Prediction 990
Model | 2025 sprint test - Sarima |
---|---|
Author | Richard Elias Soares Viana |
ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 311.68 | 41.37 | 57.26 | 83.26 | 155.62 | 624.16 | 1165.99 | 1694.76 | 2344.10 |
2024-10-13 | 315.47 | 39.04 | 54.65 | 80.51 | 153.77 | 647.11 | 1235.29 | 1818.89 | 2544.19 |
2024-10-20 | 254.96 | 29.47 | 41.71 | 62.24 | 121.41 | 535.31 | 1043.50 | 1555.86 | 2200.05 |
2024-10-27 | 240.02 | 25.97 | 37.16 | 56.13 | 111.74 | 515.44 | 1025.36 | 1547.49 | 2211.39 |
2024-11-03 | 243.04 | 24.67 | 35.66 | 54.51 | 110.69 | 533.48 | 1082.38 | 1652.92 | 2386.32 |
2024-11-10 | 208.33 | 19.86 | 29.01 | 44.86 | 92.87 | 467.14 | 966.15 | 1492.46 | 2176.22 |
2024-11-17 | 174.37 | 15.63 | 23.06 | 36.08 | 76.13 | 399.23 | 841.28 | 1314.17 | 1934.93 |
2024-11-24 | 182.61 | 15.43 | 22.99 | 36.36 | 78.13 | 426.64 | 915.56 | 1445.90 | 2149.11 |
2024-12-01 | 174.11 | 13.88 | 20.88 | 33.38 | 73.03 | 414.92 | 906.40 | 1446.76 | 2170.35 |
2024-12-08 | 141.10 | 10.61 | 16.12 | 26.06 | 58.04 | 342.83 | 762.10 | 1229.18 | 1860.68 |
2024-12-15 | 112.69 | 8.00 | 12.27 | 20.06 | 45.47 | 279.08 | 631.07 | 1028.28 | 1570.40 |
2024-12-22 | 66.81 | 4.45 | 6.91 | 11.44 | 26.44 | 168.62 | 387.75 | 638.17 | 983.12 |
2024-12-29 | 212.23 | 13.61 | 21.19 | 35.29 | 82.59 | 545.09 | 1273.85 | 2117.02 | 3289.00 |
2025-01-05 | 235.39 | 14.33 | 22.51 | 37.84 | 89.99 | 615.46 | 1461.53 | 2452.35 | 3841.83 |
2025-01-12 | 221.46 | 12.81 | 20.29 | 34.43 | 83.19 | 589.26 | 1421.55 | 2407.87 | 3803.12 |
2025-01-19 | 207.56 | 11.41 | 18.22 | 31.22 | 76.64 | 561.87 | 1376.62 | 2353.46 | 3747.17 |
2025-01-26 | 303.65 | 15.93 | 25.62 | 44.27 | 110.26 | 835.92 | 2079.38 | 3587.37 | 5757.04 |
2025-02-02 | 293.77 | 14.67 | 23.79 | 41.49 | 104.91 | 822.27 | 2076.26 | 3614.21 | 5845.34 |
2025-02-09 | 353.80 | 16.87 | 27.55 | 48.45 | 124.31 | 1006.59 | 2579.35 | 4529.69 | 7382.15 |
2025-02-16 | 402.60 | 18.32 | 30.15 | 53.48 | 139.21 | 1164.03 | 3026.33 | 5360.94 | 8802.85 |
2025-02-23 | 479.67 | 20.86 | 34.57 | 61.84 | 163.25 | 1409.00 | 3715.88 | 6638.91 | 10982.42 |
2025-03-02 | 488.84 | 20.31 | 33.91 | 61.18 | 163.79 | 1458.57 | 3901.11 | 7028.81 | 11712.66 |
2025-03-09 | 447.46 | 17.76 | 29.88 | 54.37 | 147.62 | 1355.84 | 3677.05 | 6680.35 | 11212.48 |
2025-03-16 | 451.71 | 17.15 | 29.07 | 53.33 | 146.78 | 1389.71 | 3820.83 | 6998.66 | 11830.46 |
2025-03-23 | 525.47 | 19.12 | 32.61 | 60.30 | 168.21 | 1641.02 | 4573.07 | 8444.48 | 14374.86 |
2025-03-30 | 715.98 | 24.98 | 42.89 | 79.91 | 225.85 | 2269.28 | 6408.62 | 11928.68 | 20446.86 |
2025-04-06 | 883.98 | 29.57 | 51.11 | 95.98 | 274.81 | 2842.94 | 8134.98 | 15261.72 | 26339.26 |
2025-04-13 | 958.69 | 30.76 | 53.52 | 101.28 | 293.77 | 3128.04 | 9067.85 | 17144.66 | 29789.17 |
2025-04-20 | 1086.46 | 33.45 | 58.59 | 111.71 | 328.22 | 3595.83 | 10558.58 | 20117.15 | 35187.64 |
2025-04-27 | 1304.37 | 38.56 | 67.97 | 130.59 | 388.54 | 4378.29 | 13020.27 | 24996.44 | 44011.04 |
2025-05-04 | 1366.65 | 38.80 | 68.84 | 133.25 | 401.47 | 4651.72 | 14007.98 | 27095.24 | 48017.95 |
2025-05-11 | 1520.84 | 41.49 | 74.09 | 144.46 | 440.65 | 5248.32 | 16001.72 | 31182.22 | 55617.70 |
2025-05-18 | 1485.20 | 38.94 | 69.98 | 137.47 | 424.50 | 5195.64 | 16036.59 | 31480.37 | 56508.07 |
2025-05-25 | 1566.29 | 39.49 | 71.42 | 141.31 | 441.69 | 5553.68 | 17350.90 | 34308.59 | 61973.83 |
2025-06-01 | 1650.80 | 40.04 | 72.86 | 145.21 | 459.35 | 5931.88 | 18756.29 | 37354.89 | 67898.30 |
2025-06-08 | 1640.70 | 38.29 | 70.12 | 140.74 | 450.55 | 5973.93 | 19114.98 | 38340.88 | 70121.57 |
2025-06-15 | 1620.65 | 36.41 | 67.08 | 135.61 | 439.27 | 5978.55 | 19356.04 | 39098.61 | 71945.21 |
2025-06-22 | 1495.28 | 31.66 | 58.90 | 120.39 | 397.16 | 5628.82 | 18558.68 | 37898.74 | 70399.64 |
2025-06-29 | 1546.53 | 31.16 | 58.44 | 120.54 | 403.82 | 5922.05 | 19827.99 | 40865.06 | 76518.00 |
2025-07-06 | 1504.29 | 28.88 | 54.59 | 113.62 | 386.35 | 5856.33 | 19901.88 | 41384.26 | 78091.02 |
2025-07-13 | 1296.39 | 23.69 | 45.14 | 94.82 | 327.39 | 5132.54 | 17708.11 | 37157.43 | 70667.91 |
2025-07-20 | 1125.80 | 19.55 | 37.57 | 79.68 | 279.45 | 4534.53 | 15889.05 | 33650.81 | 64515.27 |
2025-07-27 | 1179.06 | 19.46 | 37.71 | 80.73 | 287.60 | 4832.75 | 17202.26 | 36776.33 | 71085.15 |
2025-08-03 | 1080.33 | 16.93 | 33.09 | 71.53 | 258.93 | 4506.50 | 16296.46 | 35170.87 | 68541.79 |
2025-08-10 | 995.39 | 14.81 | 29.20 | 63.74 | 234.42 | 4225.58 | 15523.37 | 33819.89 | 66450.40 |
2025-08-17 | 779.55 | 11.00 | 21.90 | 48.27 | 180.41 | 3367.42 | 12565.88 | 27634.13 | 54739.19 |
2025-08-24 | 726.98 | 9.75 | 19.57 | 43.56 | 165.36 | 3194.86 | 12108.10 | 26875.43 | 53666.10 |
2025-08-31 | 695.67 | 8.87 | 17.96 | 40.35 | 155.57 | 3109.77 | 11967.57 | 26808.17 | 53959.20 |
2025-09-07 | 649.63 | 7.88 | 16.08 | 36.49 | 142.84 | 2953.27 | 11538.80 | 26083.07 | 52914.16 |
2025-09-14 | 604.09 | 6.97 | 14.35 | 32.86 | 130.63 | 2792.34 | 11074.70 | 25259.45 | 51643.32 |
2025-09-21 | 506.46 | 5.55 | 11.54 | 26.68 | 107.71 | 2379.95 | 9579.97 | 22044.75 | 45418.60 |
2025-09-28 | 420.68 | 4.38 | 9.19 | 21.47 | 88.01 | 2009.35 | 8207.64 | 19053.18 | 39554.77 |