Prediction 976

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 40.75 5.13 7.17 10.55 20.03 82.80 156.63 229.34 319.23
2023-10-15 37.86 4.44 6.28 9.36 18.17 78.77 152.21 225.72 317.67
2023-10-22 37.34 4.09 5.85 8.83 17.51 79.48 156.77 235.36 334.80
2023-10-29 34.32 3.51 5.08 7.77 15.73 74.70 150.33 228.43 328.34
2023-11-05 31.86 3.04 4.47 6.92 14.29 70.89 145.49 223.67 324.77
2023-11-12 31.11 2.79 4.13 6.48 13.66 70.69 147.87 229.93 337.17
2023-11-19 23.64 1.97 2.96 4.71 10.15 54.88 116.97 183.93 272.34
2023-11-26 22.38 1.75 2.66 4.29 9.41 53.02 115.08 182.94 273.44
2023-12-03 25.02 1.85 2.84 4.62 10.32 60.43 133.50 214.48 323.54
2023-12-10 18.62 1.27 1.99 3.29 7.52 45.89 103.19 167.52 255.01
2023-12-17 14.40 0.91 1.45 2.43 5.69 36.19 82.81 135.83 208.61
2023-12-24 10.61 0.61 0.99 1.71 4.10 27.23 63.38 105.02 162.70
2023-12-31 29.51 1.75 2.79 4.73 11.30 76.80 181.48 303.55 474.19
2024-01-07 27.89 1.56 2.51 4.31 10.48 73.91 177.49 299.74 472.17
2024-01-14 29.87 1.59 2.58 4.47 11.04 80.55 196.49 334.98 532.02
2024-01-21 36.59 1.87 3.05 5.31 13.30 100.36 248.60 427.75 684.83
2024-01-28 42.53 2.07 3.41 5.99 15.21 118.61 298.29 517.94 835.80
2024-02-04 49.43 2.31 3.81 6.76 17.39 140.15 357.78 626.83 1019.42
2024-02-11 52.81 2.35 3.92 7.00 18.28 152.21 394.33 696.98 1142.23
2024-02-18 53.70 2.28 3.83 6.90 18.29 157.27 413.41 737.10 1217.14
2024-02-25 64.10 2.61 4.41 8.00 21.50 190.71 508.53 914.48 1521.30
2024-03-03 69.82 2.72 4.62 8.47 23.06 211.01 570.65 1034.90 1734.29
2024-03-10 78.27 2.92 5.00 9.22 25.46 240.21 658.72 1204.61 2033.34
2024-03-17 76.76 2.73 4.72 8.78 24.59 239.23 665.10 1226.32 2084.81
2024-03-24 84.68 2.89 5.02 9.42 26.72 267.88 754.89 1403.23 2402.40
2024-03-31 102.75 3.38 5.89 11.13 31.96 329.88 942.11 1765.30 3043.34
2024-04-07 114.20 3.60 6.32 12.03 35.01 372.02 1076.59 2033.29 3529.48
2024-04-14 128.03 3.88 6.85 13.13 38.69 423.15 1240.60 2361.42 4126.93
2024-04-21 121.69 3.53 6.28 12.14 36.24 408.02 1211.79 2324.46 4089.64
2024-04-28 140.56 3.92 7.02 13.66 41.29 478.00 1437.81 2779.12 4922.02
2024-05-05 146.17 3.91 7.05 13.83 42.34 504.06 1535.44 2990.30 5330.79
2024-05-12 146.02 3.75 6.81 13.46 41.71 510.56 1574.72 3089.77 5543.87
2024-05-19 154.10 3.81 6.95 13.84 43.42 546.24 1705.67 3371.47 6088.15
2024-05-26 153.86 3.65 6.71 13.46 42.77 552.82 1747.41 3479.28 6322.73
2024-06-02 144.34 3.28 6.09 12.30 39.58 525.63 1681.63 3372.59 6167.37
2024-06-09 129.36 2.82 5.27 10.74 35.00 477.43 1545.80 3122.42 5745.41
2024-06-16 130.74 2.74 5.15 10.59 34.91 488.88 1601.72 3258.34 6032.42
2024-06-23 142.27 2.81 5.33 11.08 37.20 543.23 1813.59 3731.19 6975.73
2024-06-30 140.57 2.62 5.02 10.55 36.06 547.10 1858.17 3862.42 7285.76
2024-07-07 132.98 2.32 4.51 9.60 33.43 528.10 1826.43 3837.82 7307.73
2024-07-14 122.56 2.01 3.96 8.52 30.22 496.20 1746.12 3707.30 7122.97
2024-07-21 103.70 1.59 3.17 6.92 25.06 428.17 1533.53 3290.45 6380.15
2024-07-28 99.36 1.43 2.89 6.39 23.55 418.18 1523.74 3303.27 6462.42
2024-08-04 95.05 1.29 2.63 5.89 22.10 407.81 1511.75 3311.21 6536.12
2024-08-11 85.51 1.08 2.25 5.10 19.50 373.85 1409.58 3118.90 6210.87
2024-08-18 71.03 0.83 1.77 4.07 15.88 316.48 1213.57 2712.43 5448.92
2024-08-25 71.26 0.78 1.69 3.94 15.64 323.43 1261.02 2846.68 5768.21
2024-09-01 63.52 0.65 1.43 3.38 13.68 293.70 1164.20 2654.21 5424.47
2024-09-08 59.69 0.57 1.27 3.06 12.62 281.06 1132.42 2607.10 5373.50
2024-09-15 52.78 0.46 1.06 2.60 10.95 253.07 1036.32 2409.05 5007.13
2024-09-22 50.90 0.41 0.97 2.42 10.37 248.43 1033.72 2426.11 5084.62
2024-09-29 47.65 0.36 0.86 2.18 9.53 236.73 1000.76 2371.12 5010.39
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