 49.27 99.53 474.16 957.03 1456.95 2097.71
2024-03-10 201.54 20.18 29.24 44.81 91.37 444.39 905.30 1385.86 2004.98
2024-03-17 222.30 21.61 31.46 48.48 99.77 495.17 1018.01 1566.94 2277.75
2024-03-24 246.09 23.25 34.00 52.66 109.35 553.68 1148.61 1777.54 2596.02
2024-03-31 260.48 23.91 35.13 54.71 114.60 591.90 1238.89 1927.52 2828.12
2024-04-07 292.65 26.12 38.54 60.34 127.50 671.51 1417.96 2217.78 3268.92
2024-04-14 308.09 26.73 39.63 62.36 132.94 713.83 1520.50 2390.59 3539.60
2024-04-21 321.56 27.14 40.41 63.92 137.43 752.19 1616.05 2553.96 3798.44
2024-04-28 385.24 31.65 47.32 75.23 163.11 909.69 1971.15 3131.05 4677.35
2024-05-05 417.82 33.41 50.17 80.15 175.26 995.89 2176.18 3474.20 5212.70
2024-05-12 409.12 31.84 48.03 77.11 170.03 984.23 2168.70 3479.58 5243.41
2024-05-19 390.20 29.56 44.79 72.27 160.68 947.38 2104.79 3393.74 5136.00
2024-05-26 380.80 28.09 42.75 69.32 155.39 932.98 2089.79 3386.06 5146.14
2024-06-02 374.17 26.89 41.09 66.96 151.32 925.00 2088.75 3400.78 5190.25
2024-06-09 380.56 26.65 40.89 66.96 152.54 949.21 2160.62 3534.69 5417.07
2024-06-16 332.38 22.67 34.94 57.50 132.05 836.39 1918.99 3154.32 4854.07
2024-06-23 309.98 19.90 30.98 51.55 120.63 796.31 1861.31 3093.74 4807.00
2024-06-30 266.34 16.23 25.48 42.82 101.83 696.38 1653.75 2774.94 4347.29
2024-07-07 243.61 14.09 22.31 37.86 91.50 648.35 1564.44 2650.26 4186.45
2024-07-14 219.07 12.05 19.25 32.97 80.91 592.87 1452.26 2482.45 3952.10
2024-07-21 199.47 10.44 16.81 29.07 72.43 549.02 1365.37 2355.19 3779.11
2024-07-28 197.45 9.85 15.99 27.90 70.54 552.35 1393.88 2425.48 3921.51
2024-08-04 157.53 7.48 12.24 21.56 55.36 447.91 1146.97 2013.35 3279.94
2024-08-11 142.79 6.46 10.66 18.96 49.39 412.49 1071.41 1896.79 3112.94
2024-08-18 114.82 4.94 8.23 14.78 39.08 336.98 887.73 1584.96 2620.33
2024-08-25 94.16 3.85 6.48 11.75 31.55 280.64 749.65 1349.57 2247.25
2024-09-01 85.61 3.34 5.67 10.37 28.24 259.09 701.64 1273.54 2135.80
2024-09-08 77.70 2.89 4.95 9.14 25.24 238.73 655.30 1199.06 2025.00
2024-09-15 63.80 2.25 3.90 7.28 20.41 199.00 553.59 1021.08 1736.40
2024-09-22 57.76 1.94 3.39 6.40 18.20 182.82 515.32 958.00 1640.28
2024-09-29 45.73 1.45 2.57 4.91 14.19 146.90 419.52 786.00 1354.89
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