Prediction 983

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Rondônia

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 44.11 5.77 8.03 11.71 21.97 88.43 165.31 240.36 332.52
2023-10-15 41.01 5.07 7.12 10.50 20.04 83.81 159.38 234.11 326.77
2023-10-22 44.78 5.25 7.43 11.07 21.48 93.23 180.30 267.51 376.64
2023-10-29 59.64 6.65 9.49 14.26 28.11 126.39 248.39 372.12 528.36
2023-11-05 68.18 7.23 10.39 15.77 31.58 147.07 293.66 444.16 635.90
2023-11-12 88.79 8.98 13.00 19.90 40.44 194.83 395.08 603.12 870.44
2023-11-19 104.24 10.04 14.65 22.63 46.68 232.60 478.91 737.79 1073.25
2023-11-26 118.83 10.92 16.05 25.00 52.35 269.57 563.34 875.61 1283.61
2023-12-03 113.48 9.94 14.73 23.15 49.18 261.68 554.90 870.09 1285.25
2023-12-10 116.91 9.77 14.59 23.13 49.87 273.91 589.22 931.84 1386.73
2023-12-17 79.03 6.28 9.46 15.15 33.17 188.12 410.44 654.63 981.36
2023-12-24 85.45 6.50 9.86 15.91 35.32 206.53 456.88 734.74 1109.37
2023-12-31 221.02 16.22 24.71 40.12 90.07 542.13 1215.50 1970.58 2996.35
2024-01-07 241.27 16.96 26.02 42.59 96.88 600.62 1364.72 2230.23 3414.74
2024-01-14 243.92 16.43 25.38 41.87 96.52 616.15 1418.57 2336.55 3602.05
2024-01-21 244.02 15.76 24.51 40.76 95.18 625.33 1458.44 2420.90 3757.23
2024-01-28 250.71 15.54 24.33 40.76 96.42 651.67 1539.36 2574.80 4022.62
2024-02-04 265.22 15.79 24.88 42.00 100.59 699.05 1672.16 2818.02 4431.38
2024-02-11 250.96 14.34 22.76 38.71 93.87 670.65 1624.22 2757.59 4364.34
2024-02-18 219.65 12.05 19.26 33.00 81.04 595.01 1458.74 2494.83 3973.58
2024-02-25 224.64 11.85 19.06 32.90 81.78 616.72 1530.31 2636.17 4225.04
2024-03-03 227.63 11.56 18.70 32.51 81.79 633.25 1590.12 2758.75 4448.88
2024-03-10 211.28 10.32 16.80 29.43 74.92 595.49 1512.98 2643.43 4288.98
2024-03-17 177.52 8.33 13.66 24.11 62.13 506.87 1302.84 2292.15 3741.47
2024-03-24 191.91 8.68 14.32 25.45 66.32 554.96 1442.88 2555.98 4197.00
2024-03-31 158.40 6.89 11.45 20.49 54.05 463.88 1219.84 2175.57 3593.40
2024-04-07 134.34 5.62 9.40 16.96 45.26 398.38 1059.40 1902.12 3160.06
2024-04-14 129.61 5.22 8.80 15.98 43.13 389.12 1046.28 1891.04 3159.74
2024-04-21 123.81 4.81 8.15 14.91 40.70 376.25 1022.81 1860.77 3126.86
2024-04-28 107.97 4.04 6.89 12.70 35.06 332.12 912.68 1671.22 2824.15
2024-05-05 111.04 4.01 6.88 12.77 35.63 345.63 960.05 1769.24 3006.46
2024-05-12 90.65 3.14 5.44 10.17 28.73 285.54 801.60 1486.65 2540.20
2024-05-19 76.94 2.56 4.47 8.43 24.09 245.24 695.77 1298.51 2230.85
2024-05-26 76.19 2.45 4.30 8.16 23.58 245.67 704.24 1322.52 2284.37
2024-06-02 67.43 2.08 3.69 7.06 20.62 219.94 637.03 1203.69 2090.26
2024-06-09 75.13 2.25 4.01 7.70 22.73 247.83 725.14 1378.53 2406.55
2024-06-16 63.85 1.84 3.30 6.39 19.09 213.03 629.64 1204.25 2113.35
2024-06-23 63.88 1.70 3.10 6.10 18.64 218.40 659.86 1278.74 2269.80
2024-06-30 51.07 1.27 2.35 4.70 14.63 177.73 545.54 1067.22 1909.88
2024-07-07 53.49 1.26 2.36 4.76 15.05 189.40 590.53 1166.12 2103.94
2024-07-14 49.25 1.09 2.07 4.23 13.61 177.47 562.06 1120.35 2037.84
2024-07-21 40.14 0.83 1.60 3.32 10.89 147.17 473.32 952.13 1745.65
2024-07-28 38.20 0.74 1.45 3.05 10.19 142.45 465.17 944.31 1745.04
2024-08-04 28.26 0.49 1.00 2.16 7.39 107.21 355.40 727.95 1355.68
2024-08-11 29.55 0.49 1.01 2.19 7.61 113.97 383.45 792.40 1487.10
2024-08-18 23.14 0.34 0.74 1.64 5.84 90.75 309.85 645.92 1221.40
2024-08-25 20.04 0.27 0.60 1.36 4.97 79.92 276.89 582.24 1109.29
2024-09-01 21.05 0.27 0.60 1.39 5.14 85.28 299.68 635.54 1219.81
2024-09-08 19.43 0.22 0.53 1.24 4.66 79.97 285.00 609.56 1178.55
2024-09-15 30.90 0.39 0.86 1.96 7.34 128.99 466.03 1005.00 1957.15
2024-09-22 23.84 0.26 0.61 1.45 5.56 101.12 370.46 805.54 1580.01
2024-09-29 24.71 0.26 0.61 1.46 5.68 106.41 395.17 866.30 1711.24
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