Prediction 971

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 26.25 3.17 4.48 6.64 12.75 53.91 102.96 151.61 212.06
2023-10-15 16.39 1.84 2.63 3.97 7.79 34.35 66.76 99.33 140.19
2023-10-22 19.69 2.10 3.04 4.61 9.20 42.03 83.04 124.78 177.63
2023-10-29 29.92 3.07 4.45 6.81 13.75 64.95 130.39 197.83 283.97
2023-11-05 13.53 1.27 1.88 2.93 6.08 29.97 61.19 93.75 135.71
2023-11-12 27.72 2.56 3.78 5.89 12.30 62.34 129.16 199.68 291.34
2023-11-19 27.36 2.40 3.57 5.62 11.93 62.59 131.65 205.39 302.06
2023-11-26 21.68 1.79 2.70 4.30 9.28 50.44 107.71 169.57 251.33
2023-12-03 14.02 1.07 1.64 2.67 5.89 33.21 72.00 114.36 170.81
2023-12-10 12.87 0.92 1.44 2.36 5.31 30.97 68.14 109.17 164.28
2023-12-17 15.70 1.09 1.70 2.81 6.39 38.36 85.55 138.21 209.49
2023-12-24 8.21 0.50 0.81 1.39 3.26 20.45 46.31 75.47 115.25
2023-12-31 79.12 5.36 8.30 13.69 31.46 198.73 455.08 747.11 1148.46
2024-01-07 109.94 7.17 11.15 18.52 43.09 280.22 650.30 1076.19 1665.85
2024-01-14 115.34 7.21 11.29 18.89 44.56 298.34 701.52 1170.16 1823.75
2024-01-21 110.04 6.59 10.39 17.53 41.90 288.78 687.93 1156.44 1814.56
2024-01-28 130.67 7.52 11.93 20.28 49.06 347.79 839.16 1421.50 2245.32
2024-02-04 157.50 8.71 13.91 23.81 58.32 425.08 1038.64 1772.73 2818.49
2024-02-11 160.02 8.50 13.66 23.56 58.44 437.90 1083.35 1862.86 2980.97
2024-02-18 149.92 7.64 12.37 21.50 54.00 415.89 1041.62 1804.30 2905.73
2024-02-25 153.33 7.52 12.24 21.44 54.49 431.11 1092.87 1906.85 3090.24
2024-03-03 164.13 7.74 12.69 22.38 57.56 467.65 1199.76 2108.37 3438.08
2024-03-10 150.30 6.82 11.25 19.98 52.02 433.92 1126.44 1993.57 3270.86
2024-03-17 125.97 5.48 9.12 16.32 43.03 368.46 967.76 1724.74 2846.97
2024-03-24 135.10 5.67 9.48 17.09 45.56 400.23 1063.38 1908.26 3168.79
2024-03-31 122.85 4.96 8.35 15.16 40.90 368.58 990.52 1789.68 2989.51
2024-04-07 135.39 5.27 8.93 16.32 44.52 411.30 1117.80 2033.29 3416.33
2024-04-14 141.27 5.31 9.04 16.64 45.89 434.50 1194.08 2186.55 3695.12
2024-04-21 142.54 5.17 8.85 16.40 45.73 443.79 1233.12 2272.97 3863.18
2024-04-28 131.39 4.59 7.91 14.76 41.64 414.08 1163.17 2158.06 3688.69
2024-05-05 109.64 3.68 6.39 12.03 34.32 349.74 993.12 1854.50 3187.61
2024-05-12 115.18 3.73 6.53 12.35 35.64 371.79 1067.03 2005.27 3465.91
2024-05-19 77.48 2.39 4.23 8.10 23.67 253.13 734.27 1388.70 2413.44
2024-05-26 75.73 2.26 4.02 7.74 22.86 250.31 733.70 1396.34 2439.94
2024-06-02 71.05 2.04 3.66 7.09 21.20 237.57 703.63 1347.44 2367.19
2024-06-09 65.90 1.82 3.29 6.43 19.44 222.90 667.02 1285.19 2269.89
2024-06-16 56.20 1.48 2.71 5.35 16.38 192.28 581.28 1126.84 2000.75
2024-06-23 43.69 1.06 1.97 3.97 12.43 152.89 471.58 925.20 1659.87
2024-06-30 46.23 1.07 2.01 4.07 12.95 164.43 514.70 1018.74 1841.72
2024-07-07 52.12 1.16 2.19 4.47 14.38 188.17 597.03 1191.33 2168.97
2024-07-14 33.10 0.66 1.30 2.72 8.96 121.53 391.24 787.45 1444.36
2024-07-21 36.52 0.70 1.39 2.92 9.74 136.16 444.50 902.19 1666.93
2024-07-28 34.67 0.63 1.26 2.68 9.10 131.27 434.50 889.20 1654.74
2024-08-04 31.27 0.53 1.08 2.34 8.08 120.25 403.51 832.57 1560.40
2024-08-11 37.13 0.62 1.25 2.71 9.46 144.87 492.71 1024.84 1934.26
2024-08-18 27.02 0.40 0.85 1.89 6.76 107.11 369.25 774.25 1471.49
2024-08-25 30.82 0.45 0.95 2.11 7.61 123.94 432.91 914.93 1750.81
2024-09-01 32.06 0.44 0.95 2.13 7.80 130.77 462.80 985.77 1899.24
2024-09-08 29.75 0.38 0.84 1.92 7.13 123.16 441.56 947.85 1838.49
2024-09-15 24.27 0.28 0.64 1.50 5.72 101.96 370.30 801.04 1564.13
2024-09-22 22.67 0.24 0.57 1.36 5.26 96.60 355.34 774.54 1522.37
2024-09-29 25.01 0.26 0.61 1.47 5.73 108.04 402.43 883.79 1748.48
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