Prediction 969
| Model | 2025 sprint test - Sarima |
|---|---|
| Author | Richard Elias Soares Viana |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 864.52 | 16.59 | 31.38 | 65.34 | 222.15 | 3363.62 | 11424.26 | 23747.59 | 44797.66 |
| 2023-10-15 | 1020.60 | 16.45 | 32.00 | 68.82 | 246.97 | 4216.61 | 15116.77 | 32456.35 | 62968.19 |
| 2023-10-22 | 998.67 | 13.57 | 27.15 | 60.28 | 228.00 | 4373.24 | 16521.22 | 36601.07 | 72966.04 |
| 2023-10-29 | 1023.68 | 11.80 | 24.25 | 55.51 | 220.91 | 4742.44 | 18847.42 | 43040.40 | 88090.45 |
| 2023-11-05 | 1093.59 | 10.75 | 22.68 | 53.47 | 223.48 | 5349.94 | 22330.23 | 52512.37 | 110247.25 |
| 2023-11-12 | 1159.94 | 9.77 | 21.15 | 51.30 | 224.87 | 5981.66 | 26180.05 | 63338.79 | 136292.29 |
| 2023-11-19 | 1436.58 | 10.44 | 23.13 | 57.68 | 264.65 | 7796.04 | 35724.77 | 88839.59 | 195777.29 |
| 2023-11-26 | 1716.87 | 10.81 | 24.51 | 62.76 | 301.04 | 9789.32 | 46900.26 | 119778.65 | 270127.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | 1954.41 | 10.71 | 24.82 | 65.22 | 326.65 | 11691.26 | 58483.35 | 153269.78 | 353489.90 |
| 2023-12-10 | 1633.08 | 7.79 | 18.49 | 49.86 | 260.50 | 10234.99 | 53390.94 | 143479.29 | 338190.52 |
| 2023-12-17 | 1672.00 | 6.98 | 16.94 | 46.83 | 254.89 | 10964.58 | 59577.19 | 164058.67 | 394969.20 |
| 2023-12-24 | 1223.13 | 4.46 | 11.10 | 31.47 | 178.39 | 8382.90 | 47394.54 | 133649.69 | 328460.67 |
| 2023-12-31 | 75.39 | 0.15 | 0.52 | 1.70 | 10.45 | 540.00 | 3174.01 | 9160.51 | 22970.30 |
| 2024-01-07 | 68.38 | 0.10 | 0.41 | 1.40 | 9.08 | 510.85 | 3118.40 | 9205.99 | 23541.87 |
| 2024-01-14 | 82.62 | 0.11 | 0.46 | 1.58 | 10.54 | 642.96 | 4072.50 | 12291.51 | 32041.17 |
| 2024-01-21 | 80.73 | 0.09 | 0.39 | 1.42 | 9.89 | 654.03 | 4295.28 | 13247.69 | 35188.40 |
| 2024-01-28 | 84.14 | 0.07 | 0.37 | 1.37 | 9.91 | 709.10 | 4824.92 | 15200.34 | 41124.96 |
| 2024-02-04 | 91.48 | 0.07 | 0.36 | 1.39 | 10.37 | 801.27 | 5644.95 | 18157.71 | 50021.07 |
| 2024-02-11 | 88.12 | 0.04 | 0.31 | 1.23 | 9.61 | 801.70 | 5844.18 | 19186.66 | 53800.75 |
| 2024-02-18 | 94.03 | 0.04 | 0.30 | 1.22 | 9.88 | 887.89 | 6693.25 | 22419.79 | 63971.06 |
| 2024-02-25 | 102.08 | 0.04 | 0.29 | 1.24 | 10.34 | 999.82 | 7789.73 | 26612.81 | 77246.61 |
| 2024-03-03 | 105.80 | 0.03 | 0.27 | 1.20 | 10.34 | 1074.23 | 8645.57 | 30116.11 | 88900.75 |
| 2024-03-10 | 101.32 | 0.01 | 0.23 | 1.06 | 9.55 | 1066.05 | 8858.43 | 31453.49 | 94401.81 |
| 2024-03-17 | 104.01 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1.02 | 9.46 | 1133.30 | 9718.35 | 35163.12 | 107274.51 |
| 2024-03-24 | 93.48 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.84 | 8.20 | 1054.35 | 9326.35 | 34377.34 | 106580.31 |
| 2024-03-31 | 105.11 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.89 | 8.92 | 1226.38 | 11185.01 | 41990.31 | 132266.97 |
| 2024-04-07 | 103.72 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.82 | 8.51 | 1251.45 | 11763.44 | 44966.81 | 143879.41 |
| 2024-04-14 | 100.55 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.73 | 7.98 | 1254.03 | 12144.02 | 47256.48 | 153561.54 |
| 2024-04-21 | 100.52 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.68 | 7.72 | 1295.38 | 12918.74 | 51163.58 | 168814.71 |
| 2024-04-28 | 100.21 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.63 | 7.44 | 1333.67 | 13692.47 | 55178.34 | 184826.09 |
| 2024-05-05 | 90.98 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.53 | 6.53 | 1250.14 | 13208.42 | 54149.21 | 184099.24 |
| 2024-05-12 | 88.39 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.47 | 6.15 | 1253.44 | 13623.85 | 56807.53 | 195999.02 |
| 2024-05-19 | 86.05 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.43 | 5.80 | 1258.90 | 14071.91 | 59667.56 | 208881.38 |
| 2024-05-26 | 81.91 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.37 | 5.34 | 1235.85 | 14202.03 | 61225.38 | 217437.47 |
| 2024-06-02 | 73.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 4.61 | 1136.43 | 13422.17 | 58819.25 | 211882.07 |
| 2024-06-09 | 60.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 3.69 | 972.39 | 11800.11 | 52555.85 | 191999.52 |
| 2024-06-16 | 67.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 3.98 | 1108.70 | 13819.33 | 62543.78 | 231687.18 |
| 2024-06-23 | 62.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 3.56 | 1057.54 | 13538.49 | 62259.97 | 233855.44 |
| 2024-06-30 | 57.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 3.19 | 1005.96 | 13223.05 | 61778.40 | 235250.51 |
| 2024-07-07 | 48.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 2.62 | 883.19 | 11916.86 | 56553.90 | 218298.37 |
| 2024-07-14 | 47.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 2.49 | 889.32 | 12314.30 | 59352.41 | 232199.89 |
| 2024-07-21 | 46.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 2.34 | 889.26 | 12633.34 | 61831.67 | 245140.36 |
| 2024-07-28 | 43.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 2.13 | 859.97 | 12531.49 | 62272.74 | 250166.11 |
| 2024-08-04 | 44.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 2.09 | 889.77 | 13296.30 | 67076.26 | 273007.33 |
| 2024-08-11 | 40.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1.85 | 839.19 | 12857.42 | 65838.05 | 271460.89 |
| 2024-08-18 | 37.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1.65 | 795.66 | 12495.78 | 64940.48 | 271220.02 |
| 2024-08-25 | 35.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.51 | 773.82 | 12454.53 | 65683.00 | 277835.35 |
| 2024-09-01 | 38.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.63 | 876.86 | 14460.09 | 77377.80 | 331460.94 |
| 2024-09-08 | 37.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.54 | 878.58 | 14842.11 | 80576.42 | 349510.12 |
| 2024-09-15 | 33.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.32 | 798.19 | 13810.54 | 76056.93 | 334027.09 |
| 2024-09-22 | 35.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.35 | 863.32 | 15295.90 | 85441.26 | 379889.67 |
| 2024-09-29 | 35.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.31 | 884.94 | 16052.09 | 90936.72 | 409291.83 |
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