Prediction 994

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Ceará

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 47.35 10.77 13.67 18.00 28.47 78.69 124.28 163.36 207.07
2024-10-13 47.77 10.39 13.29 17.65 28.30 80.60 129.04 170.99 218.27
2024-10-20 47.35 9.87 12.71 17.01 27.64 81.07 131.50 175.64 225.74
2024-10-27 44.60 8.91 11.56 15.59 25.66 77.46 127.27 171.30 221.63
2024-11-03 46.50 8.92 11.65 15.83 26.39 81.90 136.25 184.75 240.58
2024-11-10 40.80 7.51 9.88 13.52 22.83 72.83 122.66 167.55 219.57
2024-11-17 45.32 8.04 10.63 14.65 25.03 81.98 139.70 192.19 253.42
2024-11-24 46.55 7.95 10.58 14.69 25.38 85.31 147.09 203.76 270.31
2024-12-01 49.39 8.13 10.88 15.21 26.59 91.65 159.84 222.93 297.49
2024-12-08 41.77 6.62 8.91 12.55 22.21 78.51 138.45 194.41 260.95
2024-12-15 21.28 3.21 4.37 6.21 11.15 40.52 72.29 102.20 137.98
2024-12-22 12.80 1.83 2.52 3.62 6.61 24.71 44.60 63.47 86.18
2024-12-29 39.77 5.66 7.77 11.16 20.39 77.48 141.14 202.05 275.78
2025-01-05 39.95 5.50 7.58 10.96 20.25 78.73 144.90 208.72 286.42
2025-01-12 48.80 6.51 9.02 13.12 24.46 97.24 180.79 262.00 361.45
2025-01-19 57.09 7.39 10.28 15.03 28.31 115.03 216.00 314.91 436.69
2025-01-26 83.61 10.52 14.70 21.60 41.03 170.28 322.89 473.51 660.00
2025-02-02 97.01 11.83 16.62 24.56 47.10 199.69 382.35 563.97 790.06
2025-02-09 121.44 14.38 20.29 30.14 58.35 252.64 488.36 724.47 1019.95
2025-02-16 154.09 17.72 25.11 37.51 73.27 323.91 632.04 942.93 1334.02
2025-02-23 206.97 23.12 32.91 49.42 97.43 439.56 865.73 1298.76 1846.32
2025-03-02 226.50 24.57 35.14 53.05 105.54 485.97 965.96 1457.11 2081.34
2025-03-09 225.65 23.77 34.15 51.85 104.09 489.05 980.92 1487.75 2135.12
2025-03-16 238.83 24.44 35.28 53.85 109.08 522.79 1058.02 1613.30 2326.09
2025-03-23 275.91 27.45 39.81 61.07 124.79 609.89 1245.24 1908.83 2764.84
2025-03-30 400.07 38.74 56.41 86.97 179.22 892.92 1839.05 2833.84 4123.30
2025-04-06 426.22 40.14 58.71 90.99 189.12 960.42 1995.22 3090.38 4516.75
2025-04-13 445.24 40.79 59.93 93.35 195.70 1012.82 2122.10 3303.73 4849.98
2025-04-20 412.25 36.75 54.23 84.90 179.50 946.61 2000.17 3129.66 4614.59
2025-04-27 455.80 39.55 58.62 92.24 196.64 1056.34 2250.69 3539.25 5241.14
2025-05-04 433.60 36.63 54.53 86.23 185.35 1014.16 2178.71 3443.01 5120.51
2025-05-11 411.73 33.87 50.64 80.48 174.41 971.77 2104.76 3342.43 4992.00
2025-05-18 373.66 29.94 44.95 71.79 156.87 889.89 1943.04 3100.56 4650.22
2025-05-25 356.56 27.84 41.97 67.36 148.36 856.73 1885.64 3023.39 4553.33
2025-06-01 347.62 26.45 40.05 64.58 143.37 842.63 1869.35 3011.49 4554.07
2025-06-08 341.34 25.32 38.50 62.37 139.56 834.65 1866.20 3020.54 4586.36
2025-06-15 293.88 21.24 32.44 52.81 119.12 724.85 1633.33 2655.93 4049.01
2025-06-22 262.17 17.86 27.54 45.33 104.13 659.84 1514.12 2489.01 3830.51
2025-06-29 225.64 14.61 22.71 37.75 88.09 577.72 1346.29 2233.62 3465.07
2025-07-06 208.40 12.82 20.10 33.73 79.97 542.87 1284.84 2151.55 3364.72
2025-07-13 188.18 11.03 17.43 29.52 71.03 498.28 1196.80 2021.85 3186.12
2025-07-20 172.15 9.61 15.31 26.17 63.91 463.38 1129.52 1925.11 3057.00
2025-07-27 176.36 9.39 15.09 26.01 64.45 482.33 1192.64 2050.15 3279.81
2025-08-03 137.66 6.98 11.31 19.68 49.50 382.50 959.37 1663.27 2680.60
2025-08-10 129.59 6.27 10.24 17.98 45.88 365.70 930.08 1625.97 2639.48
2025-08-17 111.92 5.16 8.51 15.07 39.01 320.73 827.03 1457.78 2383.41
2025-08-24 90.92 4.00 6.64 11.88 31.21 264.55 691.49 1228.78 2023.18
2025-08-31 79.91 3.35 5.62 10.14 27.01 236.01 625.22 1119.96 1856.85
2025-09-07 72.28 2.89 4.89 8.91 24.07 216.63 581.48 1049.86 1752.57
2025-09-14 58.61 2.22 3.81 7.01 19.23 178.28 484.84 882.22 1482.71
2025-09-21 52.85 1.91 3.30 6.14 17.08 163.06 449.21 823.69 1393.60
2025-09-28 46.31 1.59 2.78 5.22 14.75 144.94 404.40 747.19 1272.51
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