Prediction 981

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Norte

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 25.72 2.36 3.49 5.45 11.39 57.90 120.08 185.76 271.18
2023-10-15 22.11 1.85 2.79 4.43 9.52 51.16 108.73 170.66 252.29
2023-10-22 18.05 1.38 2.11 3.42 7.56 42.89 93.33 148.57 222.35
2023-10-29 18.50 1.31 2.03 3.34 7.56 45.10 100.41 162.04 245.39
2023-11-05 15.08 0.97 1.54 2.58 5.99 37.70 85.84 140.38 215.07
2023-11-12 14.03 0.83 1.34 2.28 5.44 35.94 83.62 138.54 214.63
2023-11-19 15.12 0.84 1.36 2.36 5.73 39.64 94.18 158.02 247.51
2023-11-26 12.06 0.60 1.01 1.78 4.45 32.38 78.56 133.46 211.29
2023-12-03 10.63 0.48 0.82 1.49 3.83 29.22 72.36 124.42 199.06
2023-12-10 9.06 0.36 0.65 1.20 3.18 25.48 64.36 111.98 181.00
2023-12-17 5.73 0.18 0.35 0.70 1.94 16.54 42.64 75.08 122.60
2023-12-24 7.33 0.23 0.45 0.87 2.45 21.54 56.56 100.70 166.03
2023-12-31 19.70 0.73 1.29 2.40 6.56 58.78 156.95 282.40 469.99
2024-01-07 21.61 0.76 1.35 2.53 7.05 65.78 178.84 325.30 546.51
2024-01-14 21.62 0.71 1.28 2.44 6.92 67.14 185.81 341.61 579.25
2024-01-21 23.08 0.72 1.31 2.51 7.24 73.09 205.85 382.44 654.41
2024-01-28 28.74 0.87 1.57 3.03 8.86 92.70 265.60 498.53 860.71
2024-02-04 24.61 0.68 1.27 2.49 7.44 80.93 235.88 447.28 779.06
2024-02-11 26.57 0.70 1.31 2.60 7.88 88.98 263.67 505.00 887.26
2024-02-18 31.57 0.80 1.50 2.99 9.21 107.67 324.31 627.26 1111.50
2024-02-25 34.13 0.83 1.55 3.13 9.78 118.49 362.73 708.41 1265.91
2024-03-03 39.93 0.93 1.75 3.55 11.25 141.05 438.71 865.00 1558.59
2024-03-10 35.43 0.77 1.48 3.03 9.80 127.39 402.54 801.22 1455.53
2024-03-17 36.61 0.75 1.46 3.03 9.95 133.91 429.76 863.39 1581.17
2024-03-24 42.25 0.84 1.63 3.40 11.30 157.17 512.17 1038.42 1916.91
2024-03-31 60.10 1.17 2.26 4.72 15.84 227.26 751.77 1538.06 2861.60
2024-04-07 75.80 1.42 2.75 5.79 19.66 291.35 978.22 2019.32 3786.26
2024-04-14 83.59 1.50 2.92 6.19 21.34 326.59 1112.84 2317.60 4378.98
2024-04-21 75.50 1.28 2.52 5.41 18.96 299.85 1036.78 2178.16 4146.83
2024-04-28 84.80 1.38 2.73 5.90 20.96 342.19 1200.35 2543.64 4879.03
2024-05-05 77.76 1.19 2.40 5.24 18.91 318.82 1134.47 2424.67 4685.39
2024-05-12 79.54 1.16 2.36 5.20 19.04 331.24 1195.40 2576.54 5015.44
2024-05-19 74.06 1.03 2.11 4.70 17.45 313.29 1146.50 2491.86 4885.88
2024-05-26 78.35 1.04 2.15 4.83 18.18 336.54 1248.68 2736.45 5404.04
2024-06-02 58.29 0.71 1.51 3.46 13.30 254.29 956.56 2113.51 4203.55
2024-06-09 60.12 0.70 1.50 3.47 13.52 266.21 1015.02 2260.89 4528.35
2024-06-16 56.61 0.62 1.36 3.17 12.53 254.48 983.38 2208.05 4453.34
2024-06-23 56.67 0.57 1.27 3.02 12.24 261.07 1031.33 2346.48 4787.03
2024-06-30 53.72 0.50 1.13 2.74 11.33 253.24 1021.28 2352.50 4851.02
2024-07-07 48.32 0.40 0.95 2.34 9.96 233.07 959.47 2237.45 4663.19
2024-07-14 41.50 0.30 0.75 1.91 8.34 204.85 860.85 2032.30 4281.04
2024-07-21 39.19 0.26 0.66 1.72 7.69 197.91 848.89 2028.82 4319.43
2024-07-28 40.75 0.25 0.65 1.71 7.82 210.50 921.50 2229.40 4797.02
2024-08-04 36.86 0.19 0.54 1.47 6.91 194.80 870.25 2131.11 4634.01
2024-08-11 33.58 0.15 0.45 1.27 6.15 181.52 827.42 2050.75 4506.04
2024-08-18 23.57 0.07 0.27 0.82 4.19 130.41 606.52 1521.29 3377.40
2024-08-25 22.37 0.05 0.23 0.74 3.89 126.51 600.07 1522.97 3415.87
2024-09-01 22.60 0.04 0.22 0.72 3.84 130.58 631.56 1621.68 3674.23
2024-09-08 20.71 0.02 0.18 0.62 3.44 122.34 603.23 1566.89 3585.76
2024-09-15 16.67 0.00 0.11 0.46 2.69 100.68 506.07 1329.62 3073.04
2024-09-22 17.62 0.00 0.11 0.46 2.79 108.62 556.31 1478.19 3449.98
2024-09-29 14.77 0.00 0.07 0.36 2.27 93.04 485.57 1304.70 3074.70
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