Prediction 986

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 430.60 39.48 57.99 90.32 189.30 979.28 2051.36 3193.18 4687.15
2023-10-15 452.73 37.57 56.09 88.99 192.34 1065.45 2301.67 3649.45 5443.20
2023-10-22 429.95 32.41 49.14 79.37 176.73 1045.75 2327.13 3755.91 5688.92
2023-10-29 484.80 33.32 51.27 84.25 193.04 1217.28 2787.51 4576.71 7035.96
2023-11-05 573.46 36.05 56.27 94.00 221.43 1484.86 3495.77 5835.51 9101.09
2023-11-12 608.95 35.10 55.56 94.32 228.23 1624.52 3928.62 6664.30 10539.54
2023-11-19 711.30 37.69 60.48 104.28 258.98 1953.29 4848.41 8353.87 13391.55
2023-11-26 822.62 40.17 65.31 114.33 291.21 2323.48 5915.33 10347.93 16807.77
2023-12-03 1008.13 45.47 74.88 133.01 347.23 2926.57 7636.85 13558.23 22306.05
2023-12-10 1134.03 47.33 78.91 142.21 380.30 3381.22 9038.10 16278.69 27118.36
2023-12-17 1006.79 38.93 65.72 120.13 328.92 3081.23 8432.00 15402.03 25972.71
2023-12-24 715.75 25.67 43.88 81.34 227.93 2247.17 6292.39 11652.78 19885.83
2023-12-31 2000.71 66.89 115.56 216.98 621.54 6439.72 18441.22 34612.88 59760.29
2024-01-07 2314.46 72.08 125.96 239.63 701.66 7633.79 22346.52 42498.34 74216.93
2024-01-14 2981.94 86.65 153.10 295.03 882.65 10073.55 30130.61 58045.59 102507.81
2024-01-21 3807.49 103.36 184.63 360.30 1100.88 13167.87 40226.89 78481.83 140126.37
2024-01-28 5039.74 127.98 231.05 456.50 1424.00 17835.66 55628.23 109884.75 198318.29
2024-02-04 6217.84 147.86 269.77 539.53 1717.59 22508.50 71646.83 143262.39 261305.45
2024-02-11 7105.87 158.41 292.04 591.09 1919.74 26301.49 85412.63 172845.81 318556.70
2024-02-18 7828.67 163.78 305.04 624.72 2069.27 29617.38 98092.27 200856.65 373981.67
2024-02-25 9901.65 194.62 366.12 758.51 2561.52 38274.33 129242.03 267723.92 503518.88
2024-03-03 11097.39 205.11 389.68 816.60 2810.72 43814.37 150795.78 315955.37 600137.11
2024-03-10 12345.57 214.77 412.02 873.16 3062.33 49769.44 174536.46 369828.75 709343.04
2024-03-17 13857.20 227.10 439.88 942.56 3367.40 57022.93 203705.92 436439.66 845178.40
2024-03-24 16095.61 248.72 486.33 1053.50 3832.94 67588.99 245892.76 532602.92 1041205.82
2024-03-31 16640.30 242.64 478.88 1048.60 3884.31 71285.67 264044.76 578104.95 1140752.46
2024-04-07 16554.88 227.96 454.07 1004.88 3788.98 72330.63 272707.74 603440.79 1201755.74
2024-04-14 15434.70 200.85 403.74 902.91 3464.59 68760.17 263821.75 589922.73 1185552.52
2024-04-21 13699.02 168.58 341.94 772.67 3016.53 62210.31 242849.29 548668.83 1112575.31
2024-04-28 12891.45 150.13 307.24 701.39 2785.41 59662.93 236911.35 540744.36 1106256.49
2024-05-05 11057.94 121.94 251.76 580.60 2344.93 52144.24 210573.67 485499.47 1001959.84
2024-05-12 8336.26 87.09 181.40 422.56 1735.36 40043.90 164423.32 382890.37 797055.29
2024-05-19 5778.39 57.21 120.23 282.87 1181.08 28269.12 118000.69 277505.47 582631.96
2024-05-26 4481.96 42.08 89.21 211.98 899.67 22326.65 94723.90 224943.74 476280.93
2024-06-02 3632.53 32.36 69.19 166.05 716.23 18421.62 79423.51 190433.64 406591.85
2024-06-09 2789.06 23.57 50.86 123.26 540.27 14396.45 63064.70 152656.63 328637.35
2024-06-16 1979.97 15.87 34.57 84.61 376.87 10400.53 46283.09 113094.75 245466.25
2024-06-23 1466.87 10.93 24.11 59.84 272.51 7893.95 35901.54 88876.97 195094.13
2024-06-30 1189.51 8.25 18.44 46.37 215.80 6554.53 30450.82 76349.08 169454.83
2024-07-07 970.28 6.25 14.15 36.11 171.81 5477.33 26005.90 66058.52 148279.59
2024-07-14 779.95 4.65 10.68 27.66 134.68 4514.36 21921.23 56437.23 128170.14
2024-07-21 656.48 3.61 8.42 22.15 110.47 3898.92 19376.63 50582.68 116264.39
2024-07-28 586.20 2.97 7.04 18.80 96.06 3574.41 18189.82 48162.62 112071.75
2024-08-04 505.06 2.35 5.66 15.38 80.58 3163.09 16488.08 44289.01 104351.28
2024-08-11 452.51 1.93 4.74 13.08 70.27 2911.18 15546.45 42368.45 101087.16
2024-08-18 432.31 1.69 4.23 11.86 65.34 2857.07 15631.31 43221.30 104425.83
2024-08-25 392.92 1.41 3.58 10.23 57.81 2667.36 14949.79 41938.05 102602.30
2024-09-01 427.93 1.42 3.66 10.60 61.31 2983.41 17126.85 48739.52 120735.36
2024-09-08 447.17 1.37 3.58 10.53 62.40 3200.94 18817.66 54318.58 136226.29
2024-09-15 428.48 1.20 3.21 9.59 58.24 3148.50 18950.35 55477.79 140844.24
2024-09-22 413.72 1.07 2.90 8.81 54.79 3119.77 19220.00 57057.13 146616.00
2024-09-29 434.11 1.04 2.86 8.80 56.04 3358.34 21171.88 63724.09 165717.62
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