Prediction 970

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Goiás

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 318.96 115.10 135.60 163.80 224.61 452.92 620.97 750.05 883.54
2023-10-15 330.13 116.98 138.22 167.54 231.03 471.74 650.44 788.31 931.33
2023-10-22 307.23 107.02 126.80 154.18 213.74 441.59 612.09 744.17 881.60
2023-10-29 357.94 122.73 145.78 177.78 247.66 517.29 720.55 878.61 1043.52
2023-11-05 402.22 135.89 161.80 197.85 276.89 584.26 817.59 999.68 1190.16
2023-11-12 458.82 152.88 182.43 223.65 314.34 669.67 941.14 1153.72 1376.62
2023-11-19 458.66 150.84 180.38 221.67 312.82 672.45 948.87 1166.02 1394.21
2023-11-26 524.19 170.30 204.05 251.33 356.02 771.77 1093.16 1346.38 1613.04
2023-12-03 504.23 161.94 194.39 239.95 341.11 745.33 1059.48 1307.68 1569.58
2023-12-10 413.25 131.28 157.86 195.25 278.52 613.13 874.50 1081.54 1300.41
2023-12-17 228.01 71.67 86.33 106.99 153.12 339.51 485.79 601.95 724.96
2023-12-24 195.46 60.84 73.40 91.13 130.82 292.00 419.06 520.19 627.47
2023-12-31 877.34 270.86 327.20 406.85 585.50 1314.63 1891.79 2352.18 2841.32
2024-01-07 965.33 295.49 357.45 445.16 642.33 1450.72 2093.15 2606.67 3153.04
2024-01-14 1144.73 347.61 421.04 525.14 759.61 1725.10 2495.25 3112.04 3769.22
2024-01-21 1153.62 347.66 421.61 526.59 763.50 1743.04 2527.15 3156.27 3827.47
2024-01-28 1475.38 441.46 535.98 670.32 974.05 2234.71 3247.20 4060.98 4930.25
2024-02-04 1619.97 481.45 585.16 732.75 1067.01 2459.45 3581.28 4484.43 5450.29
2024-02-11 1484.38 438.32 533.29 668.60 975.54 2258.60 3295.38 4131.34 5026.35
2024-02-18 1456.11 427.36 520.47 653.26 954.97 2220.23 3245.51 4073.42 4960.73
2024-02-25 1762.04 514.19 626.80 787.55 1153.32 2692.02 3942.18 4953.09 6037.60
2024-03-03 1784.84 518.01 632.01 794.90 1166.05 2731.98 4007.47 5040.21 6149.19
2024-03-10 2016.09 582.12 710.81 894.87 1314.79 3091.44 4542.01 5717.99 6981.90
2024-03-17 2344.25 673.57 823.12 1037.20 1526.22 3600.68 5298.25 6676.08 8158.20
2024-03-24 2425.49 693.67 848.33 1069.88 1576.59 3731.43 5498.55 6934.46 8480.27
2024-03-31 2357.77 671.34 821.59 1037.02 1530.25 3632.78 5360.51 6765.90 8280.01
2024-04-07 2530.23 717.43 878.59 1109.82 1639.81 3904.11 5768.37 7286.35 8922.94
2024-04-14 2420.88 683.69 837.82 1059.10 1566.79 3740.51 5533.46 6994.78 8571.37
2024-04-21 2405.26 676.72 829.77 1049.67 1554.66 3721.23 5511.39 6971.77 8548.37
2024-04-28 2526.44 708.27 868.96 1099.96 1630.97 3913.54 5802.68 7345.13 9011.37
2024-05-05 2351.02 656.83 806.30 1021.30 1515.94 3646.09 5411.86 6854.76 8414.39
2024-05-12 2088.49 581.59 714.30 905.32 1345.15 3242.58 4817.77 6105.97 7499.14
2024-05-19 1614.16 448.09 550.63 698.28 1038.53 2508.81 3731.14 4731.50 5813.96
2024-05-26 1574.84 435.89 535.89 679.96 1012.20 2450.18 3647.27 4627.67 5689.07
2024-06-02 1278.15 352.77 433.89 550.84 820.71 1990.51 2965.59 3764.72 4630.28
2024-06-09 1146.93 315.70 388.47 493.42 735.78 1787.81 2665.80 3385.82 4166.06
2024-06-16 1001.92 275.08 338.63 430.31 642.18 1563.15 2332.65 2964.09 3648.63
2024-06-23 819.14 218.67 270.41 345.42 519.99 1290.36 1942.35 2480.98 3067.73
2024-06-30 624.20 163.49 202.80 259.97 393.67 989.71 1498.55 1920.84 2382.35
2024-07-07 537.06 138.25 171.96 221.15 336.69 856.64 1304.03 1676.87 2085.56
2024-07-14 489.93 124.08 154.74 199.61 305.43 785.83 1202.27 1550.67 1933.63
2024-07-21 442.70 110.41 138.04 178.58 274.54 713.82 1097.27 1419.24 1774.08
2024-07-28 419.91 103.24 129.37 167.80 259.13 680.43 1050.59 1362.48 1707.07
2024-08-04 392.36 95.16 119.51 155.41 241.00 638.73 990.35 1287.57 1616.71
2024-08-11 397.77 95.26 119.87 156.25 243.26 650.38 1012.38 1319.32 1659.97
2024-08-18 326.96 77.35 97.54 127.42 199.12 536.83 838.75 1095.48 1381.00
2024-08-25 374.52 87.62 110.68 144.89 227.21 617.31 967.86 1266.77 1599.82
2024-09-01 352.92 81.68 103.36 135.57 213.31 583.84 918.43 1204.46 1523.75
2024-09-08 366.20 83.91 106.35 139.75 220.57 607.92 959.30 1260.40 1597.11
2024-09-15 364.90 82.81 105.12 138.39 219.07 607.76 961.88 1266.04 1606.72
2024-09-22 394.75 88.79 112.87 148.83 236.26 659.52 1046.72 1380.00 1753.89
2024-09-29 381.64 85.10 108.34 143.09 227.74 639.49 1017.63 1343.78 1710.21
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