Prediction 985

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Santa Catarina

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 170.52 3.61 6.77 13.86 45.60 636.90 2084.70 4238.54 7843.42
2023-10-15 362.22 7.08 13.39 27.81 93.90 1396.51 4703.99 9729.69 18275.18
2023-10-22 270.81 4.81 9.25 19.57 68.04 1076.99 3730.26 7845.39 14950.57
2023-10-29 308.91 5.03 9.81 21.08 75.29 1266.41 4508.15 9638.13 18629.94
2023-11-05 350.03 5.23 10.34 22.58 82.83 1478.19 5404.41 11740.43 23010.36
2023-11-12 341.87 4.68 9.40 20.86 78.57 1486.46 5579.20 12312.03 24461.69
2023-11-19 453.53 5.74 11.65 26.24 101.32 2028.94 7813.31 17509.19 35254.23
2023-11-26 566.27 6.62 13.60 31.08 123.02 2605.28 10289.16 23408.37 47753.65
2023-12-03 707.95 7.65 15.92 36.89 149.64 3347.84 13553.06 31294.07 64666.28
2023-12-10 908.49 9.10 19.15 44.99 186.93 4413.91 18309.17 42896.43 89768.84
2023-12-17 774.29 7.16 15.27 36.44 155.12 3863.24 16412.94 39008.23 82651.98
2023-12-24 473.84 4.02 8.73 21.18 92.45 2426.99 10556.83 25446.26 54579.43
2023-12-31 624.61 4.93 10.83 26.61 118.79 3282.54 14612.77 35714.32 77529.88
2024-01-07 654.67 4.80 10.67 26.58 121.39 3528.85 16071.78 39820.27 87473.10
2024-01-14 932.50 6.39 14.33 36.13 168.67 5153.27 24003.31 60277.03 133964.02
2024-01-21 1191.83 7.62 17.27 44.09 210.36 6750.47 32147.09 81805.03 183912.13
2024-01-28 1934.50 11.58 26.47 68.40 333.30 11225.69 54639.16 140870.05 320311.50
2024-02-04 2529.51 14.15 32.67 85.48 425.53 15034.00 74769.05 195270.34 449000.83
2024-02-11 3152.63 16.48 38.46 101.88 517.99 19185.18 97464.20 257801.04 599360.09
2024-02-18 4886.69 23.92 56.36 151.13 784.44 30438.92 157914.33 422975.46 994143.32
2024-02-25 7769.21 35.62 84.76 230.04 1218.83 49520.69 262287.31 711305.48 1689899.64
2024-03-03 12707.31 54.59 131.21 360.39 1948.74 82858.56 447936.10 1229742.77 2952791.49
2024-03-10 14015.15 56.40 137.00 380.88 2101.56 93462.76 515583.46 1432691.47 3476398.35
2024-03-17 22274.33 84.09 206.31 580.38 3266.72 151875.42 854725.78 2403668.49 5893272.47
2024-03-24 31956.07 113.22 280.60 798.67 4584.92 222724.73 1278460.74 3638059.27 9011669.07
2024-03-31 35932.45 119.53 299.25 861.78 5044.75 255933.98 1498065.44 4313108.94 10792689.09
2024-04-07 40601.72 126.90 320.90 934.85 5579.23 295466.72 1763203.53 5135512.59 12980117.41
2024-04-14 48427.47 142.32 363.45 1070.95 6514.78 359980.61 2189647.89 6450949.39 16467491.90
2024-04-21 41752.07 115.41 297.68 887.17 5499.94 316951.05 1964724.61 5854192.12 15091577.32
2024-04-28 40199.22 104.59 272.42 821.07 5186.38 311576.61 1967906.14 5929733.43 15435579.20
2024-05-05 36957.42 90.56 238.18 725.88 4670.95 292409.29 1881390.62 5732265.93 15065784.26
2024-05-12 29350.58 67.76 179.95 554.55 3634.66 237006.65 1553164.03 4784469.40 12695086.90
2024-05-19 22551.13 49.07 131.60 410.02 2736.80 185815.17 1240023.52 3861618.57 10343505.79
2024-05-26 16376.71 33.59 90.99 286.63 1948.10 137665.63 935387.25 2944483.41 7960954.64
2024-06-02 12017.02 23.24 63.58 202.52 1401.42 103038.80 712707.16 2267584.43 6187844.43
2024-06-09 9642.31 17.59 48.61 156.53 1102.60 84316.38 593602.75 1908712.78 5256536.21
2024-06-16 7071.16 12.16 33.97 110.60 792.99 63048.15 451711.54 1467766.58 4079091.91
2024-06-23 3617.39 5.33 15.36 51.47 386.12 33882.39 253756.13 846709.87 2407880.53
2024-06-30 2866.75 3.89 11.39 38.78 298.04 27567.16 211403.96 715455.19 2059766.62
2024-07-07 1792.44 2.18 6.57 22.83 180.69 17772.58 140100.44 482026.22 1407725.68
2024-07-14 1802.77 2.02 6.17 21.78 176.76 18378.16 148539.58 518761.05 1534784.25
2024-07-21 934.22 0.91 2.92 10.63 88.92 9805.83 81360.77 288639.66 865660.35
2024-07-28 896.42 0.79 2.61 9.67 83.00 9671.67 82260.10 296188.34 899794.36
2024-08-04 531.37 0.39 1.40 5.39 47.80 5897.08 51442.94 188055.86 578856.99
2024-08-11 835.06 0.61 2.11 8.09 73.15 9521.52 85112.35 315716.34 984200.51
2024-08-18 840.46 0.56 1.98 7.73 71.64 9848.67 90229.47 339662.26 1072457.29
2024-08-25 430.90 0.21 0.90 3.72 35.72 5186.25 48668.16 185856.79 594180.64
2024-09-01 666.51 0.35 1.35 5.51 53.84 8238.17 79184.16 306765.55 993012.16
2024-09-08 653.72 0.31 1.23 5.14 51.44 8294.36 81623.64 320703.70 1050896.45
2024-09-15 560.03 0.22 0.97 4.17 42.92 7293.29 73475.32 292768.40 971105.45
2024-09-22 652.86 0.25 1.07 4.64 48.78 8723.08 89933.43 363336.49 1219719.09
2024-09-29 520.55 0.16 0.78 3.50 37.89 7135.24 75271.59 308308.74 1047398.65
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