Prediction 998

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 38.32 4.37 6.22 9.32 18.23 80.44 156.69 233.48 329.97
2024-10-13 24.71 2.62 3.79 5.75 11.50 52.97 105.11 158.36 225.94
2024-10-20 25.29 2.53 3.69 5.67 11.54 55.30 111.69 170.06 244.88
2024-10-27 38.10 3.64 5.34 8.27 17.08 84.85 174.31 268.15 389.58
2024-11-03 30.15 2.71 4.01 6.29 13.25 68.45 143.03 222.27 325.78
2024-11-10 39.40 3.38 5.04 7.96 17.01 91.06 193.42 303.56 448.73
2024-11-17 42.74 3.48 5.23 8.35 18.13 100.55 217.05 343.95 512.71
2024-11-24 45.38 3.51 5.33 8.58 18.92 108.67 238.31 381.21 572.94
2024-12-01 32.12 2.33 3.59 5.85 13.14 78.30 174.42 281.63 426.72
2024-12-08 29.07 2.00 3.10 5.12 11.69 72.09 163.07 265.72 405.80
2024-12-15 20.73 1.33 2.10 3.51 8.18 52.30 120.13 197.52 304.02
2024-12-22 24.14 1.48 2.35 3.97 9.38 61.88 144.19 239.17 370.92
2024-12-29 101.77 6.25 9.82 16.50 39.10 264.61 625.15 1045.69 1633.72
2025-01-05 147.24 8.67 13.71 23.20 55.71 388.85 931.72 1571.76 2473.74
2025-01-12 152.31 8.58 13.66 23.30 56.75 408.54 992.67 1688.62 2676.99
2025-01-19 140.27 7.54 12.11 20.83 51.46 382.04 941.13 1614.16 2577.27
2025-01-26 190.82 9.85 15.90 27.57 68.98 527.55 1317.23 2277.58 3662.14
2025-02-02 278.75 13.82 22.44 39.19 99.31 782.05 1978.85 3448.95 5584.11
2025-02-09 317.65 15.11 24.69 43.45 111.54 904.29 2318.43 4072.73 6639.21
2025-02-16 343.20 15.66 25.76 45.68 118.79 991.19 2574.38 4557.59 7479.79
2025-02-23 396.70 17.37 28.77 51.40 135.38 1162.07 3057.05 5453.66 9010.03
2025-03-02 418.87 17.61 29.36 52.85 140.96 1244.36 3315.11 5958.90 9909.48
2025-03-09 402.19 16.24 27.25 49.42 133.48 1211.48 3268.00 5918.22 9905.72
2025-03-16 388.15 15.05 25.42 46.47 127.06 1185.29 3236.97 5905.39 9947.63
2025-03-23 385.44 14.37 24.43 44.97 124.48 1193.04 3298.03 6060.74 10273.98
2025-03-30 381.97 13.69 23.43 43.44 121.72 1198.19 3352.30 6204.94 10584.27
2025-04-06 389.13 13.42 23.11 43.16 122.38 1236.88 3501.90 6528.10 11204.39
2025-04-13 381.67 12.67 21.95 41.29 118.47 1229.10 3521.00 6610.02 11414.37
2025-04-20 347.16 11.09 19.33 36.64 106.37 1132.53 3282.28 6204.86 10779.55
2025-04-27 320.20 9.84 17.28 32.97 96.86 1058.00 3101.75 5904.06 10318.35
2025-05-04 275.70 8.15 14.41 27.70 82.34 922.61 2735.77 5242.98 9217.26
2025-05-11 250.33 7.13 12.68 24.55 73.83 848.26 2543.80 4908.03 8678.96
2025-05-18 191.63 5.24 9.39 18.34 55.80 657.49 1993.84 3872.68 6887.85
2025-05-25 171.53 4.51 8.15 16.02 49.33 595.81 1826.84 3571.83 6389.24
2025-06-01 147.15 3.72 6.77 13.42 41.80 517.39 1603.84 3156.40 5678.23
2025-06-08 129.46 3.14 5.77 11.53 36.32 460.73 1443.75 2859.80 5173.64
2025-06-15 117.34 2.74 5.07 10.20 32.53 422.63 1338.65 2668.67 4854.81
2025-06-22 102.08 2.21 4.15 8.47 27.63 376.42 1217.74 2458.48 4521.69
2025-06-29 97.83 2.00 3.80 7.85 26.02 367.06 1206.09 2457.74 4556.96
2025-07-06 104.27 2.04 3.90 8.12 27.29 397.57 1325.47 2724.64 5090.13
2025-07-13 69.77 1.26 2.47 5.22 17.92 270.77 916.93 1902.50 3583.05
2025-07-20 77.71 1.34 2.64 5.64 19.63 306.68 1054.48 2207.93 4191.31
2025-07-27 72.78 1.19 2.37 5.11 18.08 292.05 1019.20 2153.12 4118.89
2025-08-03 68.47 1.06 2.13 4.65 16.73 279.29 989.18 2108.21 4063.96
2025-08-10 71.45 1.05 2.14 4.71 17.18 296.19 1064.44 2288.52 4445.10
2025-08-17 58.09 0.79 1.65 3.69 13.73 244.78 892.49 1935.46 3787.58
2025-08-24 58.91 0.77 1.61 3.63 13.70 252.18 932.69 2039.97 4021.75
2025-08-31 56.88 0.70 1.49 3.40 13.02 247.37 927.89 2046.67 4064.60
2025-09-07 51.24 0.59 1.28 2.96 11.54 226.36 861.02 1915.12 3831.00
2025-09-14 46.95 0.50 1.12 2.62 10.41 210.65 812.46 1822.12 3671.21
2025-09-21 39.65 0.39 0.89 2.14 8.64 180.66 706.41 1597.29 3241.13
2025-09-28 47.00 0.45 1.03 2.48 10.10 217.31 861.21 1963.12 4011.47
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