Prediction 995

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Distrito Federal

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 109.16 13.22 18.58 27.50 52.86 225.33 432.52 638.93 896.24
2024-10-13 123.70 13.79 19.65 29.52 58.22 262.71 517.37 776.10 1103.22
2024-10-20 121.46 12.48 18.02 27.49 55.60 265.22 535.50 815.39 1174.19
2024-10-27 120.86 11.48 16.78 25.98 53.84 271.12 560.90 866.58 1263.75
2024-11-03 147.08 12.95 19.16 30.09 63.83 338.74 717.56 1124.43 1660.07
2024-11-10 164.84 13.47 20.18 32.12 69.73 389.48 844.32 1341.48 2004.41
2024-11-17 197.93 15.05 22.80 36.78 81.66 479.51 1063.17 1712.14 2588.35
2024-11-24 247.58 17.55 26.89 43.93 99.69 614.64 1393.10 2273.22 3476.07
2024-12-01 295.01 19.52 30.23 50.03 115.99 750.08 1737.06 2871.24 4439.85
2024-12-08 334.99 20.71 32.43 54.35 128.67 871.86 2062.03 3451.59 5395.91
2024-12-15 330.82 19.13 30.28 51.38 124.19 880.96 2126.94 3604.42 5695.43
2024-12-22 306.08 16.57 26.51 45.55 112.35 833.57 2053.56 3522.37 5624.39
2024-12-29 622.18 31.68 51.17 88.88 223.47 1731.92 4351.78 7553.18 12185.03
2025-01-05 676.81 32.37 52.81 92.81 237.92 1925.01 4931.68 8659.59 14111.26
2025-01-12 812.06 36.54 60.19 106.98 279.50 2359.00 6159.56 10939.49 18003.39
2025-01-19 980.76 41.56 69.13 124.23 330.64 2908.79 7738.29 13897.82 23094.81
2025-01-26 1162.48 46.44 77.97 141.66 384.01 3518.71 9534.16 17312.19 29043.94
2025-02-02 1230.14 46.36 78.58 144.31 398.30 3798.83 10480.42 19236.86 32576.34
2025-02-09 1253.39 44.60 76.30 141.63 397.91 3947.63 11085.72 20564.94 35147.29
2025-02-16 1370.50 46.10 79.59 149.27 426.74 4400.91 12576.01 23574.29 40656.89
2025-02-23 1503.26 47.85 83.33 157.91 459.24 4920.14 14303.12 27088.64 47135.89
2025-03-02 1575.94 47.50 83.45 159.75 472.50 5255.78 15539.21 29728.78 52185.63
2025-03-09 1575.90 45.01 79.77 154.22 463.82 5353.76 16094.57 31099.52 55065.54
2025-03-16 1658.75 44.93 80.31 156.81 479.39 5738.83 17537.47 34221.91 61112.19
2025-03-23 1630.31 41.91 75.54 148.94 462.78 5742.70 17835.36 35141.59 63283.43
2025-03-30 1693.85 41.35 75.17 149.62 472.38 6073.13 19164.73 38122.94 69222.85
2025-04-06 1733.02 40.21 73.70 148.08 474.93 6323.12 20269.96 40702.85 74513.30
2025-04-13 1694.76 37.39 69.09 140.14 456.50 6291.11 20482.85 41514.20 76613.45
2025-04-20 1566.69 32.89 61.26 125.42 414.87 5915.59 19557.62 40004.13 74416.20
2025-04-27 1440.04 28.78 54.04 111.64 374.97 5529.59 18560.20 38309.30 71825.37
2025-05-04 1306.48 24.86 47.07 98.13 334.58 5100.77 17378.69 36192.90 68385.85
2025-05-11 1212.74 21.99 41.97 88.29 305.51 4813.11 16642.56 34967.49 66578.85
2025-05-18 1035.83 17.90 34.44 73.10 256.74 4178.25 14659.80 31071.75 59611.15
2025-05-25 867.80 14.30 27.73 59.39 211.66 3557.09 12661.81 27069.70 52323.61
2025-06-01 699.56 10.98 21.48 46.43 167.92 2913.35 10519.39 22682.27 44168.94
2025-06-08 548.52 8.20 16.19 35.32 129.60 2320.50 8497.87 18478.79 36248.07
2025-06-15 426.12 6.07 12.08 26.62 99.11 1830.95 6799.41 14909.52 29459.27
2025-06-22 327.39 4.35 8.78 19.60 74.49 1437.71 5444.53 12079.13 24110.26
2025-06-29 255.08 3.17 6.49 14.68 56.89 1142.55 4404.32 9875.67 19894.50
2025-07-06 229.53 2.68 5.56 12.72 50.18 1048.56 4114.21 9323.43 18955.42
2025-07-13 179.28 1.95 4.11 9.54 38.41 835.43 3336.86 7642.81 15682.74
2025-07-20 160.41 1.63 3.49 8.21 33.68 762.52 3100.53 7177.78 14865.62
2025-07-27 147.29 1.40 3.04 7.25 30.31 714.19 2956.36 6917.58 14460.17
2025-08-03 144.65 1.29 2.84 6.85 29.18 715.48 3015.02 7130.56 15044.03
2025-08-10 129.32 1.08 2.40 5.88 25.57 652.47 2798.87 6690.24 14246.01
2025-08-17 118.48 0.92 2.09 5.18 22.96 609.68 2662.08 6431.10 13820.74
2025-08-24 135.45 1.00 2.28 5.72 25.75 710.75 3158.56 7711.40 16724.48
2025-08-31 143.28 1.00 2.30 5.83 26.71 766.58 3466.84 8553.26 18719.79
2025-09-07 138.61 0.90 2.12 5.43 25.34 756.10 3479.49 8674.36 19157.14
2025-09-14 137.38 0.84 2.00 5.18 24.64 763.90 3576.68 9009.34 20076.21
2025-09-21 147.08 0.85 2.04 5.36 25.89 833.57 3970.36 10104.14 22717.15
2025-09-28 133.31 0.72 1.76 4.67 23.01 769.96 3730.32 9590.42 21753.40
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