Prediction 996

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Espírito Santo

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 635.59 8.57 17.20 38.25 144.92 2786.41 10536.87 23357.04 46587.03
2024-10-13 758.76 8.53 17.63 40.54 162.50 3541.46 14169.08 32486.69 66721.63
2024-10-20 755.61 7.11 15.13 35.97 152.30 3747.27 15833.71 37509.00 79250.75
2024-10-27 817.44 6.47 14.17 34.80 155.37 4298.96 19150.03 46822.05 101677.68
2024-11-03 863.92 5.79 13.04 33.01 155.14 4808.85 22544.65 56833.98 126737.45
2024-11-10 865.58 4.93 11.41 29.79 147.12 5090.35 25074.73 65111.85 148973.91
2024-11-17 982.10 4.79 11.37 30.55 158.27 6091.45 31479.21 84121.03 197314.77
2024-11-24 1091.56 4.58 11.14 30.78 167.06 7129.10 38594.22 106043.20 254809.32
2024-12-01 1155.26 4.18 10.43 29.61 168.16 7932.97 44928.20 126825.61 311968.81
2024-12-08 1087.32 3.40 8.70 25.39 150.74 7839.34 46388.56 134430.65 338290.59
2024-12-15 1167.99 3.17 8.32 24.92 154.42 8829.97 54529.33 162111.14 417088.28
2024-12-22 1199.07 2.84 7.62 23.43 151.37 9493.77 61119.29 186283.55 489743.61
2024-12-29 504.79 0.98 2.81 8.99 60.86 4181.57 28036.07 87552.13 235079.13
2025-01-05 1843.62 3.38 9.45 30.43 212.91 15958.47 111324.84 356001.66 975759.01
2025-01-12 576.90 0.86 2.59 8.70 63.75 5214.31 37814.45 123767.16 346134.80
2025-01-19 572.41 0.74 2.31 7.96 60.63 5396.90 40654.84 136125.31 388282.07
2025-01-26 600.70 0.69 2.18 7.72 61.05 5903.03 46155.77 158029.42 459564.97
2025-02-02 634.69 0.64 2.09 7.55 61.93 6495.54 52680.23 184358.79 546407.23
2025-02-09 626.79 0.55 1.86 6.90 58.77 6675.90 56122.86 200673.89 605954.59
2025-02-16 646.73 0.50 1.74 6.61 58.30 7163.80 62388.58 227840.96 700711.91
2025-02-23 678.65 0.46 1.65 6.44 58.87 7813.07 70447.29 262673.63 822531.33
2025-03-02 692.62 0.41 1.53 6.11 57.84 8282.52 77276.81 294093.10 937402.18
2025-03-09 670.80 0.34 1.34 5.50 53.95 8327.31 80354.55 312029.05 1012102.51
2025-03-16 683.31 0.31 1.24 5.22 52.97 8801.07 87790.15 347737.13 1147513.34
2025-03-23 2339.19 1.15 4.11 16.90 175.07 31240.53 321977.93 1300557.80 4365233.72
2025-03-30 678.05 0.23 1.02 4.50 48.89 9386.85 99916.18 411454.01 1404329.69
2025-04-06 670.16 0.19 0.91 4.15 46.64 9611.42 105614.12 443279.06 1538146.68
2025-04-13 652.94 0.16 0.81 3.78 43.88 9696.99 109953.80 470248.83 1658547.09
2025-04-20 644.57 0.13 0.72 3.49 41.84 9908.20 115886.78 504905.67 1809673.49
2025-04-27 638.80 0.11 0.65 3.23 40.08 10159.50 122521.24 543684.67 1979888.01
2025-05-04 607.96 0.08 0.56 2.87 36.87 9999.57 124296.73 561640.99 2077651.25
2025-05-11 594.64 0.06 0.49 2.63 34.88 10110.97 129495.85 595697.39 2238100.14
2025-05-18 573.23 0.04 0.43 2.37 32.53 10072.26 132869.41 622122.75 2373516.34
2025-05-25 558.64 0.02 0.38 2.17 30.69 10139.95 137728.56 656250.63 2541985.78
2025-06-01 526.92 0.01 0.31 1.91 28.02 9876.39 138081.93 669411.98 2632154.93
2025-06-08 1724.95 0.21 1.16 6.10 89.07 33370.73 480083.11 2367568.99 9448541.83
2025-06-15 494.63 0.00 0.23 1.57 24.68 9876.00 146156.52 733087.35 2968888.82
2025-06-22 471.68 0.00 0.19 1.40 22.80 9720.06 147996.82 755055.12 3103312.29
2025-06-29 448.60 0.00 0.16 1.25 21.01 9537.83 149364.12 774964.45 3231977.07
2025-07-06 406.62 0.00 0.12 1.05 18.45 8917.19 143587.12 757506.83 3205153.46
2025-07-13 397.65 0.00 0.10 0.96 17.49 8991.70 148834.59 798254.54 3426253.59
2025-07-20 389.82 0.00 0.08 0.88 16.63 9086.37 154567.30 842667.02 3668538.09
2025-07-27 379.89 0.00 0.06 0.81 15.72 9125.57 159495.13 883738.45 3901801.46
2025-08-03 382.47 0.00 0.05 0.76 15.36 9465.73 169941.65 956870.78 4283969.27
2025-08-10 360.47 0.00 0.03 0.67 14.05 9189.01 169423.84 969272.73 4399865.28
2025-08-17 346.33 0.00 0.02 0.60 13.10 9091.36 172106.57 1000297.22 4603335.22
2025-08-24 337.09 0.00 0.01 0.54 12.38 9110.02 177033.79 1045180.25 4875685.39
2025-08-31 347.72 0.00 0.00 0.53 12.41 9672.21 192902.23 1156697.67 5469112.98
2025-09-07 350.16 0.00 0.00 0.50 12.14 10022.78 205108.09 1248987.61 5984944.04
2025-09-14 332.42 0.00 0.00 0.44 11.20 9789.17 205510.26 1270713.06 6170317.46
2025-09-21 339.22 0.00 0.00 0.42 11.11 10274.51 221234.45 1388839.86 6833199.03
2025-09-28 336.64 0.00 0.00 0.39 10.71 10485.18 231517.64 1475423.03 7354529.88
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