Prediction 977

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Paraná

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 642.32 38.86 61.04 102.69 244.78 1685.23 4014.81 6749.69 10591.86
2023-10-15 684.14 37.49 59.84 102.53 252.00 1857.04 4561.64 7810.79 12453.30
2023-10-22 747.32 37.22 60.33 105.22 266.37 2096.32 5304.06 9244.28 14966.96
2023-10-29 865.33 39.30 64.64 114.69 298.77 2505.89 6524.70 11568.47 19010.72
2023-11-05 1011.45 41.99 70.08 126.42 338.60 3020.98 8087.77 14580.59 24309.15
2023-11-12 1341.41 51.05 86.39 158.37 435.78 4128.67 11356.30 20807.20 35180.84
2023-11-19 1463.56 51.16 87.77 163.45 461.75 4638.40 13098.90 24381.36 41791.58
2023-11-26 1750.66 56.34 97.93 185.20 536.80 5708.91 16541.45 31266.03 54311.77
2023-12-03 1975.25 58.62 103.24 198.19 589.03 6623.26 19678.13 37757.30 66447.04
2023-12-10 1859.13 50.97 90.92 177.12 539.50 6406.02 19505.02 37978.22 67691.70
2023-12-17 1910.85 48.48 87.56 173.06 539.92 6762.06 21088.87 41655.78 75176.63
2023-12-24 1920.86 45.16 82.59 165.54 528.77 6977.23 22277.06 44625.66 81524.33
2023-12-31 2448.71 53.47 98.94 201.04 657.07 9124.95 29812.83 60549.91 111945.35
2024-01-07 2935.58 59.60 111.58 229.81 768.20 11217.14 37485.38 77168.79 144352.78
2024-01-14 3706.56 70.08 132.69 276.92 946.38 14516.22 49597.56 103466.96 195786.39
2024-01-21 4355.02 76.75 146.98 310.75 1085.37 17473.43 61015.69 128956.24 246792.50
2024-01-28 5345.48 87.93 170.26 364.60 1300.93 21963.46 78353.56 167734.41 324591.03
2024-02-04 6368.90 97.90 191.62 415.53 1514.18 26787.62 97596.23 211576.30 413929.41
2024-02-11 7589.84 109.13 215.91 474.02 1763.42 32665.96 121503.49 266689.34 527392.33
2024-02-18 8560.01 115.24 230.43 512.09 1944.29 37685.58 143061.71 317862.79 635278.65
2024-02-25 10370.76 130.87 264.40 594.68 2303.61 46687.56 180830.23 406636.98 821218.39
2024-03-03 12543.26 148.50 303.10 689.84 2725.60 57723.06 228041.17 518910.41 1058778.76
2024-03-10 13711.24 152.42 314.27 723.66 2915.52 64480.56 259755.60 598018.08 1232607.65
2024-03-17 15277.71 159.61 332.40 774.25 3179.91 73399.52 301428.62 701995.18 1461442.21
2024-03-24 17135.03 168.38 354.13 834.28 3492.08 84077.20 351894.42 828886.54 1742694.68
2024-03-31 17850.30 165.11 350.65 835.41 3562.92 89428.82 381370.16 908443.51 1928620.87
2024-04-07 17092.20 148.93 319.34 769.29 3342.21 87408.46 379711.75 914558.94 1960331.45
2024-04-14 15077.94 123.84 268.09 652.95 2889.11 78688.32 348130.76 847708.92 1834347.45
2024-04-21 13206.24 102.31 223.59 550.51 2480.24 70315.85 316752.99 779676.02 1703005.78
2024-04-28 11642.71 85.14 187.81 467.39 2143.70 63231.13 289961.89 721386.40 1590335.76
2024-05-05 9487.91 65.52 145.89 366.96 1713.06 52547.40 245252.94 616625.13 1371874.92
2024-05-12 6781.20 44.23 99.43 252.77 1200.86 38290.90 181854.91 462019.33 1037243.91
2024-05-19 4147.82 25.55 58.00 149.05 720.57 23874.02 115355.37 296108.44 670741.79
2024-05-26 3333.74 19.41 44.49 115.54 568.26 19555.14 96111.19 249238.90 569589.24
2024-06-02 2781.73 15.32 35.45 93.02 465.36 16625.75 83102.69 217689.85 501861.80
2024-06-09 2067.55 10.76 25.15 66.72 339.51 12588.53 63981.37 169282.45 393657.13
2024-06-16 1712.13 8.43 19.90 53.34 276.02 10617.72 54863.54 146600.49 343847.00
2024-06-23 1264.95 5.81 13.90 37.75 199.42 8020.89 42282.32 114342.21 270983.74
2024-06-30 1021.30 4.37 10.61 29.21 157.50 6619.65 35591.48 97392.41 233191.30
2024-07-07 782.95 3.12 7.68 21.44 118.07 5188.89 28462.47 78822.43 190697.77
2024-07-14 728.79 2.70 6.76 19.12 107.45 4939.70 27648.78 77500.75 189477.46
2024-07-21 665.42 2.30 5.82 16.71 95.91 4613.01 26349.22 74759.92 184710.82
2024-07-28 607.64 1.95 5.02 14.61 85.63 4308.29 25111.79 72117.14 180062.81
2024-08-04 547.50 1.63 4.27 12.60 75.44 3969.68 23608.43 68620.98 173132.20
2024-08-11 550.63 1.53 4.06 12.15 74.20 4081.90 24765.13 72847.97 185710.90
2024-08-18 574.33 1.50 4.02 12.15 75.72 4352.17 26932.18 80165.55 206474.01
2024-08-25 496.33 1.20 3.27 10.06 64.01 3843.94 24257.54 73055.40 190083.35
2024-09-01 485.37 1.09 3.03 9.44 61.26 3840.86 24712.57 75294.18 197889.53
2024-09-08 626.23 1.34 3.73 11.72 77.39 5062.13 33201.07 102325.01 271624.01
2024-09-15 633.66 1.27 3.58 11.39 76.68 5231.35 34968.51 109003.58 292217.76
2024-09-22 604.93 1.14 3.24 10.44 71.69 5099.30 34730.62 109483.00 296371.88
2024-09-29 730.96 1.31 3.74 12.15 84.87 6290.12 43644.88 139123.06 380259.70
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