Prediction 992

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Amazonas

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 39.86 6.51 8.73 12.23 21.42 74.11 129.43 180.68 241.30
2024-10-13 49.00 7.63 10.30 14.55 25.88 92.67 164.39 231.64 311.87
2024-10-20 43.72 6.47 8.81 12.57 22.71 84.12 151.51 215.44 292.35
2024-10-27 42.83 6.03 8.29 11.93 21.88 83.78 153.15 219.72 300.47
2024-11-03 57.45 7.75 10.71 15.54 28.89 114.14 211.68 306.30 422.01
2024-11-10 70.84 9.14 12.72 18.61 35.08 142.96 268.87 392.36 544.56
2024-11-17 76.10 9.39 13.17 19.42 37.11 155.94 297.36 437.53 611.61
2024-11-24 78.33 9.25 13.06 19.42 37.62 162.94 314.93 467.15 657.62
2024-12-01 89.34 10.12 14.38 21.55 42.29 188.59 369.36 552.25 782.77
2024-12-08 93.20 10.12 14.48 21.87 43.49 199.61 396.05 596.77 851.60
2024-12-15 80.28 8.35 12.04 18.33 36.92 174.40 350.50 532.19 764.50
2024-12-22 37.22 3.67 5.35 8.23 16.85 82.06 167.06 255.59 369.58
2024-12-29 122.65 11.81 17.23 26.60 54.90 273.85 564.15 869.40 1265.08
2025-01-05 124.55 11.53 16.93 26.33 55.01 281.87 587.74 912.33 1335.92
2025-01-12 117.56 10.46 15.46 24.23 51.23 269.60 568.89 889.39 1310.41
2025-01-19 116.72 10.00 14.87 23.47 50.20 271.17 578.95 911.50 1351.18
2025-01-26 125.78 10.38 15.53 24.68 53.42 295.99 639.29 1013.46 1511.34
2025-02-02 140.58 11.19 16.84 26.94 58.96 335.00 731.80 1168.03 1752.17
2025-02-09 137.96 10.59 16.03 25.82 57.14 332.90 735.40 1181.69 1783.00
2025-02-16 128.03 9.47 14.43 23.40 52.37 312.75 698.58 1129.97 1714.78
2025-02-23 142.84 10.21 15.63 25.52 57.73 353.17 797.51 1298.43 1981.60
2025-03-02 135.95 9.38 14.45 23.73 54.29 340.20 776.52 1272.43 1952.79
2025-03-09 136.91 9.12 14.13 23.37 54.03 346.66 799.73 1318.82 2035.18
2025-03-16 112.08 7.20 11.23 18.70 43.71 287.16 669.47 1110.97 1723.80
2025-03-23 102.32 6.35 9.95 16.69 39.44 265.18 624.69 1043.11 1627.23
2025-03-30 98.38 5.90 9.30 15.70 37.49 257.89 613.77 1031.18 1617.19
2025-04-06 86.74 5.02 7.97 13.54 32.68 229.98 552.90 934.57 1473.41
2025-04-13 85.21 4.77 7.61 13.02 31.74 228.44 554.74 943.30 1494.91
2025-04-20 70.21 3.79 6.09 10.49 25.86 190.36 466.88 798.62 1272.16
2025-04-27 68.61 3.58 5.79 10.03 24.99 188.04 465.72 801.32 1282.95
2025-05-04 68.76 3.47 5.65 9.85 24.78 190.50 476.41 824.47 1326.66
2025-05-11 61.96 3.02 4.95 8.69 22.08 173.51 438.10 762.54 1233.13
2025-05-18 55.68 2.62 4.32 7.64 19.63 157.59 401.73 703.21 1142.80
2025-05-25 49.80 2.26 3.76 6.69 17.37 142.45 366.56 645.27 1053.76
2025-06-01 45.43 1.99 3.33 5.98 15.67 131.31 341.08 603.77 990.76
2025-06-08 43.32 1.84 3.09 5.58 14.79 126.53 331.69 590.39 973.46
2025-06-15 35.33 1.43 2.44 4.45 11.93 104.28 275.90 493.80 818.05
2025-06-22 34.79 1.33 2.29 4.22 11.52 104.65 281.67 509.32 851.31
2025-06-29 41.71 1.54 2.66 4.92 13.61 127.41 347.78 634.20 1067.85
2025-07-06 34.11 1.18 2.07 3.89 10.94 105.91 293.27 539.38 914.94
2025-07-13 35.93 1.19 2.10 3.99 11.36 113.22 317.71 589.01 1006.05
2025-07-20 28.31 0.87 1.58 3.03 8.80 90.61 257.77 481.79 828.73
2025-07-27 31.45 0.94 1.70 3.28 9.64 102.09 294.20 554.17 959.68
2025-08-03 26.45 0.74 1.36 2.67 7.98 87.14 254.47 483.12 842.37
2025-08-10 27.48 0.73 1.36 2.70 8.18 91.85 271.65 519.67 912.11
2025-08-17 24.22 0.61 1.15 2.30 7.09 82.13 246.05 474.32 838.05
2025-08-24 28.06 0.68 1.30 2.61 8.11 96.42 292.45 567.98 1010.05
2025-08-31 31.55 0.75 1.42 2.87 9.01 109.92 337.53 660.41 1182.02
2025-09-07 37.05 0.86 1.62 3.29 10.44 130.80 406.57 801.31 1443.32
2025-09-14 42.43 0.95 1.81 3.69 11.81 151.78 477.52 948.02 1718.36
2025-09-21 45.65 0.99 1.89 3.87 12.54 165.49 526.91 1053.58 1921.62
2025-09-28 50.07 1.05 2.01 4.15 13.58 183.90 592.49 1193.16 2189.67
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