Prediction 972

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 107.76 18.19 24.23 33.70 58.46 198.54 344.06 478.10 635.97
2023-10-15 133.08 21.10 28.38 39.94 70.65 250.58 442.84 622.62 836.70
2023-10-22 132.55 19.76 26.85 38.22 68.90 254.91 459.11 652.88 886.05
2023-10-29 166.25 23.37 32.05 46.12 84.68 326.28 598.56 860.58 1179.11
2023-11-05 202.77 26.92 37.26 54.19 101.27 405.91 758.03 1101.55 1523.31
2023-11-12 228.23 28.65 40.02 58.80 111.81 465.77 885.02 1299.51 1813.32
2023-11-19 241.12 28.66 40.38 59.95 115.93 501.38 968.90 1437.12 2023.00
2023-11-26 282.63 31.86 45.28 67.88 133.43 598.54 1175.86 1761.37 2500.71
2023-12-03 282.51 30.23 43.33 65.58 131.01 609.07 1215.94 1839.01 2632.82
2023-12-10 259.36 26.37 38.11 58.23 118.19 569.03 1153.99 1761.82 2542.97
2023-12-17 198.43 19.18 27.94 43.11 88.88 442.88 912.10 1405.40 2044.78
2023-12-24 149.22 13.71 20.15 31.38 65.71 338.70 708.15 1101.03 1614.51
2023-12-31 606.23 53.37 78.90 123.82 262.79 1398.32 2966.68 4653.31 6875.74
2024-01-07 654.64 55.00 81.93 129.69 279.26 1534.44 3302.90 5225.72 7779.72
2024-01-14 775.43 62.24 93.40 149.09 325.62 1846.45 4031.31 6432.58 9647.25
2024-01-21 829.20 63.63 96.17 154.81 342.84 2005.29 4439.57 7143.39 10791.11
2024-01-28 923.12 67.78 103.17 167.43 375.91 2266.66 5087.45 8253.24 12556.68
2024-02-04 1024.06 71.99 110.36 180.54 410.83 2552.44 5806.57 9496.12 14549.03
2024-02-11 1110.02 74.77 115.40 190.30 438.81 2807.74 6472.60 10669.65 16459.88
2024-02-18 971.90 62.75 97.52 162.08 378.66 2494.29 5825.56 9678.36 15032.13
2024-02-25 1117.76 69.24 108.32 181.42 429.33 2909.86 6884.05 11525.19 18020.38
2024-03-03 1114.45 66.27 104.36 176.11 422.07 2942.35 7049.61 11892.16 18716.79
2024-03-10 1077.80 61.55 97.56 165.88 402.57 2885.34 6999.86 11896.77 18845.76
2024-03-17 1149.74 63.10 100.66 172.42 423.61 3120.30 7663.62 13121.19 20918.60
2024-03-24 1174.62 61.99 99.51 171.69 426.97 3231.13 8032.76 13853.52 22225.77
2024-03-31 1200.09 60.93 98.42 171.03 430.46 3345.44 8417.21 14621.01 23603.45
2024-04-07 1313.45 64.19 104.32 182.57 464.97 3709.86 9445.16 16523.16 26838.48
2024-04-14 1299.65 61.16 100.01 176.25 454.16 3718.86 9579.33 16875.43 27577.39
2024-04-21 1203.48 54.55 89.75 159.27 415.19 3488.11 9089.24 16123.03 26506.13
2024-04-28 1248.65 54.55 90.28 161.32 425.35 3665.16 9660.09 17252.97 28532.09
2024-05-05 1139.48 47.99 79.90 143.75 383.32 3386.88 9027.82 16232.85 27002.56
2024-05-12 1017.61 41.33 69.22 125.38 338.11 3062.34 8254.23 14941.15 24998.05
2024-05-19 890.33 34.88 58.77 107.16 292.21 2712.34 7391.86 13468.68 22663.70
2024-05-26 774.97 29.30 49.65 91.14 251.28 2389.69 6583.91 12075.02 20433.86
2024-06-02 702.21 25.63 43.68 80.72 224.96 2191.43 6103.16 11265.78 19171.43
2024-06-09 572.31 20.16 34.57 64.30 181.17 1807.38 5087.61 9451.34 16173.06
2024-06-16 519.99 17.69 30.51 57.12 162.69 1661.57 4726.82 8836.78 15204.55
2024-06-23 441.42 14.01 24.45 46.37 134.90 1443.92 4195.08 7942.13 13815.35
2024-06-30 364.32 10.93 19.25 36.91 109.25 1214.34 3588.23 6862.32 12042.20
2024-07-07 297.67 8.44 15.02 29.10 87.62 1010.66 3036.25 5864.51 10380.04
2024-07-14 277.44 7.43 13.35 26.15 80.12 960.07 2934.13 5725.66 10224.81
2024-07-21 222.80 5.61 10.20 20.21 63.07 786.39 2446.39 4824.85 8695.87
2024-07-28 186.71 4.42 8.12 16.28 51.79 672.48 2130.33 4247.36 7727.45
2024-08-04 181.68 4.04 7.51 15.24 49.37 667.79 2154.55 4342.95 7976.78
2024-08-11 173.54 3.63 6.82 13.99 46.21 651.02 2139.23 4359.56 8083.71
2024-08-18 154.92 3.04 5.78 12.01 40.41 593.03 1984.47 4088.44 7652.90
2024-08-25 130.52 2.40 4.62 9.72 33.36 509.80 1737.01 3617.41 6834.81
2024-09-01 129.79 2.24 4.37 9.31 32.52 517.05 1793.34 3774.74 7198.29
2024-09-08 131.40 2.14 4.21 9.08 32.29 533.80 1884.27 4008.08 7713.33
2024-09-15 126.22 1.94 3.85 8.40 30.42 522.78 1877.67 4035.74 7836.85
2024-09-22 129.99 1.88 3.79 8.34 30.74 548.70 2004.84 4353.46 8529.32
2024-09-29 128.08 1.75 3.56 7.92 29.72 550.90 2047.18 4490.63 8875.63
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