Prediction 980

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Rio de Janeiro

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 564.06 63.20 89.88 134.87 265.66 1197.53 2357.98 3537.01 5027.72
2023-10-15 722.90 74.86 107.82 164.17 331.35 1577.01 3182.08 4843.55 6972.88
2023-10-22 577.23 55.35 80.72 124.67 257.69 1292.85 2671.28 4124.12 6010.67
2023-10-29 663.63 59.09 87.20 136.55 288.80 1524.82 3223.83 5046.14 7442.74
2023-11-05 654.80 54.24 80.98 128.52 277.96 1542.32 3334.49 5289.60 7892.81
2023-11-12 734.01 56.68 85.59 137.61 304.16 1771.15 3913.33 6289.07 9490.62
2023-11-19 716.76 51.69 78.91 128.50 290.10 1770.69 3996.00 6503.81 9923.11
2023-11-26 961.13 64.86 100.08 164.98 380.21 2429.42 5596.92 9222.65 14222.93
2023-12-03 782.88 49.48 77.17 128.77 302.82 2023.71 4757.18 7934.06 12364.40
2023-12-10 632.75 37.51 59.11 99.82 239.44 1671.86 4008.30 6764.36 10649.89
2023-12-17 494.16 27.50 43.79 74.82 183.02 1333.96 3260.44 5566.11 8851.45
2023-12-24 316.07 16.51 26.58 45.96 114.61 871.35 2170.34 3747.23 6017.67
2023-12-31 920.71 45.47 73.79 128.90 327.18 2590.59 6572.73 11474.35 18604.17
2024-01-07 1154.45 53.79 88.11 155.57 402.08 3314.33 8562.75 15111.48 24732.95
2024-01-14 1163.58 51.19 84.62 151.02 397.32 3407.23 8960.79 15983.20 26402.40
2024-01-21 1563.47 65.03 108.47 195.60 523.63 4667.87 12492.49 22516.80 37533.99
2024-01-28 1634.82 64.33 108.27 197.24 537.18 4974.88 13544.67 24665.40 41483.58
2024-02-04 1793.65 66.84 113.48 208.84 578.43 5561.52 15399.60 28328.00 48062.78
2024-02-11 1910.51 67.48 115.56 214.78 604.85 6034.14 16987.99 31561.95 54013.18
2024-02-18 2070.37 69.37 119.81 224.86 643.67 6658.84 19055.57 35751.25 61703.69
2024-02-25 2608.44 83.00 144.52 273.86 796.60 8540.72 24837.39 47049.77 81885.13
2024-03-03 3783.94 114.43 200.87 384.24 1135.44 12609.67 37256.27 71247.74 125023.71
2024-03-10 4162.55 119.69 211.82 408.97 1227.56 14114.28 42358.43 81765.98 144649.29
2024-03-17 4426.70 121.11 216.05 421.01 1283.31 15269.08 46535.52 90661.21 161673.25
2024-03-24 5781.51 150.63 270.82 532.52 1648.03 20281.73 62758.98 123384.99 221770.93
2024-03-31 6422.71 159.43 288.88 573.16 1800.56 22909.57 71961.43 142752.37 258586.47
2024-04-07 5767.14 136.46 249.18 498.81 1590.40 20912.28 66667.19 133426.62 243557.50
2024-04-14 5361.73 121.01 222.66 449.65 1454.78 19760.50 63922.77 129057.82 237376.55
2024-04-21 5897.68 127.05 235.53 479.76 1574.74 22087.09 72487.78 147619.96 273559.95
2024-04-28 5498.52 113.11 211.26 434.01 1445.07 20921.16 69647.51 143051.53 267063.70
2024-05-05 5293.49 104.04 195.75 405.57 1369.57 20458.93 69075.48 143078.35 269075.12
2024-05-12 5894.54 110.77 209.91 438.54 1501.66 23137.30 79214.42 165453.31 313412.21
2024-05-19 4460.27 80.14 152.99 322.30 1118.99 17777.62 61709.06 129957.37 247940.29
2024-05-26 4531.49 77.91 149.79 318.16 1119.78 18337.01 64524.02 136998.19 263228.38
2024-06-02 3902.62 64.23 124.36 266.30 950.03 16030.59 57173.76 122375.30 236782.97
2024-06-09 3234.03 50.96 99.38 214.53 775.68 13482.64 48732.12 105142.72 204853.24
2024-06-16 2853.18 43.07 84.58 184.05 674.36 12070.69 44208.55 96139.38 188599.69
2024-06-23 2575.11 36.85 73.00 160.44 597.62 11094.96 41307.98 90719.02 179490.30
2024-06-30 2372.62 32.30 64.52 143.12 541.34 10397.73 39308.64 87121.80 173746.75
2024-07-07 2434.66 31.53 63.49 142.15 546.04 10854.40 41674.16 93222.87 187411.51
2024-07-14 2281.12 28.09 57.03 128.89 502.87 10346.43 40343.95 91087.70 184597.24
2024-07-21 1715.05 20.06 41.09 93.76 371.61 7913.91 31340.12 71417.43 145901.03
2024-07-28 1507.64 16.76 34.63 79.77 321.11 7077.12 28462.01 65460.32 134806.04
2024-08-04 1577.20 16.69 34.75 80.79 330.25 7530.96 30755.60 71388.02 148189.09
2024-08-11 1268.87 12.76 26.80 62.92 261.21 6162.35 25553.13 59856.19 125238.51
2024-08-18 1390.16 13.31 28.19 66.77 281.41 6865.88 28904.73 68323.32 144082.36
2024-08-25 1166.57 10.62 22.69 54.26 232.22 5858.61 25037.56 59716.79 126918.44
2024-09-01 871.79 7.54 16.26 39.27 170.67 4451.37 19309.15 46466.49 99523.72
2024-09-08 1133.04 9.36 20.33 49.49 218.23 5880.95 25889.83 62855.66 135662.76
2024-09-15 855.15 6.71 14.72 36.19 162.03 4511.46 20153.89 49360.52 107348.67
2024-09-22 1108.18 8.33 18.36 45.51 206.63 5941.27 26929.10 66529.48 145781.48
2024-09-29 865.44 6.18 13.77 34.46 158.79 4714.71 21679.31 54022.71 119263.39
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