Prediction 978

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 58.67 6.84 9.68 14.43 28.07 122.52 237.59 353.12 497.93
2023-10-15 62.52 6.75 9.68 14.64 29.15 133.98 265.93 400.78 572.00
2023-10-22 51.15 5.12 7.43 11.40 23.24 112.41 228.23 348.65 503.48
2023-10-29 39.39 3.64 5.37 8.36 17.45 88.72 184.16 285.05 416.35
2023-11-05 30.79 2.63 3.94 6.23 13.31 71.05 150.67 236.22 348.88
2023-11-12 24.26 1.92 2.91 4.68 10.24 57.32 124.12 197.04 294.16
2023-11-19 25.21 1.86 2.86 4.66 10.40 60.90 134.57 216.21 326.18
2023-11-26 26.29 1.82 2.83 4.66 10.61 64.93 146.32 237.88 362.55
2023-12-03 23.97 1.55 2.43 4.07 9.46 60.48 138.95 228.52 351.79
2023-12-10 22.27 1.34 2.14 3.62 8.60 57.40 134.39 223.53 347.49
2023-12-17 17.50 0.97 1.58 2.72 6.61 46.08 109.91 184.84 290.12
2023-12-24 10.75 0.52 0.88 1.57 3.95 28.94 70.34 119.60 189.51
2023-12-31 23.89 1.20 1.97 3.46 8.69 65.39 161.59 277.60 443.83
2024-01-07 25.72 1.22 2.03 3.59 9.18 71.75 180.38 313.10 505.11
2024-01-14 29.71 1.34 2.25 4.01 10.41 84.43 215.88 378.55 616.10
2024-01-21 32.32 1.39 2.34 4.22 11.12 93.56 243.26 430.83 707.29
2024-01-28 41.56 1.71 2.90 5.26 14.06 122.48 323.66 578.88 958.46
2024-02-04 49.87 1.96 3.34 6.11 16.58 149.58 401.69 725.39 1211.13
2024-02-11 53.41 2.00 3.43 6.34 17.45 163.04 444.84 811.00 1365.27
2024-02-18 54.86 1.95 3.38 6.29 17.61 170.39 472.20 868.97 1474.80
2024-02-25 73.42 2.51 4.36 8.18 23.20 231.93 652.69 1212.20 2073.81
2024-03-03 100.99 3.31 5.78 10.93 31.40 324.34 926.62 1736.65 2994.50
2024-03-10 97.95 3.05 5.38 10.26 29.95 319.88 927.66 1754.24 3048.44
2024-03-17 99.17 2.94 5.23 10.07 29.83 329.23 968.97 1848.61 3237.12
2024-03-24 114.17 3.24 5.80 11.25 33.79 385.16 1150.19 2213.53 3905.55
2024-03-31 120.73 3.28 5.90 11.55 35.17 413.84 1253.71 2433.60 4325.97
2024-04-07 127.84 3.31 6.01 11.87 36.66 445.14 1367.79 2677.67 4795.00
2024-04-14 139.71 3.47 6.33 12.60 39.45 494.09 1539.60 3039.38 5482.45
2024-04-21 146.76 3.48 6.41 12.85 40.81 527.06 1665.20 3314.67 6022.12
2024-04-28 170.50 3.88 7.18 14.52 46.71 621.65 1991.04 3995.82 7311.34
2024-05-05 186.23 4.06 7.57 15.42 50.27 689.25 2237.58 4527.06 8341.68
2024-05-12 180.07 3.75 7.05 14.49 47.88 676.44 2225.55 4538.86 8421.64
2024-05-19 162.57 3.23 6.13 12.71 42.59 619.75 2066.17 4247.29 7934.88
2024-05-26 161.49 3.08 5.87 12.27 41.69 624.63 2109.82 4371.08 8221.74
2024-06-02 141.78 2.57 4.96 10.47 36.07 556.36 1903.73 3974.76 7526.65
2024-06-09 146.89 2.56 4.97 10.56 36.85 584.68 2026.38 4263.35 8126.93
2024-06-16 133.37 2.22 4.35 9.33 32.98 538.41 1889.84 4006.34 7687.40
2024-06-23 128.77 2.00 3.97 8.62 31.14 531.59 1903.72 4084.52 7919.44
2024-06-30 117.52 1.70 3.43 7.55 27.82 495.46 1808.25 3923.88 7683.11
2024-07-07 103.99 1.40 2.86 6.40 24.08 448.02 1667.13 3659.88 7238.65
2024-07-14 95.18 1.19 2.47 5.61 21.56 419.08 1590.17 3531.89 7056.55
2024-07-21 85.82 0.99 2.10 4.84 19.01 386.19 1494.29 3357.95 6777.36
2024-07-28 84.60 0.91 1.96 4.57 18.34 389.01 1534.79 3489.41 7114.27
2024-08-04 78.48 0.78 1.71 4.06 16.64 368.76 1483.39 3411.92 7026.66
2024-08-11 71.55 0.65 1.47 3.54 14.84 343.52 1408.77 3277.85 6818.37
2024-08-18 67.92 0.57 1.31 3.22 13.78 333.09 1392.33 3276.85 6884.22
2024-08-25 62.88 0.49 1.14 2.86 12.49 315.00 1341.90 3194.14 6776.71
2024-09-01 62.71 0.45 1.08 2.73 12.20 320.72 1392.11 3351.03 7179.08
2024-09-08 56.16 0.36 0.90 2.34 10.69 293.24 1296.69 3156.20 6827.11
2024-09-15 49.75 0.29 0.75 1.98 9.27 265.18 1194.38 2939.30 6418.80
2024-09-22 48.43 0.26 0.68 1.85 8.84 263.41 1208.18 3005.73 6626.03
2024-09-29 45.37 0.21 0.60 1.66 8.11 251.79 1175.79 2956.78 6579.20
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