Prediction 987

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 44.44 2.08 3.44 6.09 15.67 125.76 320.43 560.74 911.03
2023-10-15 43.63 1.87 3.14 5.66 14.94 127.02 332.03 590.00 971.39
2023-10-22 41.36 1.62 2.77 5.08 13.77 123.80 331.81 598.48 998.18
2023-10-29 50.19 1.83 3.16 5.87 16.28 154.32 423.74 775.48 1309.81
2023-11-05 42.80 1.43 2.51 4.74 13.51 135.14 380.01 705.42 1206.27
2023-11-12 35.66 1.08 1.94 3.74 10.96 115.60 332.74 626.32 1084.00
2023-11-19 27.43 0.74 1.38 2.72 8.20 91.25 268.74 512.80 898.06
2023-11-26 33.83 0.87 1.61 3.22 9.88 115.28 347.10 671.18 1189.07
2023-12-03 28.14 0.65 1.25 2.54 8.01 98.30 302.53 592.70 1062.00
2023-12-10 18.38 0.36 0.73 1.55 5.08 65.83 207.04 410.88 744.46
2023-12-17 19.19 0.35 0.72 1.55 5.18 70.33 225.89 453.95 831.52
2023-12-24 5.88 0.03 0.14 0.39 1.50 22.25 73.09 148.78 275.52
2023-12-31 15.84 0.22 0.51 1.15 4.07 60.83 203.56 419.23 784.40
2024-01-07 24.07 0.36 0.77 1.71 6.08 94.34 321.92 670.87 1268.25
2024-01-14 20.42 0.27 0.60 1.38 5.04 81.86 284.90 600.76 1147.33
2024-01-21 18.96 0.22 0.52 1.22 4.57 77.69 275.68 588.07 1134.43
2024-01-28 22.30 0.25 0.59 1.39 5.27 93.24 337.17 727.46 1417.24
2024-02-04 25.31 0.28 0.64 1.52 5.87 108.03 398.02 868.43 1708.39
2024-02-11 25.21 0.25 0.60 1.45 5.73 109.85 412.26 909.49 1806.42
2024-02-18 24.29 0.22 0.55 1.34 5.40 108.03 412.89 920.88 1846.44
2024-02-25 30.26 0.28 0.67 1.63 6.61 137.20 533.85 1203.50 2435.70
2024-03-03 34.12 0.30 0.72 1.77 7.32 157.71 624.57 1423.03 2906.64
2024-03-10 37.30 0.32 0.76 1.87 7.85 175.78 708.41 1631.07 3362.00
2024-03-17 34.56 0.26 0.66 1.66 7.13 166.07 681.01 1584.30 3295.08
2024-03-24 45.90 0.36 0.86 2.16 9.31 224.63 936.91 2202.00 4620.55
2024-03-31 55.43 0.42 1.01 2.53 11.05 276.38 1172.29 2783.16 5891.46
2024-04-07 58.07 0.42 1.01 2.56 11.37 294.94 1272.09 3050.44 6513.43
2024-04-14 59.14 0.40 0.98 2.52 11.37 305.94 1341.48 3248.76 6996.60
2024-04-21 67.96 0.45 1.09 2.80 12.84 357.94 1595.25 3901.25 8473.29
2024-04-28 75.80 0.48 1.17 3.03 14.07 406.40 1840.70 4545.19 9954.99
2024-05-05 90.90 0.56 1.36 3.53 16.59 495.98 2282.51 5690.28 12566.78
2024-05-12 90.75 0.53 1.29 3.40 16.28 503.94 2356.14 5929.70 13203.47
2024-05-19 93.82 0.51 1.28 3.40 16.54 530.13 2517.66 6395.83 14357.56
2024-05-26 110.50 0.59 1.46 3.89 19.16 635.10 3063.23 7854.26 17773.90
2024-06-02 106.87 0.53 1.34 3.64 18.21 624.83 3060.30 7919.14 18064.04
2024-06-09 108.92 0.51 1.31 3.59 18.25 647.66 3220.67 8410.28 19336.32
2024-06-16 119.45 0.54 1.39 3.82 19.69 722.25 3646.05 9607.26 22261.64
2024-06-23 124.74 0.52 1.36 3.80 20.04 773.76 3997.16 10678.73 25042.28
2024-06-30 136.85 0.54 1.42 4.00 21.51 867.77 4572.84 12362.98 29292.84
2024-07-07 132.27 0.48 1.29 3.71 20.36 856.16 4595.77 12563.10 30053.78
2024-07-14 112.91 0.37 1.03 3.03 17.00 746.69 4085.87 11298.29 27298.74
2024-07-21 131.14 0.41 1.15 3.39 19.36 885.05 4932.74 13790.94 33640.90
2024-07-28 135.72 0.40 1.13 3.37 19.63 935.05 5309.04 15008.83 36966.29
2024-08-04 119.12 0.31 0.93 2.84 16.87 837.42 4841.80 13837.25 34402.99
2024-08-11 106.04 0.25 0.77 2.42 14.71 760.73 4478.72 12939.02 32473.39
2024-08-18 77.98 0.14 0.51 1.68 10.58 570.73 3420.64 9988.19 25300.57
2024-08-25 100.46 0.19 0.65 2.11 13.39 749.68 4573.30 13496.12 34501.87
2024-09-01 88.20 0.14 0.53 1.77 11.51 671.19 4166.76 12425.83 32055.49
2024-09-08 86.18 0.12 0.48 1.66 11.03 668.64 4223.60 12726.81 33128.98
2024-09-15 71.53 0.08 0.36 1.31 8.97 565.79 3635.97 11069.34 29072.55
2024-09-22 74.64 0.07 0.36 1.32 9.18 601.63 3932.55 12094.79 32047.60
2024-09-29 64.24 0.04 0.28 1.08 7.74 527.72 3508.18 10899.03 29132.99
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