Prediction 968

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Distrito Federal

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 175.93 27.26 36.81 52.02 92.67 333.94 594.45 839.43 1132.32
2023-10-15 180.94 26.21 35.77 51.19 93.12 351.49 638.88 913.50 1245.65
2023-10-22 190.76 25.88 35.70 51.71 95.99 379.03 703.05 1017.54 1402.21
2023-10-29 178.92 22.76 31.73 46.51 88.07 363.40 687.52 1006.90 1401.86
2023-11-05 202.23 24.18 34.04 50.48 97.44 419.60 809.27 1198.93 1685.97
2023-11-12 225.43 25.37 36.07 54.09 106.38 477.60 938.59 1406.23 1996.84
2023-11-19 251.53 26.69 38.30 58.06 116.30 543.83 1088.51 1648.82 2363.70
2023-11-26 315.07 31.57 45.72 70.05 142.83 694.90 1415.97 2167.95 3136.90
2023-12-03 353.18 33.44 48.88 75.68 157.02 794.23 1646.93 2548.11 3720.63
2023-12-10 360.94 32.34 47.68 74.59 157.45 827.26 1745.06 2727.75 4018.50
2023-12-17 333.43 28.29 42.08 66.50 142.76 778.60 1670.19 2637.05 3918.85
2023-12-24 265.24 21.32 32.00 51.08 111.50 630.82 1375.63 2193.45 3287.54
2023-12-31 543.80 41.57 62.88 101.30 224.59 1316.51 2917.40 4696.80 7098.62
2024-01-07 590.59 42.91 65.44 106.41 239.67 1455.10 3275.87 5324.01 8112.82
2024-01-14 659.03 45.55 70.02 114.92 262.88 1651.94 3777.13 6195.91 9517.77
2024-01-21 745.81 49.08 76.04 125.94 292.51 1901.34 4414.11 7307.11 11313.84
2024-01-28 892.82 55.99 87.42 146.09 344.40 2314.27 5453.79 9109.45 14214.49
2024-02-04 955.83 57.16 89.94 151.62 362.73 2518.47 6023.01 10149.24 15958.47
2024-02-11 1014.65 57.91 91.80 156.10 378.90 2716.79 6592.07 11204.83 17751.21
2024-02-18 1088.78 59.35 94.78 162.54 400.20 2961.81 7289.75 12496.86 19945.12
2024-02-25 1248.77 65.06 104.66 181.00 451.91 3450.40 8612.30 14888.64 23936.17
2024-03-03 1349.47 67.24 108.94 189.97 480.92 3786.36 9582.44 16703.41 27047.16
2024-03-10 1394.56 66.49 108.50 190.75 489.52 3972.56 10191.58 17910.69 29207.90
2024-03-17 1521.61 69.48 114.16 202.31 526.20 4399.62 11439.84 20266.64 33281.13
2024-03-24 1667.56 72.96 120.70 215.61 568.25 4893.11 12892.68 23022.27 38067.22
2024-03-31 1759.78 73.81 122.94 221.34 591.04 5239.25 13986.35 25171.37 41904.08
2024-04-07 1894.00 76.20 127.78 231.83 627.07 5720.25 15468.65 28054.83 47018.14
2024-04-14 1990.74 76.87 129.75 237.21 649.84 6098.11 16701.82 30523.16 51494.20
2024-04-21 1944.75 72.10 122.50 225.65 626.01 6041.05 16754.98 30851.67 52389.35
2024-04-28 1911.80 68.08 116.43 216.08 606.96 6021.27 16908.92 31367.51 53609.98
2024-05-05 1817.38 62.20 107.05 200.14 569.16 5802.51 16495.92 30827.05 53023.15
2024-05-12 1737.06 57.16 99.00 186.45 536.72 5621.40 16176.15 30449.85 52705.32
2024-05-19 1497.93 47.40 82.63 156.75 456.69 4912.63 14307.27 27125.97 47245.41
2024-05-26 1350.74 41.12 72.14 137.84 406.42 4488.71 13228.73 25259.85 44267.00
2024-06-02 1147.22 33.61 59.34 114.19 340.69 3862.44 11517.47 22147.30 39049.56
2024-06-09 950.29 26.80 47.61 92.28 278.58 3241.03 9777.40 18932.39 33582.94
2024-06-16 764.85 20.76 37.12 72.47 221.36 2642.12 8062.79 15720.08 28051.69
2024-06-23 595.25 15.24 27.52 54.32 168.92 2096.95 6512.90 12832.84 23109.91
2024-06-30 429.58 10.43 19.02 37.92 119.82 1539.56 4856.03 9656.88 17530.20
2024-07-07 375.40 8.66 15.93 32.07 102.94 1368.36 4382.25 8794.46 16091.29
2024-07-14 296.36 6.49 12.05 24.50 79.88 1098.75 3572.92 7235.98 13344.90
2024-07-21 267.28 5.55 10.41 21.38 70.82 1007.92 3327.94 6801.67 12643.68
2024-07-28 229.50 4.52 8.56 17.76 59.78 880.28 2951.18 6086.91 11404.87
2024-08-04 234.30 4.39 8.39 17.56 60.01 913.99 3111.10 6475.38 12228.81
2024-08-11 201.13 3.57 6.89 14.58 50.64 797.93 2757.49 5791.60 11023.74
2024-08-18 181.71 3.06 5.96 12.75 44.99 733.08 2571.81 5450.48 10455.82
2024-08-25 214.80 3.46 6.78 14.62 52.31 881.02 3137.34 6708.78 12969.91
2024-09-01 225.88 3.47 6.85 14.90 54.11 941.87 3404.16 7344.28 14308.35
2024-09-08 219.75 3.21 6.40 14.05 51.79 931.42 3416.38 7435.92 14598.09
2024-09-15 223.14 3.11 6.24 13.83 51.74 961.29 3577.82 7855.73 15539.69
2024-09-22 249.13 3.32 6.71 14.98 56.85 1090.65 4118.51 9121.64 18180.05
2024-09-29 223.53 2.83 5.78 13.03 50.19 994.34 3809.18 8509.40 17086.78
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