Prediction 979

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Piauí

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 16.46 2.06 2.90 4.27 8.12 33.27 62.58 91.32 126.72
2023-10-15 12.40 1.45 2.07 3.10 6.00 25.54 48.83 71.94 100.66
2023-10-22 12.46 1.38 1.99 3.01 5.92 26.10 50.68 75.35 106.27
2023-10-29 11.54 1.21 1.76 2.69 5.39 24.58 48.46 72.70 103.34
2023-11-05 16.18 1.65 2.40 3.68 7.45 34.99 69.96 105.87 151.62
2023-11-12 19.09 1.87 2.73 4.22 8.66 41.93 85.03 129.77 187.23
2023-11-19 15.70 1.45 2.15 3.36 7.00 35.06 72.12 111.01 161.35
2023-11-26 14.60 1.28 1.91 3.02 6.41 33.12 69.09 107.23 156.98
2023-12-03 10.13 0.82 1.25 2.01 4.36 23.37 49.45 77.40 114.13
2023-12-10 5.64 0.39 0.63 1.05 2.37 13.28 28.52 45.02 66.86
2023-12-17 5.98 0.40 0.65 1.09 2.47 14.26 31.02 49.35 73.80
2023-12-24 2.85 0.13 0.25 0.46 1.13 6.97 15.42 24.75 37.28
2023-12-31 37.25 2.73 4.18 6.81 15.27 90.68 201.80 325.64 493.14
2024-01-07 44.82 3.17 4.88 7.99 18.13 110.61 249.21 405.15 617.53
2024-01-14 51.01 3.47 5.38 8.87 20.36 127.58 290.98 476.55 730.99
2024-01-21 56.45 3.70 5.77 9.58 22.23 143.10 330.35 544.95 841.19
2024-01-28 73.79 4.68 7.32 12.23 28.70 189.50 442.66 735.44 1142.26
2024-02-04 88.76 5.43 8.55 14.36 34.08 230.90 545.75 913.11 1426.88
2024-02-11 96.60 5.70 9.02 15.26 36.62 254.57 608.71 1025.55 1612.28
2024-02-18 101.71 5.78 9.21 15.68 38.07 271.45 656.54 1113.74 1761.37
2024-02-25 135.68 7.47 11.94 20.46 50.17 366.66 896.85 1531.71 2436.64
2024-03-03 158.77 8.44 13.56 23.39 57.99 434.38 1074.42 1847.28 2955.72
2024-03-10 171.47 8.80 14.22 24.68 61.87 474.89 1187.65 2055.47 3307.72
2024-03-17 171.24 8.48 13.78 24.09 61.04 480.04 1213.67 2114.26 3421.65
2024-03-24 198.94 9.53 15.57 27.36 70.08 564.38 1442.36 2528.90 4115.64
2024-03-31 211.78 9.80 16.10 28.49 73.73 607.95 1570.34 2770.89 4534.47
2024-04-07 230.71 10.32 17.05 30.35 79.39 670.07 1749.12 3105.87 5110.53
2024-04-14 270.78 11.73 19.47 34.86 92.12 795.60 2098.53 3749.61 6203.23
2024-04-21 267.20 11.19 18.68 33.66 89.86 794.11 2116.32 3804.81 6328.34
2024-04-28 262.23 10.62 17.83 32.32 87.19 788.24 2122.21 3838.78 6418.75
2024-05-05 272.02 10.66 17.99 32.83 89.44 826.90 2248.89 4092.59 6879.11
2024-05-12 268.81 10.20 17.30 31.76 87.40 826.26 2269.74 4155.33 7020.92
2024-05-19 226.82 8.32 14.20 26.23 72.93 704.94 1955.78 3601.83 6117.09
2024-05-26 232.32 8.25 14.16 26.31 73.89 729.94 2045.08 3788.47 6466.91
2024-06-02 191.00 6.56 11.32 21.18 60.09 606.69 1716.40 3198.15 5486.83
2024-06-09 180.84 6.01 10.43 19.64 56.28 580.59 1658.45 3108.02 5358.91
2024-06-16 178.56 5.75 10.04 19.00 54.98 579.38 1670.86 3149.21 5456.88
2024-06-23 142.09 4.10 7.30 14.11 42.21 477.80 1422.75 2733.44 4815.79
2024-06-30 121.43 3.25 5.87 11.51 35.22 418.08 1271.64 2474.32 4407.53
2024-07-07 113.27 2.87 5.23 10.37 32.26 397.13 1227.72 2412.23 4333.34
2024-07-14 88.29 2.10 3.88 7.80 24.70 314.96 988.89 1961.01 3551.11
2024-07-21 90.96 2.05 3.83 7.77 25.00 330.31 1053.87 2110.08 3853.05
2024-07-28 79.70 1.69 3.19 6.56 21.49 294.86 956.57 1934.42 3562.93
2024-08-04 73.00 1.45 2.78 5.79 19.31 275.14 907.64 1853.89 3444.32
2024-08-11 61.69 1.14 2.23 4.71 16.01 236.83 794.21 1638.25 3069.72
2024-08-18 49.12 0.84 1.68 3.60 12.51 192.04 654.50 1363.12 2575.63
2024-08-25 30.97 0.46 0.97 2.16 7.72 123.35 427.17 898.17 1711.11
2024-09-01 33.06 0.47 1.00 2.23 8.10 133.94 471.14 999.90 1920.40
2024-09-08 24.21 0.30 0.67 1.56 5.81 99.85 356.74 764.16 1479.45
2024-09-15 22.35 0.25 0.59 1.38 5.27 93.80 340.29 735.61 1435.49
2024-09-22 18.45 0.18 0.44 1.09 4.26 78.81 290.29 633.22 1245.41
2024-09-29 16.38 0.13 0.36 0.92 3.71 71.16 266.09 585.65 1160.80
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