Prediction 974
| Model | 2025 sprint test - Sarima |
|---|---|
| Author | Richard Elias Soares Viana |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 1279.44 | 195.76 | 264.75 | 374.95 | 670.63 | 2440.86 | 4365.28 | 6181.65 | 8358.98 |
| 2023-10-15 | 1298.50 | 186.61 | 254.93 | 365.26 | 666.11 | 2531.17 | 4615.46 | 6612.23 | 9031.68 |
| 2023-10-22 | 1186.68 | 160.49 | 221.40 | 320.82 | 596.17 | 2362.02 | 4388.72 | 6358.50 | 8770.25 |
| 2023-10-29 | 1269.63 | 161.89 | 225.46 | 330.28 | 625.05 | 2578.85 | 4879.80 | 7147.57 | 9952.38 |
| 2023-11-05 | 1267.40 | 152.61 | 214.50 | 317.58 | 611.77 | 2625.54 | 5057.02 | 7486.17 | 10520.24 |
| 2023-11-12 | 1506.16 | 171.54 | 243.27 | 363.91 | 713.21 | 3180.56 | 6232.70 | 9322.42 | 13218.62 |
| 2023-11-19 | 1667.13 | 179.83 | 257.27 | 388.75 | 774.82 | 3586.94 | 7148.36 | 10800.23 | 15448.46 |
| 2023-11-26 | 1753.30 | 179.35 | 258.78 | 394.90 | 800.12 | 3841.83 | 7783.17 | 11875.54 | 17132.05 |
| 2023-12-03 | 1736.83 | 168.69 | 245.43 | 378.15 | 778.59 | 3874.26 | 7975.92 | 12287.15 | 17874.21 |
| 2023-12-10 | 1638.37 | 151.25 | 221.87 | 345.07 | 721.74 | 3718.98 | 7777.47 | 12094.59 | 17738.13 |
| 2023-12-17 | 1136.69 | 99.82 | 147.62 | 231.73 | 492.24 | 2624.72 | 5574.15 | 8748.43 | 12933.45 |
| 2023-12-24 | 1333.48 | 111.55 | 166.25 | 263.35 | 567.87 | 3131.08 | 6750.48 | 10690.63 | 15928.87 |
| 2023-12-31 | 4161.38 | 332.06 | 498.63 | 796.74 | 1743.41 | 9932.68 | 21733.10 | 34724.05 | 52136.71 |
| 2024-01-07 | 5108.17 | 388.98 | 588.50 | 948.53 | 2105.86 | 12390.67 | 27507.45 | 44333.27 | 67067.71 |
| 2024-01-14 | 6140.85 | 446.60 | 680.69 | 1106.51 | 2491.83 | 15133.25 | 34078.12 | 55393.44 | 84421.71 |
| 2024-01-21 | 6583.03 | 457.60 | 702.54 | 1151.63 | 2630.02 | 16477.32 | 37628.03 | 61678.47 | 94686.08 |
| 2024-01-28 | 9092.09 | 604.55 | 934.80 | 1545.03 | 3577.30 | 23108.28 | 53502.27 | 88424.60 | 136719.26 |
| 2024-02-04 | 9960.56 | 633.96 | 987.18 | 1644.89 | 3860.46 | 25699.49 | 60313.22 | 100492.67 | 156475.00 |
| 2024-02-11 | 10905.22 | 664.84 | 1042.46 | 1750.90 | 4164.43 | 28556.82 | 67918.70 | 114071.53 | 178852.12 |
| 2024-02-18 | 12487.55 | 729.71 | 1151.99 | 1950.14 | 4699.60 | 33181.00 | 79959.97 | 135354.89 | 213673.89 |
| 2024-02-25 | 15445.71 | 865.66 | 1375.81 | 2347.12 | 5729.92 | 41635.51 | 101640.50 | 173392.91 | 275566.18 |
| 2024-03-03 | 17666.62 | 950.19 | 1520.19 | 2613.29 | 6461.60 | 48301.88 | 119428.05 | 205298.63 | 328439.99 |
| 2024-03-10 | 19596.55 | 1012.05 | 1629.76 | 2822.82 | 7068.01 | 54332.45 | 136039.22 | 235620.41 | 379418.37 |
| 2024-03-17 | 18610.57 | 923.38 | 1496.58 | 2611.48 | 6620.48 | 52315.05 | 132623.40 | 231416.25 | 375056.27 |
| 2024-03-24 | 18873.08 | 900.11 | 1468.16 | 2580.74 | 6623.15 | 53779.68 | 138016.01 | 242597.12 | 395684.02 |
| 2024-03-31 | 20480.09 | 939.37 | 1541.85 | 2729.93 | 7091.22 | 59147.97 | 153638.69 | 272018.46 | 446463.71 |
| 2024-04-07 | 19745.68 | 871.44 | 1439.24 | 2566.53 | 6746.86 | 57788.28 | 151909.33 | 270884.77 | 447366.23 |
| 2024-04-14 | 18453.12 | 783.96 | 1302.73 | 2339.55 | 6223.14 | 54717.61 | 145543.39 | 261370.83 | 434303.91 |
| 2024-04-21 | 16872.39 | 690.33 | 1154.11 | 2087.16 | 5616.86 | 50682.21 | 136389.39 | 246645.54 | 412321.72 |
| 2024-04-28 | 15861.73 | 625.29 | 1051.64 | 1915.01 | 5213.28 | 48259.84 | 131374.71 | 239219.84 | 402305.48 |
| 2024-05-05 | 15259.68 | 579.84 | 980.99 | 1798.57 | 4952.37 | 47019.07 | 129462.49 | 237349.41 | 401525.55 |
| 2024-05-12 | 12163.93 | 445.69 | 758.46 | 1400.00 | 3898.59 | 37952.03 | 105680.30 | 195058.16 | 331915.05 |
| 2024-05-19 | 9427.64 | 333.21 | 570.35 | 1059.84 | 2984.43 | 29780.89 | 83855.74 | 155810.60 | 266667.45 |
| 2024-05-26 | 8307.82 | 283.35 | 487.81 | 912.47 | 2597.93 | 26566.74 | 75634.13 | 141463.81 | 243501.59 |
| 2024-06-02 | 6827.69 | 224.80 | 389.21 | 732.82 | 2109.37 | 22099.69 | 63606.35 | 119746.13 | 207288.65 |
| 2024-06-09 | 5343.39 | 169.88 | 295.80 | 560.57 | 1631.11 | 17503.98 | 50925.76 | 96494.62 | 167976.95 |
| 2024-06-16 | 4049.97 | 124.37 | 217.78 | 415.38 | 1221.68 | 13425.44 | 39479.27 | 75285.49 | 131785.02 |
| 2024-06-23 | 3394.65 | 98.17 | 173.58 | 334.80 | 1003.13 | 11487.19 | 34411.31 | 66352.75 | 117270.97 |
| 2024-06-30 | 2574.11 | 70.35 | 125.54 | 244.69 | 746.07 | 8880.63 | 27070.00 | 52743.41 | 94063.68 |
| 2024-07-07 | 2220.67 | 57.33 | 103.25 | 203.40 | 631.19 | 7812.22 | 24235.07 | 47718.60 | 85881.48 |
| 2024-07-14 | 1952.92 | 47.55 | 86.46 | 172.18 | 544.07 | 7009.24 | 22139.46 | 44064.97 | 80051.10 |
| 2024-07-21 | 1643.01 | 37.68 | 69.19 | 139.34 | 448.48 | 6018.43 | 19361.89 | 38962.17 | 71458.36 |
| 2024-07-28 | 1370.17 | 29.59 | 54.87 | 111.75 | 366.41 | 5122.93 | 16787.64 | 34156.73 | 63247.28 |
| 2024-08-04 | 1621.02 | 33.00 | 61.79 | 127.20 | 424.77 | 6185.40 | 20644.04 | 42466.13 | 79384.94 |
| 2024-08-11 | 1519.75 | 29.18 | 55.14 | 114.78 | 390.30 | 5916.74 | 20107.85 | 41813.41 | 78902.20 |
| 2024-08-18 | 1449.06 | 26.25 | 50.09 | 105.39 | 364.85 | 5754.31 | 19907.35 | 41840.14 | 79686.07 |
| 2024-08-25 | 1273.66 | 21.79 | 41.97 | 89.25 | 314.49 | 5157.33 | 18157.69 | 38565.35 | 74120.65 |
| 2024-09-01 | 1550.66 | 25.10 | 48.78 | 104.79 | 375.62 | 6400.50 | 22926.99 | 49200.73 | 95412.64 |
| 2024-09-08 | 1566.72 | 24.00 | 47.06 | 102.14 | 372.40 | 6590.25 | 24011.94 | 52056.60 | 101846.79 |
| 2024-09-15 | 1526.18 | 22.14 | 43.79 | 96.02 | 356.06 | 6540.63 | 24234.75 | 53070.31 | 104739.11 |
| 2024-09-22 | 1539.80 | 21.17 | 42.24 | 93.55 | 352.68 | 6721.68 | 25321.91 | 56003.93 | 111484.11 |
| 2024-09-29 | 1520.62 | 19.82 | 39.90 | 89.24 | 342.00 | 6759.86 | 25886.13 | 57815.55 | 116072.76 |
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