Prediction 988

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Tocantins

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 15.39 2.81 3.71 5.09 8.62 27.44 46.12 62.90 82.33
2023-10-15 15.90 2.77 3.68 5.10 8.76 28.81 49.15 67.63 89.19
2023-10-22 16.72 2.78 3.72 5.20 9.06 30.79 53.26 73.92 98.21
2023-10-29 16.44 2.61 3.52 4.96 8.77 30.75 53.95 75.51 101.05
2023-11-05 28.61 4.39 5.96 8.44 15.07 54.25 96.44 136.04 183.33
2023-11-12 35.09 5.18 7.06 10.07 18.21 67.51 121.59 172.89 234.60
2023-11-19 39.73 5.63 7.72 11.11 20.33 77.54 141.48 202.74 276.97
2023-11-26 35.56 4.82 6.67 9.67 17.94 70.41 130.13 187.91 258.41
2023-12-03 53.96 7.06 9.81 14.32 26.87 108.27 202.57 294.68 407.86
2023-12-10 53.81 6.77 9.46 13.91 26.43 109.46 207.31 303.78 423.14
2023-12-17 38.51 4.63 6.53 9.68 18.65 79.42 152.27 224.75 315.02
2023-12-24 23.91 2.73 3.89 5.84 11.41 50.01 97.05 144.28 203.49
2023-12-31 54.45 6.10 8.69 13.06 25.71 115.20 226.05 338.34 480.01
2024-01-07 43.35 4.66 6.69 10.13 20.20 92.92 184.43 277.95 396.67
2024-01-14 65.63 6.84 9.86 15.02 30.23 142.37 285.72 433.46 622.20
2024-01-21 80.02 8.07 11.69 17.90 36.41 175.69 356.48 544.38 785.90
2024-01-28 86.69 8.44 12.30 18.96 38.98 192.64 395.13 607.34 881.74
2024-02-04 89.46 8.42 12.33 19.13 39.75 201.18 417.09 645.20 941.92
2024-02-11 101.61 9.25 13.62 21.25 44.63 231.17 484.32 753.92 1106.68
2024-02-18 99.41 8.74 12.95 20.34 43.16 228.81 484.38 758.72 1119.75
2024-02-25 97.85 8.32 12.39 19.59 42.00 227.81 487.23 767.90 1139.34
2024-03-03 110.59 9.11 13.64 21.68 46.94 260.36 562.50 891.89 1330.27
2024-03-10 98.44 7.84 11.80 18.88 41.32 234.35 511.40 815.73 1223.00
2024-03-17 104.99 8.10 12.26 19.73 43.59 252.68 556.86 893.51 1346.48
2024-03-24 125.78 9.42 14.32 23.17 51.67 305.99 680.91 1098.92 1664.40
2024-03-31 126.58 9.19 14.04 22.85 51.45 311.25 699.31 1135.13 1727.85
2024-04-07 131.19 9.23 14.18 23.21 52.76 326.00 739.45 1207.12 1846.53
2024-04-14 121.92 8.32 12.84 21.14 48.52 306.16 701.01 1150.83 1769.03
2024-04-21 118.44 7.83 12.15 20.13 46.64 300.50 694.47 1146.46 1770.83
2024-04-28 116.13 7.45 11.62 19.35 45.27 297.66 694.28 1152.46 1788.60
2024-05-05 115.04 7.17 11.23 18.81 44.39 297.88 701.12 1170.17 1824.69
2024-05-12 115.98 7.01 11.05 18.60 44.31 303.32 720.38 1208.79 1893.73
2024-05-19 97.93 5.74 9.09 15.40 37.04 258.70 619.94 1045.83 1646.02
2024-05-26 88.14 5.01 7.98 13.59 33.00 235.13 568.46 964.05 1524.28
2024-06-02 78.27 4.31 6.90 11.84 29.01 210.86 514.26 876.72 1392.50
2024-06-09 67.63 3.61 5.81 10.03 24.82 183.99 452.63 775.66 1237.53
2024-06-16 57.02 2.94 4.77 8.29 20.72 156.63 388.67 669.48 1072.88
2024-06-23 50.76 2.49 4.07 7.15 18.14 141.70 356.71 619.73 1000.58
2024-06-30 38.20 1.77 2.94 5.22 13.46 108.11 275.46 482.02 783.10
2024-07-07 38.95 1.74 2.90 5.19 13.54 111.71 288.08 507.77 830.12
2024-07-14 32.63 1.38 2.34 4.23 11.19 94.84 247.45 439.18 722.31
2024-07-21 30.71 1.24 2.12 3.87 10.39 90.43 238.72 426.68 706.03
2024-07-28 31.68 1.24 2.12 3.90 10.58 94.44 252.16 453.75 755.25
2024-08-04 24.07 0.88 1.54 2.87 7.92 72.72 196.42 355.89 595.88
2024-08-11 28.75 1.03 1.80 3.37 9.36 87.92 240.09 437.90 737.43
2024-08-18 19.62 0.64 1.16 2.21 6.29 60.82 167.98 308.45 522.45
2024-08-25 20.98 0.67 1.21 2.32 6.64 65.80 183.73 339.56 578.41
2024-09-01 19.39 0.59 1.07 2.08 6.06 61.56 173.77 323.24 553.72
2024-09-08 21.91 0.65 1.19 2.31 6.77 70.37 200.75 375.82 647.35
2024-09-15 17.34 0.47 0.89 1.77 5.28 56.41 162.69 306.52 530.92
2024-09-22 22.41 0.61 1.14 2.26 6.77 73.68 214.67 406.97 708.73
2024-09-29 15.61 0.38 0.74 1.51 4.64 51.98 153.09 292.08 511.42
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