Prediction 993

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 361.76 48.24 66.71 96.93 180.91 723.31 1349.36 1959.67 2708.57
2024-10-13 346.75 43.33 60.56 89.06 169.58 708.92 1349.29 1983.22 2769.78
2024-10-20 360.61 42.32 59.75 88.89 172.59 753.34 1461.96 2173.97 3066.97
2024-10-27 405.92 44.83 63.90 96.16 190.24 865.97 1712.54 2575.51 3669.23
2024-11-03 475.16 49.46 71.18 108.29 218.20 1034.57 2083.89 3168.62 4557.44
2024-11-10 479.53 47.11 68.43 105.23 215.87 1065.06 2184.05 3356.68 4873.00
2024-11-17 507.49 47.12 69.08 107.33 224.07 1149.24 2398.19 3724.50 5456.21
2024-11-24 545.67 47.95 70.92 111.32 236.41 1259.32 2673.10 4194.05 6198.72
2024-12-01 547.55 45.59 68.01 107.84 232.87 1287.32 2778.49 4403.15 6564.35
2024-12-08 480.99 37.98 57.15 91.51 200.87 1151.54 2526.37 4042.91 6078.61
2024-12-15 323.59 24.23 36.78 59.49 132.74 788.65 1758.16 2840.63 4306.57
2024-12-22 198.70 14.10 21.61 35.31 80.08 492.84 1116.12 1820.33 2782.30
2024-12-29 921.77 62.58 96.46 158.84 365.38 2325.16 5346.84 8800.83 13559.40
2025-01-05 1116.27 72.19 112.15 186.33 435.13 2863.42 6684.81 11103.03 17241.05
2025-01-12 1244.34 76.71 120.09 201.31 477.12 3245.01 7688.90 12884.69 20162.38
2025-01-19 1562.98 91.94 145.01 245.21 589.68 4142.53 9959.77 16836.47 26546.54
2025-01-26 2269.30 127.47 202.55 345.43 842.64 6111.16 14905.24 25413.86 40370.36
2025-02-02 2768.62 148.60 237.86 409.06 1012.05 7573.72 18735.21 32215.22 51551.02
2025-02-09 3467.82 177.98 286.92 497.56 1248.21 9634.10 24165.72 41900.29 67534.94
2025-02-16 4274.19 209.89 340.77 595.79 1515.23 12056.42 30658.91 53596.30 87003.13
2025-02-23 5392.45 253.52 414.50 730.57 1883.20 15440.62 39798.51 70138.13 114656.36
2025-03-02 5995.23 270.01 444.52 789.73 2062.98 17422.41 45508.43 80842.43 133071.31
2025-03-09 6701.94 289.32 479.55 858.69 2272.76 19762.33 52302.73 93645.00 155199.29
2025-03-16 6873.20 284.55 474.84 856.88 2297.53 20561.20 55126.61 99469.27 165964.33
2025-03-23 7369.05 292.74 491.76 894.23 2428.53 22359.98 60720.86 110405.12 185437.63
2025-03-30 8092.26 308.64 521.87 956.16 2629.72 24901.31 68481.34 125459.97 212109.54
2025-04-06 7578.87 277.64 472.51 872.23 2428.99 23646.93 65847.74 121538.83 206814.68
2025-04-13 7380.26 259.81 445.02 827.56 2333.18 23344.61 65811.77 122371.43 209567.45
2025-04-20 7027.34 237.85 409.98 767.98 2191.75 22531.07 64296.43 120428.12 207547.03
2025-04-27 6936.17 225.81 391.67 739.00 2134.57 22538.15 65095.43 122806.08 212971.66
2025-05-04 6393.39 200.28 349.55 664.26 1941.68 21051.01 61528.14 116905.88 203995.79
2025-05-11 5471.17 164.98 289.73 554.47 1640.00 18251.67 53977.83 103285.01 181332.48
2025-05-18 4275.66 124.15 219.36 422.77 1265.15 14449.25 43233.03 83303.65 147138.84
2025-05-25 3566.65 99.76 177.34 344.18 1041.92 12208.55 36952.04 71693.78 127392.00
2025-06-01 2907.56 78.37 140.15 273.88 838.68 10079.43 30857.68 60279.57 107746.07
2025-06-08 2214.59 57.53 103.51 203.67 630.81 7774.11 24070.29 47339.35 85113.49
2025-06-15 1758.13 44.03 79.70 157.90 494.60 6248.94 19565.52 38738.01 70054.00
2025-06-22 1697.92 40.14 73.35 146.87 468.32 6155.25 19617.69 39256.53 71649.48
2025-06-29 1414.80 31.62 58.32 118.01 382.84 5227.76 16950.34 34269.45 63107.43
2025-07-06 1262.29 26.67 49.64 101.50 335.06 4754.67 15685.14 32041.16 59535.64
2025-07-13 1045.25 20.85 39.18 80.98 272.10 4014.47 13477.01 27820.18 52164.14
2025-07-20 923.74 17.39 33.00 68.95 235.81 3617.71 12360.20 25784.29 48789.36
2025-07-27 875.07 15.56 29.81 62.95 219.09 3494.18 12148.20 25607.96 48896.43
2025-08-03 768.36 12.91 24.97 53.28 188.72 3127.37 11061.73 23559.19 45388.22
2025-08-10 727.22 11.56 22.56 48.65 175.28 3016.18 10850.77 23345.45 45373.79
2025-08-17 673.98 10.14 19.97 43.52 159.46 2847.72 10417.13 22637.38 44380.29
2025-08-24 554.78 7.89 15.70 34.58 128.86 2387.35 8877.93 19483.43 38524.54
2025-08-31 520.73 7.02 14.09 31.36 118.79 2281.65 8623.75 19110.39 38106.71
2025-09-07 492.86 6.30 12.76 28.68 110.44 2198.37 8443.34 18891.07 37984.33
2025-09-14 510.57 6.20 12.67 28.73 112.41 2317.82 9044.35 20428.67 41415.41
2025-09-21 505.52 5.83 12.01 27.52 109.37 2335.21 9256.18 21104.18 43134.42
2025-09-28 462.02 5.05 10.52 24.33 98.25 2171.41 8741.40 20116.23 41447.32
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