Prediction 989

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 54.02 4.05 6.18 10.00 22.27 130.85 289.94 466.71 705.25
2024-10-13 70.53 4.90 7.55 12.40 28.29 175.65 399.13 652.23 998.57
2024-10-20 80.58 5.17 8.07 13.45 31.45 206.19 480.11 796.14 1234.49
2024-10-27 94.02 5.60 8.84 14.94 35.75 247.02 589.01 990.73 1555.31
2024-11-03 111.46 6.16 9.85 16.87 41.31 300.43 733.15 1250.36 1986.65
2024-11-10 124.24 6.39 10.33 17.94 44.91 343.38 857.08 1481.62 2381.84
2024-11-17 129.11 6.18 10.11 17.79 45.54 365.67 933.07 1634.40 2657.67
2024-11-24 179.12 8.03 13.26 23.61 61.71 519.56 1354.54 2403.40 3952.05
2024-12-01 172.62 7.22 12.06 21.76 58.09 512.56 1364.74 2452.22 4076.67
2024-12-08 178.08 6.96 11.77 21.49 58.57 541.01 1470.51 2675.10 4495.04
2024-12-15 126.50 4.60 7.88 14.60 40.66 393.11 1090.36 2007.68 3409.15
2024-12-22 72.98 2.45 4.27 8.04 22.92 231.94 656.28 1222.86 2097.98
2024-12-29 270.38 8.75 15.23 28.81 83.27 877.45 2530.97 4770.97 8268.03
2025-01-05 255.53 7.76 13.66 26.14 77.04 847.04 2490.37 4748.39 8310.85
2025-01-12 262.21 7.49 13.32 25.78 77.42 887.50 2658.72 5126.61 9060.63
2025-01-19 224.24 6.02 10.82 21.19 64.85 774.71 2364.06 4609.04 8224.26
2025-01-26 217.79 5.51 10.00 19.80 61.73 767.77 2385.78 4702.18 8469.86
2025-02-02 206.88 4.93 9.04 18.10 57.48 743.95 2353.44 4688.28 8523.47
2025-02-09 169.59 3.79 7.04 14.28 46.19 621.92 2002.34 4031.07 7395.86
2025-02-16 154.59 3.26 6.11 12.54 41.30 577.97 1893.39 3851.46 7130.17
2025-02-23 167.52 3.34 6.33 13.11 43.91 638.27 2126.90 4370.89 8163.82
2025-03-02 148.98 2.80 5.36 11.24 38.32 578.39 1960.13 4068.97 7666.62
2025-03-09 125.97 2.22 4.32 9.16 31.80 498.22 1716.74 3599.35 6840.50
2025-03-16 105.49 1.75 3.44 7.39 26.13 424.94 1488.47 3151.53 6040.60
2025-03-23 89.37 1.38 2.77 6.03 21.73 366.58 1305.02 2789.99 5392.73
2025-03-30 83.37 1.22 2.46 5.43 19.91 348.11 1259.24 2717.99 5297.31
2025-04-06 87.39 1.21 2.47 5.51 20.51 371.35 1364.65 2973.44 5842.81
2025-04-13 80.24 1.04 2.17 4.88 18.50 346.95 1295.02 2848.19 5642.17
2025-04-20 80.51 0.99 2.08 4.74 18.25 354.13 1342.35 2979.62 5949.93
2025-04-27 74.37 0.86 1.83 4.23 16.56 332.72 1280.56 2868.49 5773.47
2025-05-04 66.95 0.72 1.57 3.68 14.65 304.62 1190.25 2690.33 5457.39
2025-05-11 58.38 0.58 1.30 3.09 12.56 270.09 1071.20 2442.93 4994.01
2025-05-18 51.00 0.47 1.08 2.60 10.78 239.90 965.61 2221.66 4576.56
2025-05-25 45.64 0.39 0.91 2.25 9.48 218.25 891.41 2068.92 4294.29
2025-06-01 39.25 0.30 0.74 1.86 8.01 190.75 790.46 1850.56 3869.95
2025-06-08 30.71 0.20 0.53 1.39 6.15 151.73 637.86 1506.16 3173.20
2025-06-15 28.14 0.16 0.46 1.22 5.54 141.29 602.48 1434.70 3044.93
2025-06-22 28.78 0.15 0.44 1.20 5.54 147.73 642.64 1548.78 3321.40
2025-06-29 27.86 0.13 0.40 1.11 5.26 145.87 645.84 1573.02 3404.37
2025-07-06 28.76 0.12 0.39 1.10 5.32 153.55 691.90 1703.05 3719.66
2025-07-13 28.00 0.11 0.35 1.03 5.08 152.46 699.25 1739.41 3834.04
2025-07-20 26.18 0.08 0.30 0.92 4.65 145.41 678.80 1706.45 3795.92
2025-07-27 24.60 0.06 0.26 0.82 4.28 139.33 661.90 1681.49 3774.56
2025-08-03 23.19 0.04 0.23 0.74 3.95 133.92 647.35 1661.73 3764.00
2025-08-10 22.31 0.03 0.20 0.68 3.72 131.38 646.12 1675.75 3829.86
2025-08-17 19.38 0.01 0.15 0.55 3.16 116.33 582.04 1525.07 3516.50
2025-08-24 20.36 0.01 0.15 0.56 3.26 124.56 633.81 1677.59 3902.26
2025-08-31 24.79 0.02 0.19 0.68 3.91 154.39 798.71 2135.29 5010.21
2025-09-07 24.56 0.02 0.17 0.64 3.80 155.80 819.51 2212.74 5236.80
2025-09-14 27.81 0.02 0.20 0.71 4.24 179.60 960.23 2618.26 6249.52
2025-09-21 33.27 0.04 0.24 0.84 4.99 218.62 1187.92 3270.70 7872.92
2025-09-28 38.77 0.06 0.28 0.96 5.72 259.26 1431.52 3979.51 9659.42
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