Prediction 975

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 40.27 11.28 13.85 17.54 26.01 62.32 92.30 116.75 143.13
2023-10-15 34.84 9.59 11.81 15.00 22.37 54.23 80.74 102.44 125.92
2023-10-22 39.99 10.84 13.38 17.05 25.54 62.58 93.62 119.12 146.80
2023-10-29 43.90 11.73 14.51 18.53 27.89 69.05 103.77 132.42 163.59
2023-11-05 45.74 12.04 14.93 19.13 28.92 72.31 109.18 139.70 172.99
2023-11-12 55.10 14.31 17.78 22.84 34.67 87.53 132.74 170.30 211.37
2023-11-19 48.26 12.35 15.38 19.81 30.22 77.06 117.37 150.98 187.82
2023-11-26 54.95 13.87 17.32 22.36 34.24 88.14 134.82 173.86 216.76
2023-12-03 50.76 12.64 15.81 20.47 31.48 81.81 125.68 162.48 203.02
2023-12-10 27.31 6.67 8.38 10.89 16.84 44.25 68.28 88.50 110.83
2023-12-17 27.49 6.63 8.34 10.86 16.87 44.73 69.30 90.05 113.01
2023-12-24 21.83 5.18 6.54 8.54 13.34 35.70 55.55 72.36 91.00
2023-12-31 120.05 28.46 35.88 46.86 73.18 196.90 307.32 401.13 505.39
2024-01-07 153.46 35.95 45.40 59.43 93.16 252.77 396.05 518.14 654.12
2024-01-14 198.22 45.88 58.06 76.15 119.82 327.87 515.68 676.20 855.37
2024-01-21 196.41 44.90 56.93 74.85 118.23 326.26 515.11 676.99 858.06
2024-01-28 208.39 47.07 59.80 78.79 124.92 347.61 550.88 725.63 921.52
2024-02-04 212.14 47.34 60.26 79.58 126.64 355.32 565.21 746.18 949.44
2024-02-11 200.53 44.21 56.39 74.64 119.21 337.27 538.48 712.46 908.29
2024-02-18 182.22 39.69 50.73 67.29 107.88 307.72 493.11 653.87 835.18
2024-02-25 243.21 52.39 67.07 89.15 143.43 412.36 663.17 881.27 1127.74
2024-03-03 270.20 57.54 73.80 98.31 158.72 459.96 742.37 988.64 1267.50
2024-03-10 266.66 56.13 72.13 96.29 156.01 455.72 738.17 985.14 1265.35
2024-03-17 198.94 41.38 53.28 71.28 115.93 341.35 554.89 742.12 954.96
2024-03-24 203.84 41.92 54.07 72.50 118.32 351.12 572.77 767.65 989.62
2024-03-31 181.72 36.95 47.74 64.15 105.07 314.25 514.42 690.88 892.27
2024-04-07 196.68 39.55 51.20 68.94 113.29 341.42 560.83 754.77 976.53
2024-04-14 168.73 33.54 43.51 58.70 96.81 294.03 484.66 653.61 847.15
2024-04-21 165.49 32.54 42.27 57.16 94.59 289.47 478.77 646.98 840.05
2024-04-28 154.21 29.98 39.03 52.88 87.81 270.76 449.34 608.45 791.41
2024-05-05 141.35 27.18 35.44 48.12 80.18 249.13 414.84 562.86 733.40
2024-05-12 133.21 25.33 33.10 45.03 75.28 235.66 393.73 535.29 698.68
2024-05-19 130.08 24.47 32.03 43.66 73.24 230.96 387.17 527.41 689.59
2024-05-26 112.22 20.88 27.37 37.40 62.95 200.00 336.38 459.14 601.35
2024-06-02 105.38 19.39 25.47 34.87 58.90 188.50 318.08 435.02 570.73
2024-06-09 95.82 17.44 22.95 31.48 53.35 172.02 291.23 399.07 524.46
2024-06-16 74.63 13.42 17.70 24.34 41.39 134.48 228.42 313.61 412.85
2024-06-23 64.31 11.10 14.73 20.42 35.17 117.51 202.11 279.57 370.42
2024-06-30 65.25 10.96 14.62 20.35 35.36 120.35 208.72 290.16 386.12
2024-07-07 50.22 8.22 11.01 15.41 26.98 93.39 163.17 227.85 304.36
2024-07-14 48.77 7.80 10.49 14.74 26.00 91.38 160.76 225.39 302.14
2024-07-21 44.46 6.96 9.39 13.25 23.53 83.91 148.57 209.10 281.24
2024-07-28 56.43 8.68 11.74 16.63 29.68 107.21 190.96 269.73 363.93
2024-08-04 58.54 8.84 11.99 17.04 30.59 111.95 200.56 284.29 384.73
2024-08-11 55.77 8.26 11.25 16.04 28.96 107.31 193.35 274.98 373.23
2024-08-18 55.14 8.02 10.96 15.67 28.46 106.74 193.35 275.89 375.51
2024-08-25 38.73 5.51 7.56 10.87 19.86 75.45 137.42 196.71 268.48
2024-09-01 38.67 5.41 7.44 10.73 19.71 75.75 138.67 199.11 272.48
2024-09-08 45.19 6.24 8.60 12.42 22.92 89.01 163.75 235.82 323.54
2024-09-15 41.21 5.59 7.73 11.20 20.78 81.61 150.89 217.93 299.77
2024-09-22 47.46 6.35 8.79 12.78 23.82 94.49 175.53 254.24 350.58
2024-09-29 36.22 4.75 6.61 9.64 18.07 72.51 135.36 196.63 271.81
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