Prediction 973

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Mato Grosso do Sul

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 131.28 10.53 15.82 25.28 55.20 312.06 680.12 1084.06 1624.27
2023-10-15 132.84 9.72 14.83 24.10 54.14 325.75 730.10 1183.37 1799.01
2023-10-22 146.60 9.83 15.21 25.12 57.97 370.47 853.19 1405.53 2167.05
2023-10-29 208.74 12.88 20.19 33.86 80.18 543.14 1284.19 2149.17 3359.25
2023-11-05 230.04 13.07 20.76 35.35 85.89 615.86 1493.95 2538.88 4021.56
2023-11-12 306.97 16.11 25.91 44.77 111.49 844.85 2101.21 3624.61 5816.22
2023-11-19 314.89 15.27 24.88 43.62 111.32 890.43 2269.11 3971.67 6454.15
2023-11-26 300.71 13.50 22.27 39.61 103.53 873.06 2278.32 4044.88 6654.66
2023-12-03 288.38 12.00 20.05 36.17 96.75 859.13 2294.59 4130.70 6878.17
2023-12-10 201.75 7.77 13.16 24.09 65.98 616.44 1684.22 3073.38 5178.20
2023-12-17 116.85 4.14 7.13 13.27 37.26 366.05 1022.61 1891.05 3223.07
2023-12-24 95.60 3.14 5.48 10.35 29.74 306.83 876.05 1641.25 2829.06
2023-12-31 432.65 13.57 23.72 45.09 131.67 1421.06 4143.97 7862.80 13703.69
2024-01-07 556.53 16.33 28.85 55.52 165.51 1870.83 5570.66 10702.71 18856.55
2024-01-14 604.45 16.60 29.64 57.75 175.71 2078.68 6317.73 12287.86 21880.91
2024-01-21 757.23 19.51 35.18 69.35 215.27 2662.93 8257.97 16256.23 29251.42
2024-01-28 951.12 23.00 41.90 83.57 264.53 3419.08 10814.60 21542.60 39163.78
2024-02-04 1150.58 26.15 48.10 97.04 313.18 4226.38 13630.62 27469.95 50446.26
2024-02-11 1222.20 26.11 48.51 99.00 325.68 4585.92 15075.90 30732.56 57001.10
2024-02-18 1308.08 26.30 49.34 101.83 341.35 5011.93 16789.60 34613.89 64830.64
2024-02-25 1655.01 31.36 59.39 123.91 423.09 6473.13 22090.32 46050.23 87084.77
2024-03-03 1815.36 32.43 62.00 130.78 454.76 7245.89 25183.36 53075.22 101325.94
2024-03-10 1866.37 31.45 60.70 129.43 458.28 7600.01 26894.04 57294.66 110408.42
2024-03-17 1979.29 31.50 61.35 132.22 476.51 8220.38 29610.35 63755.25 123995.59
2024-03-24 2068.50 31.11 61.15 133.16 488.40 8759.66 32110.28 69866.32 137121.56
2024-03-31 2089.99 29.72 58.95 129.72 484.09 9022.23 33649.20 73975.74 146494.88
2024-04-07 2035.78 27.39 54.82 121.88 462.68 8956.34 33978.05 75465.07 150773.10
2024-04-14 1901.95 24.22 48.92 109.89 424.24 8525.59 32893.20 73795.60 148732.08
2024-04-21 1716.70 20.71 42.20 95.75 375.90 7838.77 30750.58 69678.81 141652.58
2024-04-28 1680.43 19.22 39.50 90.52 361.30 7814.58 31163.63 71312.62 146215.91
2024-05-05 1466.98 15.90 32.98 76.35 309.75 6946.22 28154.27 65055.45 134515.69
2024-05-12 1039.84 10.67 22.35 52.28 215.66 5012.41 20645.06 48164.66 100423.86
2024-05-19 777.32 7.55 15.98 37.77 158.37 3813.76 15959.49 37588.71 79021.34
2024-05-26 730.65 6.73 14.38 34.34 146.28 3647.86 15506.84 36867.37 78139.10
2024-06-02 549.63 4.79 10.35 24.97 108.14 2791.97 12054.35 28926.76 61805.55
2024-06-09 438.70 3.61 7.90 19.27 84.83 2266.96 9939.24 24071.54 51843.73
2024-06-16 317.33 2.46 5.45 13.47 60.31 1667.85 7424.66 18146.03 39391.54
2024-06-23 265.19 1.87 4.24 10.66 49.02 1432.81 6538.60 16219.44 35665.51
2024-06-30 240.08 1.56 3.59 9.19 43.26 1330.25 6209.61 15613.53 34739.06
2024-07-07 206.06 1.23 2.88 7.50 36.20 1170.81 5590.06 14246.76 32071.43
2024-07-14 198.36 1.09 2.60 6.88 33.97 1155.81 5645.14 14583.88 33219.35
2024-07-21 128.90 0.62 1.55 4.22 21.49 770.54 3850.28 10083.54 23241.67
2024-07-28 148.12 0.66 1.68 4.63 24.09 908.04 4641.85 12323.53 28742.64
2024-08-04 137.73 0.56 1.46 4.09 21.83 865.96 4528.58 12187.52 28762.89
2024-08-11 129.13 0.48 1.27 3.65 19.96 832.65 4454.09 12150.53 29014.47
2024-08-18 122.97 0.41 1.13 3.31 18.53 812.98 4447.81 12297.84 29711.11
2024-08-25 109.35 0.32 0.93 2.79 16.06 741.20 4146.71 11619.54 28399.58
2024-09-01 118.86 0.33 0.96 2.90 17.04 825.66 4722.54 13409.56 33153.40
2024-09-08 114.58 0.28 0.86 2.66 16.02 815.57 4768.29 13718.41 34305.47
2024-09-15 128.17 0.30 0.91 2.85 17.50 934.56 5583.98 16275.42 41161.41
2024-09-22 122.28 0.26 0.81 2.59 16.30 913.23 5575.23 16460.51 42097.12
2024-09-29 137.09 0.27 0.86 2.78 17.85 1048.23 6537.10 19547.99 50549.07
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