Prediction 982
| Model | 2025 sprint test - Sarima |
|---|---|
| Author | Richard Elias Soares Viana |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 304.50 | 7.08 | 13.02 | 26.18 | 83.78 | 1105.98 | 3530.59 | 7071.66 | 12917.42 |
| 2023-10-15 | 325.66 | 6.92 | 12.91 | 26.39 | 86.87 | 1220.13 | 4005.32 | 8157.78 | 15119.04 |
| 2023-10-22 | 116.10 | 2.19 | 4.21 | 8.82 | 29.99 | 448.56 | 1513.40 | 3133.23 | 5889.82 |
| 2023-10-29 | 338.74 | 6.03 | 11.59 | 24.49 | 85.09 | 1347.59 | 4669.14 | 9822.08 | 18720.92 |
| 2023-11-05 | 553.92 | 9.12 | 17.71 | 37.95 | 135.21 | 2268.35 | 8067.32 | 17238.00 | 33304.36 |
| 2023-11-12 | 428.41 | 6.46 | 12.75 | 27.78 | 101.62 | 1805.08 | 6586.29 | 14290.73 | 27979.60 |
| 2023-11-19 | 426.25 | 5.92 | 11.84 | 26.21 | 98.32 | 1846.80 | 6909.86 | 15219.80 | 30189.56 |
| 2023-11-26 | 704.02 | 9.08 | 18.35 | 41.14 | 158.05 | 3134.76 | 12021.19 | 26871.42 | 53987.44 |
| 2023-12-03 | 629.75 | 7.50 | 15.36 | 34.95 | 137.62 | 2880.48 | 11316.68 | 25665.60 | 52216.58 |
| 2023-12-10 | 558.53 | 6.14 | 12.75 | 29.47 | 118.86 | 2623.17 | 10553.77 | 24278.40 | 50007.73 |
| 2023-12-17 | 700.23 | 7.15 | 15.03 | 35.18 | 145.21 | 3375.14 | 13900.24 | 32427.27 | 67607.89 |
| 2023-12-24 | 305.63 | 2.84 | 6.10 | 14.57 | 61.74 | 1511.50 | 6369.99 | 15066.29 | 31789.12 |
| 2023-12-31 | 859.97 | 7.59 | 16.31 | 39.25 | 169.53 | 4360.57 | 18797.12 | 45064.99 | 96208.48 |
| 2024-01-07 | 1350.25 | 11.13 | 24.16 | 58.85 | 259.72 | 7018.03 | 30934.32 | 75159.10 | 162323.15 |
| 2024-01-14 | 1243.94 | 9.54 | 20.96 | 51.74 | 233.49 | 6625.24 | 29851.39 | 73487.46 | 160532.41 |
| 2024-01-21 | 1344.71 | 9.62 | 21.37 | 53.44 | 246.42 | 7336.23 | 33778.14 | 84238.37 | 186096.73 |
| 2024-01-28 | 2092.58 | 14.02 | 31.43 | 79.55 | 374.52 | 11689.96 | 54984.84 | 138887.73 | 310244.25 |
| 2024-02-04 | 3063.65 | 19.21 | 43.50 | 111.43 | 535.67 | 17519.57 | 84157.92 | 215271.87 | 486152.87 |
| 2024-02-11 | 3222.06 | 18.89 | 43.25 | 112.17 | 550.52 | 18855.69 | 92477.39 | 239511.81 | 546758.34 |
| 2024-02-18 | 5009.48 | 27.53 | 63.65 | 167.05 | 836.68 | 29991.05 | 150137.60 | 393649.98 | 908241.26 |
| 2024-02-25 | 7287.70 | 37.55 | 87.69 | 232.89 | 1190.14 | 44622.80 | 227954.24 | 604965.87 | 1410542.82 |
| 2024-03-03 | 8549.38 | 41.31 | 97.46 | 261.93 | 1365.51 | 53524.30 | 278950.55 | 749218.25 | 1765111.68 |
| 2024-03-10 | 10759.08 | 48.79 | 116.27 | 316.18 | 1681.15 | 68853.36 | 366001.47 | 994717.30 | 2367652.64 |
| 2024-03-17 | 13980.19 | 59.55 | 143.32 | 394.27 | 2137.60 | 91429.35 | 495592.24 | 1362752.60 | 3276707.98 |
| 2024-03-24 | 17206.45 | 68.88 | 167.42 | 465.90 | 2575.08 | 114968.58 | 635334.31 | 1767309.20 | 4292253.63 |
| 2024-03-31 | 18710.32 | 70.42 | 172.88 | 486.61 | 2741.39 | 127696.93 | 719273.92 | 2023793.61 | 4964123.48 |
| 2024-04-07 | 18811.27 | 66.61 | 165.14 | 470.12 | 2698.96 | 131107.77 | 752562.31 | 2141518.59 | 5304625.28 |
| 2024-04-14 | 22512.66 | 75.06 | 187.89 | 540.88 | 3163.68 | 160195.53 | 936864.76 | 2695946.67 | 6743031.05 |
| 2024-04-21 | 20425.97 | 64.15 | 162.14 | 471.95 | 2812.08 | 148363.04 | 883852.66 | 2571689.15 | 6494253.92 |
| 2024-04-28 | 14440.88 | 42.72 | 109.05 | 320.99 | 1948.07 | 107044.71 | 649478.48 | 1910549.64 | 4870721.88 |
| 2024-05-05 | 8572.14 | 23.87 | 61.59 | 183.35 | 1133.31 | 64833.83 | 400559.46 | 1191153.59 | 3065388.74 |
| 2024-05-12 | 8714.77 | 22.90 | 59.64 | 179.48 | 1129.44 | 67239.04 | 422936.13 | 1271265.87 | 3302149.67 |
| 2024-05-19 | 5090.94 | 12.59 | 33.16 | 100.94 | 646.86 | 40062.32 | 256509.01 | 779255.87 | 2042885.34 |
| 2024-05-26 | 2829.68 | 6.56 | 17.53 | 54.02 | 352.54 | 22707.49 | 147970.84 | 454282.24 | 1201863.89 |
| 2024-06-02 | 2321.92 | 5.07 | 13.70 | 42.70 | 283.72 | 18997.30 | 125970.23 | 390793.32 | 1043290.86 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1661.62 | 3.40 | 9.32 | 29.43 | 199.15 | 13858.51 | 93495.99 | 293062.68 | 789426.44 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1255.52 | 2.40 | 6.70 | 21.42 | 147.62 | 10672.71 | 73246.06 | 231952.92 | 630389.51 |
| 2024-06-23 | 913.34 | 1.51 | 4.37 | 14.37 | 102.98 | 8094.16 | 57670.29 | 186768.97 | 517558.16 |
| 2024-06-30 | 942.51 | 1.44 | 4.23 | 14.11 | 103.56 | 8571.36 | 62508.12 | 205275.54 | 575754.80 |
| 2024-07-07 | 788.88 | 1.10 | 3.31 | 11.24 | 84.50 | 7357.57 | 54888.07 | 182716.37 | 518554.09 |
| 2024-07-14 | 989.14 | 1.29 | 3.90 | 13.41 | 103.15 | 9477.64 | 72443.00 | 244687.49 | 703244.73 |
| 2024-07-21 | 853.44 | 1.02 | 3.14 | 11.01 | 86.75 | 8388.32 | 65602.34 | 224640.34 | 653349.93 |
| 2024-07-28 | 381.61 | 0.36 | 1.26 | 4.63 | 37.76 | 3848.62 | 30801.79 | 106940.50 | 314776.45 |
| 2024-08-04 | 494.25 | 0.46 | 1.56 | 5.74 | 47.71 | 5111.76 | 41850.67 | 147289.40 | 438683.73 |
| 2024-08-11 | 379.26 | 0.30 | 1.10 | 4.17 | 35.68 | 4021.96 | 33677.11 | 120128.66 | 361988.01 |
| 2024-08-18 | 386.43 | 0.28 | 1.05 | 4.05 | 35.47 | 4200.49 | 35963.34 | 130003.50 | 396295.12 |
| 2024-08-25 | 204.54 | 0.09 | 0.47 | 2.00 | 18.28 | 2278.97 | 19946.66 | 73061.62 | 225277.21 |
| 2024-09-01 | 585.75 | 0.40 | 1.45 | 5.64 | 51.25 | 6684.22 | 59791.00 | 221880.14 | 691925.50 |
| 2024-09-08 | 144.90 | 0.01 | 0.26 | 1.26 | 12.31 | 1694.40 | 15487.79 | 58221.38 | 183606.78 |
| 2024-09-15 | 439.73 | 0.22 | 0.93 | 3.84 | 36.65 | 5263.60 | 49150.86 | 187146.52 | 596773.04 |
| 2024-09-22 | 668.14 | 0.36 | 1.38 | 5.62 | 54.44 | 8187.05 | 78081.53 | 301085.46 | 970688.35 |
| 2024-09-29 | 451.98 | 0.19 | 0.85 | 3.60 | 35.95 | 5669.03 | 55210.47 | 215577.34 | 702605.63 |
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